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Nobody Should be Disappointed

As I have engaged in several debates with other Rays fans on the boards, nobody should be disappointed now that the Rays are in last place and on pace for another horrible W-L record.

The time for disappointment was months ago, when one of the most profitable teams in baseball (according to Forbes), decided in their infinite wisdom to not improve this baseball team in any meaningful way, despite coming off a distant last place finish.   Rather it decided to stick it out with a ridiculously low salary structure and reap more profits.

I have debated in numerous threads why the Rays are clearly worse than the Yankees, Blue Jays, and Orioles.  Why anyone would think differently is beyond my comprehension.  These teams finish ahead of us every year, they beat us every year, and we still have not attempted to bring in better players.

Yes I know...the future!  My argument is that an attitude like that will always make our future 3 years away.  Chew on this:

We have 3 of the worst starters in all of Major League Baseball in our rotation.  Not just 3 of the worst in our system, or 3 of the worst in our division, but in all of major league baseball.  Seo, Fossum, Jackson.  All terrible, all depended upon to pitch for us.  No other team would consider putting 3 pitchers this bad in their rotation, let alone expect its fans to pay good money to watch them perform.

Even if Kazmir and Shields were near perfect, we would still be doomed to lose 3 out of every 5 games because of who our bottom 3 starters are.  And even if Kazmir and Sheilds are perfect, we follow up our sorry rotation with arguably the worst pen in all of baseball.  There are AAA pens which our superior to ours.  So leave it to them to ensure we lose win-able games.

Which brings us to our offense.  This is why I vehemently argued Wigginton was not sufficient at first base, and that we needed a real stick with true power there.  There is far too much pressure on youngsters like Delmon Young and Elijah Dukes to carry our team in the power department.  Upton was, and is, bound to cool off.  We are killing the confidence of Young and Dukes by putting the full burden on their shoulders!  They should be developing as players and learning about plate discipline, not worrying about picking up the team and putting it on their backs.  A great example of stick we could have picked up in the free agent market a few years ago is Lyle Overbay, who killed us again today as a Blue Jay.  And he is maybe the 6th, 7th, or 8th best hitting first baseman in the American League.  But we never made a run at him.   And then we settled for a platoon of Wigginton, Pena, and well I guess Cantu.

So here we are again in last place.  The 2 teams everyone here said we were better than, Toronto and Baltimore, just destroyed us over the last several meetings.  We are on pace to win 63 and lose 99.

You should not be disappointed.  There was plenty of time for that months ago.  Now you will just have to live with the team ownership "paid" for, and once again continue waiting for the next rookie to ride in on his white horse and save our franchise from humiliation, or even contraction.  

Until we as fans hold this team and its ownership to a higher standard, there will be no light at the end of the tunnel.  It's time to get angry.  It's time to demand things change.

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Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Absolutely perfect comments.  There is nothing more to add.  I share your views completely on this.  The Rays in my estimation truly believe the answers come from the farm and not from other teams.  Oh contrare. you can use the farm as trade bait to acquire pieces to the puzzle like a big time power middle of the order bat. needed bullpen help (especially a left hander) and a true innings-eater established veteran pitcher instead of just relying on the kids (Shields and Kaz) to be the thump.

Until Friedman and Stu Sternberg understand the forest beyond the trees and use their deep reservoir of money which they DO HAVE to acquire these types of assets, the Rays will be consigned to this purgatory they are in.  Someone has to come in here and show these players the way.   How do you expect these players to win when none have won at the major league level before?  Its like bringing rocks to a gunfight.  Its virtually criminal what Sternberg and Andrew Friedman's thought processes are.   The farm can not be the cure for this club's tide for success, it must come from the OUTSIDE.

The Rays owe it to fans not just like me but the other fans who think they are a bunch of businessmen who know they got a payroll of $23 million and will simply play the player development game with the player development manager!  Just because you acquire a SS off of waivers from Washington is no excuse for giving him a start on a Saturday afternoon and continually shuffling the lineup up!

