2008 Player Reviews: Nando
by P Brady on Nov 17, 2008 8:00 AM EST
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PrintFernando Perez, who began the year in AAA and off the radar of most prospect lists. Fernando Perez's best weapon is his insane speed and his ability to defy normal BABIP standards. He also has good patience, posting a very good 18% O-Swing. Basically, he went from a relative unknown to a RF candidate for 2009.
Perez began the year in AAA as mentioned earlier, where he hit .288/.360/.393 in 511 ABs. Interestlingly to note, it was his 3rd year in a row where he posted a BABIP over .400 in the minors, further explaining his major speed. The stadium in Durham also has that monster wall that could have sapped his power, so keep that in mind. Perez played good D in CF all year, and snagged 43 bags.
As a september callup, Perez excelled, hitting .250/.348/.433 while posting a BABIP .100 points off his career average, at .293. He primarily played RF where he graded fairly well, and was a big speed threat. For next year, I would guess his BABIP would regress to the .340 range, and his power would rest at .420 SLG or so. .300/.360/.420 sounds about right, add in Defense, and Perez couls definitely be a formidable RF option.
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I'd always said I thought he'd be like Dave Roberts
But this would have been the third best season (on a rate stat basis) of Roberts’ career. Maybe I was undershooting a bit, and I’ve had him rated as a top 10 prospect in the organization for three years now (and he’s still in my top 10, FWIW).
Vogt early, Vogt often.
nice write up
Pretty similar to CC’s career numbers of .293/.330/.435. I know you are just using / making a projection, but using that it looks like by the end of Crawfords contract or if a trade occurs it looks like Nando will be able to step in and take over, The K’s obviously have to come down though.
IF only Harry Carey could be arounde for Kosuke.
by CubFanRaysaddict on Nov 17, 2008 9:58 AM EST reply actions
The speed in our OF if he takes over would be downright disgusting
I would like to see Nando as a 4th OF. There for pinch running and defense.
However it wouldn’t be the WORST thing if we can’t make a trade and he is our RF.
I still like Gross as the RF against righties in that case
But I agree he’d be good as a 4th OF.
I could be wrong though
by staplemaniac on Nov 17, 2008 12:15 PM EST up reply actions
I think a Gross/Fernando platoon in RF would work fine.
Fernando can handle himself quite will from the right side of the plate.
Any one think Fernie could put up Denard Span type numbers? Not the biggest slugger in the world but get hits and gets on base.
His speed helps that though.
because even on routine GBs he can beat them out, leading to the high BABIP.
I could be wrong though
by staplemaniac on Nov 17, 2008 2:39 PM EST up reply actions
I see now
That I stated the implied
I could be wrong though
by staplemaniac on Nov 17, 2008 5:06 PM EST up reply actions
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=7755&position=OF
he’s had a .400 babip for three striaght.
by walkoffwalk on Nov 17, 2008 11:20 PM EST up reply actions
looks like you've got the cart pulling the ox here
he posted a BABIP over .400 in the minors, further explaining his major speed.
But I know what you mean. Good analysis. I’m going to have to ask my writing teacher who also teaches at Columbia if she ever had him in her class.
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