DRaysBay: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:

Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Steve McNair Dead - Former NFL QB Shot and Killed

World Series Game Two: Phillies @ Rays

Mos-def-the-ecstatic_tiny by R.J. Anderson on Comment 1175 comments

Philadelphia Phillies @ Tampa Bay Rays


O/U: 1.5 HRs against Myers?

0 recs | Comment 1175 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Over.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Oct 23, 2008 4:01 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

O/U: 1.5 innings for a Phillies fan to get thrown out?

There were a few in 318 that got tossed barely into the first. That’s $100/inning, gents. Thanks for the contribution.

by PlayOnWords on Oct 23, 2008 4:02 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There were a few good Phils fans around us.

They have nothing on Boston, or even the White Sox fans. I just thought it was hilarious these guys couldn’t even get through the first inning without being escorted out.

by PlayOnWords on Oct 23, 2008 4:11 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I was in 316 I saw the guy get tossed

They let him back in, but I think he got tossed again. I had a family of Phillies fans that made the trip down from Philly in front of me. Good people, good baseball fans. I had a great time jawin’ with ’em.

by rglass44 on Oct 23, 2008 4:15 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Creepy

I guarantee I sit a row or two behind you. You’re talking about the 2 younger guys who wouldn’t stop chanting “Let’s Go Phillies” and making the cowbell-shaking gesture? Were you wearing a Durham Bulls shirt?

by PlayOnWords on Oct 23, 2008 4:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Over by the 3rd

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 4:07 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Over

If the Rays live by the HR and die by the HR, they need to start producing or look bad for the home town folks.

Recipient of the 2008 "The Iron Man" award from scottnak of Halos Heaven!

by 44FAN on Oct 23, 2008 4:13 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Under.

What did Game 5 teach us all about jinxing?

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 4:24 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

My favorite group is doing the National Anthem tonight so I'm considering that a good omen

I just want some extra base hits tonight. Hamels was scary good last night. I mean, for Halloween, Chuck Norris went as Cole Hamels.

by Jason Collette on Oct 23, 2008 4:36 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How funny did those guys look last night

Fat and the one guy has almost no hair

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 23, 2008 4:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It was like the MTV spoof on boy bands...

2gether ruled!

I know my calculus, it says u + me = us

by rglass44 on Oct 23, 2008 4:49 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You going tonight?

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 23, 2008 4:55 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nice

Blake
USF--Class of '09

by usfraysfan on Oct 23, 2008 4:37 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Los Lonely Boys

JoJo, Ringo, and Henry GARZA

Henry Garza is one of the best guitarists you’ve never heard about. Forget the radio play – free listens at

by Jason Collette on Oct 23, 2008 4:57 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

damn url feature

http://www.lala.com/#album/1657606137864190766/

copy and paste that into your browser

by Jason Collette on Oct 23, 2008 4:59 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Needs more cute puppies on the main page

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 23, 2008 5:21 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sealab 2021 is more hilarious than I remembered.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 5:21 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Apparently I really did go too far with the VJ joke.
Hey RJ, loved the article you did for MetsGeek, giving us some interesting info on the 5 Rays you chose.

Thanks so much for that, we loved it. But i have a follow-up question if you don’t mind. I tracked your email down via your blog (which is fabulous btw)

The thing with David Price being legally named at birth “Velociraptor Jesus”….I mean come on, is that real???? That’s started quite the commotion where i work now and i was wondering, if it is truly accurate, is there anything you can point me towards to prove it and shut these non-believers i work with up.

Thanks man.

Go Rays!!!! Beat those phils!

by R.J. Anderson on Oct 23, 2008 6:30 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I almost believed it too...

But I couldn’t find any confirming sources anywhere on the net, and if Wikipedia and Google don’t say it’s true then it can’t possibly be true. =)

It’s at least plausible becuase hey, there’s lots of people with really strange names (like Coco Crisp).