When you play for the future, or any set date, the future will never arrive.  The future can be NOW if the front office gets off their collective derriers and invests money at proven players either by making trades and using some of our chips or by being agressive.  Sure you can continue to harness and develop players in our system like Davis and McGee and soon to be David Price but still, you got to be able to bake your cake and eat it too.  Would you rather have Jake Peavy or Johan Santana pitching for us in battle or against us by the Red Sox or Yankees?  Sooner or later Stu Sternberg and Andrew Friedman will have to punch the competition in the mouth and beat them at their own game, whether they like or you like it or anyone else likes it or not.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:02 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
First off, I don't expect Johan to be dealt this year, and I doubt the Yanks or Sox have what it would take to get him.

Although trading for Jake Peavy seems achievable considering the Padres weak hitting system.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:37 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Note:
I meant that I think the Rays could deal for him.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:41 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
There will be a time, a moment of truth when Johan will be on the market.  You never know with the Yankees pitchers they got in Trenton or if Boston gets the itchy finger with Bard or Ellsbury or Buchholz if they may want to enter the Johan sweepstakes.  I mention him as an example of the kind of impact player that can redefine this division, damage the competition and help the Rays out.
Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:41 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Of course, and I've mentioned the idea of us trading for him before his deal runs out, what with our surplus of younger arms and bats by then, of course who knows if Minny will even have to deal him with a new park coming.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:43 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I suspect they will and a deal will be offered before he hits free agency.  I suspect a trade deadline deal in 08 for Johan.  But you understand my point?  Its not necessarily adding him for your own benefit, but to HURT and PUNISH the opponent too.  I know all to well how the NDRO thinks about the future, and that mindset is going to have to alter or they will be playing from a position of weakness.  The idea of NOW and IMMEDIATE and IMPACT has to start creeping in Stu's mind and Andrew's mind.
Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:46 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I have read your thoughts about Johan before and I concur with you, RJ
Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Oh I understand what you're saying, by taking player A off the market you're helping yourself while forcing the other teams to deal for player B who is less talented, but will now demand more.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:52 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Bingo... Yes, like the Sox getting Dice K and Kei Igawa going to Legends Field and the Yankees getting Johnny Damon and the Sox settling for Coco Crisp.

Two examples, yes, but you understand the point.  You are in the AL East anyways, you have to beat these monsters, so you are going to have to take a shot at these guys, calculated of course, but they have to do it.

Bingo my man, you understand my thoughts

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:56 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Yeah that makes sense, although sometimes things backfire, Jose Contreras for example, not so sure the Yanks were so happy they picked him up for 6 or so mil a year.

While it's nice to be doing that, you can't plan moves around your opponent. If the Rays want Jake Peavy, it's not because we're affraid of the Yanks / Sox getting him, it's because we think he helps our team, obviously he does, but when you start thinking you have to make a deal is when you see Kazmir for Zambrano. Otherwise there is very few negatives in that line of thinking.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 1:04 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Well, you would be killing two birds with one stone and Peavy would help in a multitude of ways.  Heck, he was almost traded to Boston this offseason for Lowell!  His name has come up, and you will see Peavy come up in more discussions.

He does fit my bill.  No, I agree with you be juducious, but you are playing poker, its high stakes with these teams, and the Rays MUST STOP being the little kids in the corner.  If you want to be the team, you have to beat the team.  I would love a Jake Peavy here in Tampa Bay to go with our guys and that would make our pen stronger by putting one of other arms into that pen.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 1:08 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Oh I'd love Peavy too
And I don't doubt we couldn't get him, not sure what the Pads would be asking, since right now I think he's around a 1.20 ERA, so we may as well wait til he cools off enough to lower his value, perhaps ship them an OFer along with a pitcher we're willing to rid ourselves of.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 1:20 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I would not be surprised to see Johan stay right where he is.  Minnesota has their own little money ball thing going, and is competitive year in year out.  It is also considered a nice place to live, and they are building a new stadium.

Remember how long Radke stayed in Minnesota, even when he could have made a lot more money elsewhere?

