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Saturday's Sleeper : Nevin Ashley

        Welcome to the debut of `Saturday's Sleeper' every Saturday for the next few weeks (or at least until we run out of `sleepers') we'll bring you a new player who you may or may not be completely familiar with, and give you reasons and details on why he's a player to watch in 2007.
    We start this campaign with one of my personal favorite prospects, he was the 6th round selection of the Rays in this past June's draft, catcher Nevin Ashley. A first team All-Missouri Valley Conference selection , he ranked inside the top 10 of eight categories last season. As if .382 BA, 10 dingers, and a .653 SLG% weren't enough, he also threw out 45% of attempted base stealers.
    In 46 games at Princeton, Ashley hit .336, with 4 homeruns, he had an OBP of .442, and a SLG % of .483 as he saw time at both catcher and designated hitter. Ashley heated up every month in the short seasoned league, hitting only .077 (1-17) in June, with that hit being a homer, and only one walk he struck out 7 times.
    In July, Ashley improved to the rate of a .298 month (17-57), hit 2 homers, and had a 8 walk, 13 strikeout month. Nevin put it on in August for a blazing month of .405 (32-79) a single homer, and a walk to strikeout rate of 12:20.
    All in all Ashley saw his OBP grow from  .143, to .408, and ended the season with a .442 clip. He clearly began to learn and adjust to fit the pitching styles he was seeing from other low A competition.
    A comparison that can be made is to the Oakland Athletics' catcher Jeremy Brown of Moneyball fame. Though Ashley has less power and obviously won't draw as many walks as the `OBP' machine, they have similar skill sets.
    So what should we see out of Ashley this year? A promotion more than likely to Hudson Valley, and if he really tears the cowhide up he may see time in Columbus later in the year, thought at this point the 22 year old has plenty of time to grow into his 6'2, 210 frame and should be able to generate slightly more power.
     Of course this a very loose projection, but he would probably be a hitter whose homerun count landed in the teens more than not. Of course given the Rays disappointingly poor success rate of developing catchers (Toby Hall pops to mind as the only `starter` we`ve produced albeit a bad one, and Shawn Riggans figures to be at least in the running for the backup catcher spot this spring) the Rays shouldn't rush Ashley through the system.
    It is nice however to acknowledge that the one stat that usually carries over from the minors is that of walks, and that's something Ashley excels at. He's not the flashiest player in the system, but he's got all the fundamentals to make it one day to the majors, though how soon is as a good of a guess as anyone's.

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We've got a few intriguing Catching prospects
We've got John Jaso(who occasionally profiles as a catcher), Josh Arhart(decent pop for a catcher), Jared Edwards(who should be fully recovered from last year's season-ending shoulder surgery), Matt Spring, Christian Lopez and 2 new Catching converts in Sergio Pedroza(alot of pop, decent plate discipline) and Mike McCormick(failed 3B prospect)

by Jacob Larsen on Oct 21, 2006 1:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Pedroza?
When did this happen?

by Not That Chuck on Oct 21, 2006 1:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

instructs
It's not neccessarily a permanent change, but they're at least giving it a shot.

by Tyler on Oct 21, 2006 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

According to Mitch Lukevics
It's in the primitive stages, however it's a nice option to have a catching prospect with legit power and a knack for getting on-base.

by Jacob Larsen on Oct 21, 2006 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My boy
Ashley was my favorite prospect drafted last year, but if you've spent any time at the raysbaseball boards, you already knew that :-)

by killa3312 on Oct 21, 2006 2:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If I remember correctly
You pick some decent prospects to follow.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but you're a follower of Delmon, Hammel and now Ashley. Not sure if you were the Bankston fan or if that was Dan.

by Jacob Larsen on Oct 21, 2006 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That was me
but he's fallen off quite a bit in my book with all these injuries...

As for Ashley, I don't think the Brown comparison is necessarily that apt.  Ashley is infinitely more athletic than Brown, and is actually an acceptable backstop.  Also, I have some questions about Ashley's batspeed, and I'm not sure how well the bat will hold up at higher levels.

I don't think I'd qualify Arhart as a sleeper at this point either.  Sure, he broke out in A+, but he was also 26 years old.  Looks like an organizational player to me, unless he's fast-tracked and can keep things up all the way to Durham.

by Brickhaus on Oct 25, 2006 8:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dan
was most definitely the Bankston fan. He used to have an avatar of him and everything.

I like Ashley because he has terrific speed and athleticism for the position, has a strong arm, good pop, and gets on base. I think he has the chance to be an above average major league catcher, IF everything falls into place. We'll see down the line.

by killa3312 on Oct 21, 2006 5:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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