How did this joke start anyway? I like it, but I really don’t get it.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Oct 23, 2008 7:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Because Price is a Velociraptor Jesus.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 7:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

not sure if this was posted

Just heard on 660 that the Rays are having Evan Longoria throw tonights 1st pitch

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 6:46 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That was a joke from The Onion's sports section

God help us all if it’s real too.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Do or Die

What’s on the line in tonight’s game you ask?

Well, I’ve ran the numbers for you. With last night’s win, the Phillies currently sport a 53.22% chance of winning the W.S. Another win from the Phillies tonight, would catapult those percentages up to 74.85. A defecit that would be difficult to overcome. On the otherhand, if the Rays win tonight, their chances of winning the W.S., jump back up to 59.97. If the Rays are fortunate enough to win both games 2 and 3, then the percentages jump up to 77.22%.

vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 7:09 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think you're giving the Rays too much credit. The Phils have at least a 60% chance of winning the series at this point.

Anyway, I ran the numbers too and I come up with the Rays’ chance of winning tonight at 53.97%. I’m curious to see how you had the Rays as favorites in game 1.

by lailaihei on Oct 23, 2008 7:43 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think you're both out of alignment

I’ve ran the numbers and this whole thing about trying to project who’s going to win tonight using senario statistics holds about as much weight as ERA for pitching analysis.

Please please, make this shit stop. Someone.

by kericr on Oct 23, 2008 7:49 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I just ran the numbers

turns out if we win 4 of the next 6, our odds are 100%

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 7:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

just for fun

it’s just for fun… and if you can beat or even break even with Vegas, predicting game outcomes is not worthless. :)
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 7:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, it's fun indeed.

I’ve been somewhat successful so far, but I know it’s mostly small sample size giving me such great results. Check here for my regular season record this year.

by lailaihei on Oct 23, 2008 7:54 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Methodology

What’s your methodology for predicting runs per game for each team?
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 7:59 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I have an excel spreadsheet that I plug numbers into...

Specifically, team baseruns, tRA, +/- team defense, bullpen tRA, starting pitchers average innings, and park factors. Then I use BP’s exponential pythag formula to come up with a win% from those average runs scored numbers.

by lailaihei on Oct 23, 2008 8:02 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What about

such things as, Home Field Advantage, lineup(s), right lefty splits, base running, relievers that aren’t available. How well does it measure vs actual results?
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 8:05 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nope, I haven't taken those into account at all.

The only one I can see doing easily of those is baserunning. Unless there’s some sort of HFA factor I can use for each team, I don’t see throwing out some sort of ‘league-average’ HFA number in there. It takes about an hour to run a 15-game day as it is, and I can’t add in the other things easily without access to databases.

My record is pretty good though.

by lailaihei on Oct 23, 2008 8:13 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Game #1

Vegas was 50/50 in game 1, and I gave the Rays a 1.45% edge, which isn’t much different. If you average out Vegas game lines for games 2 thru 7 which is .54 for the Rays, you get the Phillies with a series win probability of slightly over 57. As for tonight’s game, AccuScore gives the Rays a 66 chance of winning and Vegas is sitting at just over 62%, very much inline with my numbers.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 7:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Outlier

if you look here, you will see that BP’s predictions are the outlier, which means they have some serious flaws. BP is the only source (of many) that had the Phils as favorites headed into this series. There are so many incorrect conclusions you have to come to, to come up with such a prediction. Read the link to find out why.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 23, 2008 8:01 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You guys should wear down Myers

much better than we (Brewers) could.
Our offense was anaemic by the time we got to the postseason… We could loan you Corey Hart if you want someone to inflate Myers’ confidence though. In short I think his postseason success to this point has been the result of facing some teams in offensive slumps. I can see another 8/9 runs for you guys today.

by Braun Holio on Oct 23, 2008 7:33 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Rays better steal some bases.

I wasn’t able to get to a Taco Bell today (they ran the promotion from 2-6PM today for Barty’s SB).

I want tacos.