Minnesota treats its players well, gives them a chance to win, all while staying within a confined budget.  This leads to high morale, and tempts players to stay with the club.

Tampa cannot possibly have anything but poor morale after all of the losing they do.  My guess is we are going to lose a lot of the players we are banking our future on as soon as they can become free agents.  Why would they want to stay in a situation like this?

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 4:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Speaking of which...I saw Bucholtz pitch last week when Portland visited Binghamton.  Bucholtz can DEAL.  That kid is going to go far.

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 4:05 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
You reap what you sew, and the Rays like I said reap from the bottom.  Detroit goes out and pays the price.  That can be said from at least a half dozen to dozen other contenders that go out and pay the price!  So what the prices are exorbitant?  It's the price of doing business in today's MLB market.  You can't just rely on your players 6 years of arbitration eligibility prior to free agency.  This is what Matt Silverman is selling to the media in this region and I don't frigging buy it!!  Bless Ty Wigginton's heart, he is scrappy, but his skill set is what it is!  He will never be a prolific hitter, maybe Young or Dukes can be that but the atmosphere and conditions that exist in the organization are not the most conducive to their maximum development.

Yeah, keep dreaming, I know.  Well you know what,  people and fans bleed and sweat and pay the price and so many fans have been turned off by the Rays here locally they have charred the manager locally.  Fans here want something to embrace and they aren't getting it!  The disconnect is starting to form up.  All I am asking the front office to consider and dial up is the value of some of these players like a Youkilis or a Paul Konerko pay for itself far more than their numbers indicate!  The infatuation with "bargain hunting" has to end at some point, the excuses about the lack of resources has to end from Andrew Friedman and the functional bullpen that Joe Maddon asked for 16 months ago must be DEMANDED!  And like I said, it can't and shouldn't be all about the farm!

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:11 AM EDT   0 recs

Wait...
Before I take the time to respond, how does Youkilis get mentioned in the same breath as Konerko?

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:27 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Wait...
I mention Youkilis because of intangibles, his ability to concentrate, his grit and grime, his contact ability, his ability to work counts and be the lunchpail blue-collar player who can be an asset to this club.  He is just an example of about 6 other guys.  He may not have the HRs of Konerko but I think he will have a .320 average this year.
Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:39 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Wait...
Gotcha, I thought at first you meant an acquisition that blossomed.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:40 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

We've Been Told
That they felt the market wasn't adapt to what the team needed, and that they decided it was worth the team's present and future to come into this off-season with even more cash available to spend. Obviously looking at the names you really have two pitchers in their prime (Zambrano / Buerhle) and a lot of older guys who you wouldn't figure in to the 'future' department. So that leaves trades, which lord knows we could pull off.

Now as far as the 1B department, you mention Overbay, yet he was dealt two years ago, before the new ownership, and the only 'power' 1B around this off-season was Sean Casey or Nomar, who was never leaving the west coast.
07
Casey: .235/.305 0 HR 5 RBI
Pena: .247/.285 6 HR 17 RBI

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:31 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: We've Been Told
Big Z and Buehrle are two names that will command 8 figure average annual value salaries for multiple years on the next contracts, again whether if we agree with it or nt.  I would rather have Zambrano for his upside, for argument's sake, but Buehrle would work for me considering his past resume in the post season.

My point is eventually you are going to have to do this anyways.  The time to start pushing and stop accepting mediocrity both during the season and in the Hot Stove will have to end.  Fans like you and I and other silent majorities will have to crave and demand it too.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:50 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Rotation
Not really an argument to be made, but not like we should've brought a FA in (unless it was Zito or Dice K) rather we should have the young arms up, same with the pen, although I would've loved to have seen Speier added.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:35 AM EDT   0 recs

Actually one thing to say about the rotation
Sure we knew Seo / Fossum / Jackson were bad, but nobody expected them to be as bad as they are. I had Seo pegged for a 4< ERA season, obviously I'm just a lousy predication maker, but in spring he looked like a man possesed, including his weight loss.

Fossum is always streaky, but you have to hope he puts together 6-7 good starts and we can ship him for something.

Jackson is only 23, and has huge upside, obviously upside doesn't win games, but it does create attention if he puts it together.

Speaking of Jackson I had a thought, would you do a Pelfrey for Jackson trade knowing that Pelfrey only has two pitches, and Jackson has all the talent in the world, just no control?

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 12:55 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Actually one thing to say about the rotation
I might just for the purpose of rattling the sabers.  Heck, E-Jax is out of options anyways and he is already stretched out.  I would make that trade considering what more else can you do?  Is that the best the Rays can get?
Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 12:58 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

No Options = Jackson's Downfall
It's pretty unfortunate that it's the case, but what can we do about it.

There's nothing legit about that Pel for Jak rumor, I just was thinking that the two are the same age (I believe) and could benefit from a change of scenary.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 1:06 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Very Easy to Jump Ship
While still ride a 6 game skid it is extremely easy to start to pick apart a young team like the Rays. Is there anything adequate that can be said? Is there anything that can be said that will not be replied quickly with "yeah the Rays are cheap and in last place."

Where was the gloom and doom after we took two from the Yankees?

One thing I do know. One thing I know for a fact is baseball is a long season. In a game that has such a elongated season it is best to have a short term memory.

I tell you one thing I am sick and tired of hearing, "the Rays need to spend money." On who? Please enlighten me, who would have prevented this 6-game slide? Who out there would have the Rays hitters, though young and talent, but and times will have inconsistencies. Could someone please tell me who would have stopped the errors the other night in Baltimore.

Who do you buy to put in the game instead of Brian Stokes? And if they fail, what do we say then? "Oh the Rays overpaid on pitchers that can't get it done."  

In retrospect it's extremely easy to say "oh we shoulda' done this or that."

Winning is not easy. Winning in baseball on consistent basis is a very hard. If I do my job well three times out of ten, I am fired. IN baseball you hit the ball three times out of ten, you're good.  

Soe and Fossom have been abysmal. For whatever reason, they have not gotten it done. You bring in a young guy and they won't get it done, they might even do worse.

The Rays are a good squad, they'll prove it. If the Rays were terrible then almost every team would not be interested in Rocco, CC, Delmon, BJ, Kazmir, and so on, and so forth.  

Hey, remember when the Rays spent money? Do you remember Wilson Alverez Greg Vaughn, Dwight Gooden? Signing those kind of names comes with a price tag and if the player doesn't live up the price tag then you could be worse they were and have less money to fix the bullpen.

Just playing Devil's advocate, let's say the Rays spend money. Let's say they try to fix the problem with this guy or that guy. Now, Kazmir is a free agent. "The Yankees Sign Kazmir for 56 million." Why? The Rays need the money to sign these great, young, and talented kids.

Here is an idea: Except the Rays are a young and talented team.

What does that mean? The Rays will be frustrating. And as easy as it may appear to  say cliches and get down and throw your hands in the air, don't. This is how it will be. The trial and tribulations. Some will sit on the boat and enjoy the ride while will kibitz and talk about what they would do or what would make the ship better.

Go Rays!

Yankees make Tampa Bay a MINOR LEAGUE town, Devil Rays make Tampa Bay a MAJOR LEAGUE town!

by thebaddancingraysfan on May 13, 2007 1:57 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Very Easy to Jump Ship
I brought forth plenty of doubt about this team, and the commitment to winning of ownership, back when we were taking 2 from the Yankees.

Anybody who knows anything about baseball could have seen what we were doing was unsustainable.  Our BABIP's were ridiculous on the offensive side of the plate - this is finally coming around on us.  And our pen was what it has been for years, and we still had Seo-Fossum-Jackson every 3 days.  And this was before we found out James Shields was potentially an all-star in the making.

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 4:25 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Bad Dancer,

I appreciate your candor and all, and I respect your postive nature, but I have been harping on this from day one.  You don't just throw Baseball America's #1 rated farm system on the wall and just hope it sticks out there.  Let me give you an example of a deal that could have been made.  Two years ago, the Rays could have ended up with Josh Beckett and Mike Lowell for a combination of prospects led by BJ Upton at the time.  Ok, Upton is playing well for us now, but Beckett and Lowell could have answered a couple of spots for us AND help us in both the near term and the future.

Its easy to say when you take 2 from the Yankees but a larger sampling of games tells a larger truth about this club.  Don't get me wrong, I loved it too, and the Rays can play with anyone over a short series.  The NDRO is holding their revenue sharing money like cheese on the edge of a hamster wheel and the players are the hamsters trying to bite that cheese.  It doesn't work that way, and as a fan, I can see that.  The principle may be sound, but this club will eventually have to acquire a 1B, either by trade or free agency.  I really do like Wiggy, but he simply isn't prolific enough in the lineup.  It doesn't help either the "player development" attitude of the field manager who feels to give everyone a degree of ABs and forsaking some strategy that has costed the Rays some victories this year.

And the NDRO talks about signing players for the near term and the future.  Any player that is signed to a multiyear contract is going to help a team for both the near term and future.  I have mentioned this before but remember how the Tigers were chastized as well as Pudge Rodriguez for signing that 4 year $40M deal in 2004?  Look who is laughing now?!  How would the Rays look in 20/20 hindsight with a guy like Alan Embree or Hideki Okajima or god forbid, Joe Borowski or Mike Gonzalez in our pen?  The essence of my point is all the NDRO talks about is the minor league system.  The have a death grip on it; its all they talk about and it can not be the cure and the answer for this team.  In its twelve years, they have still not produced a top flight left handed reliever who can matchup and lock down opposing left handed hitters.  Yes, fault can be assigned to the prior regime, but even the NDRO is guilty of some missevaluation.

If you are going to throw your young prizes into battle, you should have procured some reinforcements behind it.  The bullpen is a joke, and it will continue to be a joke with the organization's attitude to it.  I fear that one of the golden arms in Durham or Vero are going to be converted to a pen arm.  The organizations best relief pitching prospect was just busted for performance enhancing drugs and now will have to restart from square one.

As far as names go, I will admit to you, the names were not out there.  But help in the pen was out there, and eventually this team will have to step up to the plate and not exclusively trust the farm to get this team over the hump.  The excitement this team had was generated by curiosity and the fact that the kids hustle and play hard.  Sometimes they make bonehead decisions, but you also have to question if some of these guys are as good as we or the establishment think they are.  I am sorry, but if you want to jump Baltimore and Toronto in the standings, you have to beat them head to head.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 10:24 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Joe,
Very nice rebuttle.We argue about shoulda, woulda coulda until we're blue in the face. The Rays almost landed Hensley Ramirez and Lastings Millage with a three way deal with Boston and New York for Huff and Hall.

Question: you are the GM, what would you do to make this team better? Who was out in the free agency, or trade, that would hands down solidify the bull pen.

I honestly feel you look at any team in the league and analyze their games you can come up with a "shoulda, woulda, coulda."

Oh, and about my optimism; I am just a guy doesn't clock in to my job just wanting to be mediocre. I don't like people to say the Rays can't do something because they "can't." I find that reason to be insufficient. And my pick, like it has been for the last 6 years, is the Rays to win the World Series. Why the hell not? Great talking baseball with you, with everyone.

Go Rays!  

Yankees make Tampa Bay a MINOR LEAGUE town, Devil Rays make Tampa Bay a MAJOR LEAGUE town!

by thebaddancingraysfan on May 13, 2007 3:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I do apploaud your optimism, I want you to be optimistic.  Fans need to be as optimistic about this team.  All I offer is a view from the other side of the coin.  You are absolutely right about the shouldas the wouldas and the couldas..  We are all masterful armchair QBs.  Do I applaud the Rays reinvesting in the minor league system?  Yes I do, but consider everyone else is doing it too.

Hanley Ramirez and Lastings Milledge are parts of the shouldas wouldas and couldas too.  Sooner or later, I argue the future has to become now.  The Rays front office owes it to YOU specifically to find out just how good they can be.  Yes, I know empires aren't built overnight but why should the product be what it is.   Good win today, thank goodness.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 4:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Looking at it..
We lost our second best player (Aki), had our second best reliever fall to a roids suspension, have had 3/5th of the rotation perform poorly, and yet we're only a few games out of third.

Once the young guns are brought up and Aki gets back I'd expect us to go on a tear.

by R.J. Anderson on May 13, 2007 1:49 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I just read a great quote from Billy Beane, which I felt was relevant to this discussion:

--------------------------------------------------
Inaction is a far greater danger than action in this marketplace and taking the chance that you could face some of the things that could possibly happen.  We could sit here in our marketplace and do nothing but draft and develop, but we wouldn't win a lot very consistently.  We might be cute for a while, but we wouldn't win.  
---------------------------------------------------

He was responding to critiques of his renting the services of Frank Thomas and Milton Bradley last year.  Thomas worked out great, Milton not so much.

For years I have followed the A's and Beane from afar.  In many ways I have wanted to understand how they did what they did, because it gave me hope that the Rays could follow a similar path and become a small/mid market success story.

The irony is, the more I read about the Oakland Way, the more drawn I am to what they do.  And the more I watch Tampa's inaction, the more I feel pushed away from what they do.  I can foresee a situation where by the end of the year, I will cut my ties as a Rays fan and become a fan of the A's. Not that it will happen, but it could.

I have lived through too much failure with this organization, and have never felt we had a shred of hope.  At some point, ownership runs the risk of losing what little hardcore fan base it is lucky to have.

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 8:38 PM EDT   0 recs

Consider this...
I agree with the balance of what you said.  Inaction is true.  However, you have to consider who the A's competition is.  I guarantee you if they played the AL East monster 18-19x a year and not 6-9x per year, his mindset would change.  He would have to be far more active than what he is now, giving more impetus for our argument that Stu Sternberg can't just develop players, but he has to compete in the offseason and the Hot Stove at the Winter Meetings and throw his hat and money around and compete for players off the field too!  Its not just on the field where the competition beat the Rays but during the months of November to January too!  

Having said that, what have the A's or the Twins won?  Nothing!  Its about the world championship to me.  And you count success on building world championships not just looking to get in the door.  Look at teams like Detroit, St. Louis and Milwaukee or even Chicago or Houston did it.  You develop a core AND you spend big bucks on difference makers like a Jeff Suppan or turning Carlos Lee into Coco Cordero or Pudge Rodriguez and Kenny Rogers.  The strategy that Stu and Andrew are imposing on the fans here is suicide!

Maybe in time I will be proven wrong or Stu is willing to make an impact in the Hot Stove.  Whaddya say Stu?  Are you ready to throw your money around or are your players the hamsters on the cheese, ready to bite and nibble like minions?

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 9:19 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Maybe I misread the quote, but I think he is saying that is exactly what Oakland does, Joe.  What I took from it is that just doing player development is not enough - you have good young promising players every year, but you never win games.  Kinda like Tampa the past few seasons?  You need to have a great farm system, but you also need to use that farm, and the FA market, to grab players which can make you a winner today instead of tomorrow.  Which is what Chicago and Detroit did.  (And btw, it has been 1.5 decades but Minnesota did win an amazing world series)

What he talks about throughout the interview is a lot of what you mentioned previously in the thread - about being willing to part with a prospect to get the players you need to win NOW.  

He also talks about how winning percentage drives attendance, and how keeping attendance up is vital to keeping his player budget where it is (albeit 1/4 that of the East Coast monsters).  Therefore, Beane says he cannot afford to rebuild, or to fall off.  He must put a winning product on the field to stay afloat.

And that is what I just cannot figure out about Tampa Bay.  If they had a more competitive product, they would have greater team revenues due to increased interest/attendance, and logically more resources to keep their good players or bid for ones that can help them win.

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 9:58 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
I agree with you.  I knew what you meant and the premise of Billy Beane's point is true.

