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Trivial Rays Note About Steals

Digging through assorted Rays history in a database, I wanted to find out how often Carl Crawford attempted a steal. More specifically, I wanted the percentage of times on base that Crawford ran. If you recall I figured something similar a few weeks ago, but I wanted to also see where he ranked in Rays history.

Much to my surprise, when I lowered the times on base threshold to 10 (SSS, I know) Nathan Haynes name popped up. Haynes reached based 13 times this season, and attempted five steals. Of course, that doesn't account for Haynes pinch running, and I don't have the play-by-play database abilities to filter that down, so take it for what it is.

After my near Haynes experience, I turned back to the original question. You shouldn't be surprised to learn that Crawford dominates the list, with his highest being 33.5% in 2004. Here's a list of the top 10:

Player Year SB CS H BB HBP TOB SBA SBP
Crawford 2004 59 15 185 35 1 221 74 0.3348
Crawford 2003 55 10 177 26 1 204 65 0.3186
Winn 1998 26 12 94 29 1 124 38 0.3065
Crawford 2006 58 9 183 37 4 224 67 0.2991
Tyner 2001 31 6 111 15 3 129 37 0.2868
Crawford 2007 50 10 184 32 5 221 60 0.2715
Cairo 2000 28 7 98 29 2 129 35 0.2713
Upton 2008 44 16 145 97 2 244 60 0.2459
Crawford 2005 46 8 194 27 5 226 54 0.2389
Crawford 2008 25 7 121 30 2 153 32 0.2092

On the other hand, how about the guys who got on base 100+ times, aren't catchers, and got the steal sign the least? Here you go:

Player Year SB CS H BB HBP TOB SBA SBP
Canseco 1999 3 0 120 58 7 185 3 0.0162
Trammell 1999 0 2 82 43 1 126 2 0.0159
Cantu 2006 1 1 103 26 3 132 2 0.0152
McGriff 2001 1 1 109 40 0 149 2 0.0134
Pena 2008 1 1 121 96 12 229 2 0.0087
McGriff 2000 2 0 157 91 0 248 2 0.0081
Boggs 1999 1 0 88 38 0 126 1 0.0079
Cantu 2005 1 0 171 19 6 196 1 0.0051
Pena 2007 1 0 138 103 10 251 1 0.004
McGriff 1999 1 0 164 86 1 251 1 0.004

Cantu is the only one of these players who was not in the latter stages of his career (or at least older than 28), yet somehow he was listed twice. God blessed that Human Lawn Statue, just not with speed.

0 recs  |  Comment 3 comments

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Hey R.J.

Love your work both here and at BTB. But just wanted to ask, wasn’t Crawford on significantly more than that? When you consider errors and fielder’s choices (and as you said, pinch-running) it seems there would be a significant number of extra times on base not included in the table. Also, while unlikely, Crawford may have attempted to steal both second and third a couple of times. Also, a couple of uncontrolled variables, but this method penalizes power hitters, because you’re much less likely to steal after an XBH, and guys in offenses, because there will be other guys on base “clogging the bases”.

Also, I think you should subtract HR’s, since you cant exactly steal after those. Well, maybe Jason Bartlett could. He’s THAT valuable. ;-)

But keep up the interesting analysis. When you can get a Dodger fan on a Rays blog, you’re doing a good job. Oh, and STOP taking our prospects!!! ;-)

by Brendan Scolari on Dec 1, 2008 5:16 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

*Meant to say it penalizes guys in good offenses

because there will be more guys on base “clogging the bases”

by Brendan Scolari on Dec 1, 2008 5:18 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I definitely unerstand your point.

Unfortunately the database I’m using doesn’t have RBOE statistics.

Perhaps subtract triples too? Although Crawford has stolen home before…

by R.J. Anderson on Dec 1, 2008 8:17 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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