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You can tell Jeff tenderly loves Mr. Sonnanstine, even more than myself.

about 1 year ago Nando_tiny R.J. Anderson 37 comments 0 recs  | 

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tRA assumes that all groundballs from all pitchers are equal

same for line drives, flyballs, etc. which is not true, we just can’t really tell them apart right now. but regressing 100% is more accurate than regressing 0%, so it’s better than ERA, OPS against, etc.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Oct 8, 2008 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Every year

I pick one Ray to be my favorite player. Last year it was Dukes. My choices are not always fortuitous. But this year it was Sonnanstine.

I like him for a number of reasons, most of them already mentioned. But first, I think the statement he does not have great stuff is hyperbole. If by stuff we mean only mid 90s heat, then it is true, but don’t balls that move in the strike zone and breaking balls that are sharp and difficult to time or hit also great stuff?

And second, I like him because he has options. Unlike pure power pitchers who are often lost if the fastball is off that day, Sonnanstine can adjust mid-game, using other pitches to compensate for the lack of one that day.

Mark Buehrle has had a fine career and has even been described as Chicago’s ace. I don’t think he threw one pitch over 89 the other day, (Andy’s fastball is usually 87-89 or so) but like Andy he also throws lots of different pitches & spots them well. The fact that he is a lefty may enhance his value somewhat and make the mediocre fastball less a problem, but I do not see why Sonnanstine cannot be successful with his stuff, smarts, competitiveness and control.

I really do not think Andy is a star, nor do I see him as a top of the rotation pitcher. He will have terrible games (20% in my estimation), and there will probably be years when he loses more than he wins because of poor run support or other factors. His ERA will probably usually be near league average, not outstanding. But teams need those kinds of pitchers on the staff. I am thrilled with his success this year.

by bobr on Oct 7, 2008 9:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good post!

However, ERA is somewhat useless. Sonnanstine’s tRA is fabulous.

The road to hell is paved with Mariners.

by Taylor H on Oct 7, 2008 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Perhaps I mistated

Each year I pick one player, a relative newcomer, as the player I expect to blossom. Earlier picks included Joe Kennedy, Carl Crawford, James Shields, Steve Cox, Aubrey Huff and Ryan Rupe. I think my first pick was Rich Butler.

by bobr on Oct 8, 2008 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Steve Cox

I remember thinking he and Aubrey Huff would lead the organization to their first winning season. Whoops.

by RATW on Oct 8, 2008 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jeff loves the Rays dearly.

The road to hell is paved with Mariners.

by Taylor H on Oct 7, 2008 9:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He refers to the as "we"

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Oct 7, 2008 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you know

The loser of the World Series gets a ring every year for winning their league.

by KvilleRays on Oct 7, 2008 10:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

blah

/makes time machine, goes one minute back, and uses reply button

by KvilleRays on Oct 7, 2008 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What wha wha?

Rare genetic disorder where he ages three times faster than the normal adult? Why do I feel like this is the first time I’ve heard about this? Is that some kind of weird pop culture reference I’m not getting? He looks pretty damn well 25, not 75, to me.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2008 9:41 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

NM

It’s explained in the comments below. Bad joke.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2008 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought it was hilarious

It is not hard at all to photoshop Sonny to look like he’s straight outta Mayberry.

by kericr on Oct 8, 2008 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

He looks a lot better with the beard.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2008 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you mean straight outta Compton

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 8, 2008 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Anyone see Nate Silver on Colbert Report last night?

Of course, he was there to talk about his election blog, but he did well.

He should do more interviews and more baseball talk.

by RATW on Oct 8, 2008 10:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

can you link a video?

Perhaps hulu.com has it.

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 8, 2008 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

got it

Nate Silver on Col-Burt Re-Port

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 8, 2008 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It should also be up on Colbertnation.com

[/corporate sponsor]

He did compare the Rays to Barack Obama.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2008 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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