I will say this.  No one will admit it.  So much of baseball's landscape changed with the 1994 strike.  To me, that was the year the line was crossed.  That is when the Two Team League was formed (Boston and New York) and a massive trickle down was formed.  Some corrections were made in the 2002 CBA and reratified last year with some minor modifications, but largely speaking, teams are basically encouraged to spend money to a rather increasingly large luxury tax threshold.  Did you know within 3 years that the new luxury tax barrier will be $175 million per year?

And NYRay, I do agree with you.  I think we are arguing the same point.  Bud Selig doesn't give a fill in the blank about fans in this market or the success of this team.  I have been informed by other members of the media here that the Rays virtually exist as collateral damage to pay off the collusion of the effects of the 1994 strike.  Its too bad, because the fans lose. I have cried too many tears living here for 20 years and hear about "prized, hot minor league prospects"!!!

You got no idea how much I wish I will be wrong.  And I will eat my words with pride if and when I am.  But you know what?  It is what it is.  The only team in the AL with no left hander in the bullpen.  Its cross your fingers every time this team goes to the pen.  As long as the current conditions and and climate exist especially in the AL East, it will be hard.  The Rays can't settle for decent players like Wiggy, Pena and Norton, the thriftiness has to end.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 10:09 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
Thanks Joe.  And I agree with what you wrote about the 1994 strike.  Costas I think somewhat touched upon this in his Fair Ball book.  

There clearly are 2 leagues - Boston, and the 2 New York teams, then everyone else.

Ironically I have always been leery of salary caps. I thought the NFL cap created too much parity, and took a lot of the fun out of following the league. There were no longer dynasty bad guys which everyone could root against.

However MLB clearly needs a salary cap, and has for several years now.  It doesn't have to be low.  Even if it were sitting at $150 mil, I would be happy.  But I think somewhere around $100-$120mil in today's terms would be perfect.  At least it would give hope to a Minnesota or a Detroit, who might spend $80 mil or so, that the Yankees won't simply spend $250 mil to crush them.  There has to be a ceiling somewhere so that teams underneath can at least know the worst case scenario they might be up against.  And unlike the NFL dynasty which was often the product of great drafting, and ran its course after 2 or 3 years, the Yankees-Red Sox dynasty exists every season.

I'm already hearing talk up where I am about how NY and Boston will be in a race to get Johan Santana if the Twins don't sign him in the off season, as if it is their God Given Right to have him.  Honestly I would not surprise me in the least if he ended up in one of those 2 spots, and that is really sad when nobody else is even in the conversation.

by RayFanNY on May 13, 2007 10:29 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: Nobody Should be Disappointed
And the circle is complete.  That is why the Rays have to compete for Santana and/or Jake Peavy.  The Rays NEED to be in the Santana conversation; I believe that he will command a $19-21M annual salary above Zito and the Twins will not be able to match that, regardless of what anyone thinks.  He will have to take a hometown discount, because his value will crush Zito's on the market.  I am not necessarily for a salary cap but a BALANCED schedule can help nullify the payroll effects.  The MLBPA will never accept a cap and I am for better and mechanisms that show the fans that teams like the Rays truly account for their revenue sharing on the major league payroll rather than invest in the minor leagues.  I do believe in a strong minor league system, but all the fans care about are major league wins and losses and not how players are developed.  Its not just for their own benefit, but to hurt and punish Boston and New York.  You know that Big Z, Peavy or Santana are going to end up going east or follow the money.

If anyone can't see it, there is a clear delineation forming within the sport.  Yes, the Milwaukees and the Detroits can rise for a 2-3 year shot but Boston and the New Yorks and the LAs and Chicagos (if they are more smart) will always have an inherent advantage. Even if they fall off the perch, they will always be a factor and will do even more to get back on top with knee jerk reactions (see Roger Clemens).

MLB is on a slippery slope.  A balanced schedule can help the Rays compete and I will bet the Rays can get 6-8 more wins IMMEDIATELY off of a balanced schedule.  The payroll effects would be more neutralized when the pressure is evenly distributed over the entire league.

Joe

by joedobr on May 13, 2007 10:46 PM EDT   0 recs

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