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 7:44 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I swear I saw something with them being run today.

I might be wrong/

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 7:54 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But I'm happy if its not till next week

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 7:54 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Rays 8 Phillies 3

my prediction

I do not believe in jynx’s at all before anyone says it.

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 7:49 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So funny thing right now,

I’m watching the local channel pregame, and I see this thing with Navi’s clothing line. The first thing I think to myself is ‘God Damn, that’s some ugly looking shit." Then I remember that I saw Andy Sonnanstine on Monday wearing the same exact shirt that Navi was just now wearing and realize that they all have horrible fashion sense.

by kericr on Oct 23, 2008 7:53 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

your loss

you wont get to hear about cat walks now

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 7:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Voila

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 8:01 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It ate my link

Stupid fucker.

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 8:02 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There's another one?

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 8:14 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Gotcha

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 8:15 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good idea

Jeanne annoys the hell out of me!!

by sofladude77 on Oct 23, 2008 8:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Shot for every Ray run?

Hopefully that will make me absolutely shit faced.

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 7:59 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes.

I want to get smashed, why not make it worthwhile.

Carlos and Victor Zambrano have exactly the same number of career postseason wins. Who would have thought?

by Blicks on Oct 23, 2008 8:03 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

give me that damn trophy

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:04 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Wasn't Iwamura posted, or am I on crack?

I really wish the sportscasting crews would do their research so I don’t have to second-guess them all game.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 23, 2008 8:08 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

2-0 5.25ERA

Wins are so important

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:08 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jump on Myers plz

If he starts off shitty, he will get all pissed and get killed

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:11 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The posters there(except for the douche bags) are very welcome here!

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:13 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

is it too much to ask for a CGSO from Shields?

I am asking for it anyway.

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:15 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

hey incase you forgot

Crawford has been with the team since way back when were the Devil Rays!

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:18 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Howard is slumping?

I didn’t know, they never mentioned that!

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:21 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

enough of this pregame shit

Time to start this thing

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:23 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

enough commercials?

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:26 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

who's our DH?

I am guessing Floyd but I like Willy!

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think we are finally starting

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:31 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Skirt?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:32 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

GO PUT IT ON

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:33 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

EVERYONE ELSE DOES

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

EVERYONE ELSE DOES

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

lol Gomes

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:32 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ben Zobrist and Jonny Gomes leading that chant is amazing

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:32 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

another full count

damnit

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:34 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

LONGO!

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:34 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nice Longo

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:34 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good, this means that Utley can only hit a one-run home run.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:35 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good, this means that Utley can only hit a one-run home run.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:35 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I had that ready to go.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:35 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

LATE.

Turn over the keys to the blog, R.J. I’m ready for it.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

...To esoteric?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:37 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just watch. I'd be a great moderator

Not much of a statistical analyst, though.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

RJ isd gonna leave us and I'll be sad. ;_;

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:39 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But awesome posts

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:41 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Of course

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:42 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

kk

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:43 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Of your own self deprecation?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:45 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Because he's unfunny,

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Who?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Where was that pitch, blue?

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:36 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

stop being annoying Utley

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:37 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

BIG GAMES JAMES

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:37 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Shields has shaved his beard and now looks alarmingly like Grant Balfour

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:37 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Now you finally understand:

This is how stupid nicknames get their start. YOU’RE WATCHING HAPPEN RIGHT BEFORE YOUR EYES.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:39 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

ok cool 1st

now lets score

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:37 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Gruden?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:40 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jon Gruden? Ha.

J.P. Howell kindly requests that you please Bach the fuck up.

by esoteric on Oct 23, 2008 8:40 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That was cool.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:42 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

YOU DID NOT JUST DO THAT.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:43 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

BOSS

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on Oct 23, 2008 8:43 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

walk him, load em up for Longo

Matt Garza is in the middle of having his 3rd testicle descend. He will be ready in time to win tonight though.

by joeybw on Oct 23, 2008 8:44 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs