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Player Review: Willy Aybar

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Acquired for Jeff Ridgway in January, Aybar was a key cog for the team. Aybar's versatility paid off big time. He ended up being a very useful utility player playing every infield position over the course of the year and playing them pretty well.

Star-divide

Looking at Willy Aybar's stats for the season, one would think it was disipointment. He had the lowest wOBA of his career (.332, wOBA+ of 99), but this doesn't tell the whole story. His OPS on the year was .737. His OPS when Evan Longoria got hurt and he took over the daily duties was .892. This, to me, sums up the year for Aybar. In the middle of a tough division battle, the team's MVP goes down days after another star goes down, and Willy steps to the plate and keeps the team from missing a beat. I don't know exactly why he was so much better over that span (was he lucky, was he in a "groove," etc.), but I do know that when the team relied on him he was there. Isn't that exactly what you want from a guy off the bench?

Looking at his peripherals, it seems that Aybar may have been a little unlucky this year in underperforming his previous totals. Despite hitting for the highest LD% of his career (20.5% vs. 18%), his BABIP was a career low and far below his career average (.267 vs. .298). If 3% more of his batted balls had gone for hits his average would have been more in the .278 range (just higher than his career .273 mark). Additionally, Aybar seemed to add a bit more pop to his swing. This is evident in his increased LD and FB rates, coupled with his increase in HR/FB rate. How much of this is merely statistival veriation will likely play out in the future, but a HR/FB rate of 9% does not seem to scream "lucky." As such, his ISoP was up considerably to .157 (career is .141).

His discipline rates were right in line with his career numbers. He swung at 22.5% of balls OOZ and 62% in-zone (versus 21.5% and 62%). He walked in 9% of his PAs and struck-out in 13.6% (versus 10.7% and 13.9%). This is interesting considering his changes in his balls-in-play results. It makes one wonder if they are merely statistical variation or due to his maturation as a ball-player (being 25 rather than 22-23).

Willy Aybar had a good year. He wasn't that great with the stick over the course of the year. He wasn't that great with the glove. He was, however, very solid when the team needed him. Going into next year, I would have no issues depending on him in a larger role because I would expect that he'd produce at a better rate than he did this year or in years past.

 

BOOTS WIT DA FURRRR!!!!

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Looking at Willy Aybar’s stats for the season, one would think it was disipointment. He had the lowest wOBA of his career (.332, wOBA+ of 99), but this doesn’t tell the whole story. His OPS on the year was .737. His OPS when Evan Longoria got hurt and he took over the daily duties was .892.

Does that suggest he is better suited as an everyday player than a bench player? Or, is that just SSS nonsense?

by walkoffwalk on Nov 7, 2008 10:34 AM EST reply actions  

I'd guess SSS

I also wonder how much his injury threw off his timing. I imagine it would be hard to get back into the swing of things getting ABs somewhat infrequently. He struggled at the beginning of the year when he was playing everyday for Pena, for whatever that’s worth.

by rglass44 on Nov 7, 2008 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

What would be the one position you would like to lock him into?

I could see him being an everyday 2B (range probably not as good as Aki, bat seems better), or if he wants to do some speed training in the offseason I would like to see him penciled in as our starting RF next season.

Anyway, as I was lying in the puddle, I think I may have found
a way for us to get Bonds and Griffey, and we wouldn't have to give up
that much.

~George Costanza~

by Sandy Kazmir on Nov 7, 2008 11:19 AM EST reply actions  

i would love to see Aybar as an everyday RHer

Hes been to good to occasionally DH and play 3B and 1B, get him in the OF

by hFLYNN on Nov 7, 2008 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Won't his bat be below average there?

I prefer him to replace Aki at second. Aki’s nothing special at 2nd.

by Ben Tumbling on Nov 7, 2008 4:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Funny thing about that.

Chone Smith’s 2009 projections have Aki and Aybar both at 0 runs at second base.

by R.J. Anderson on Nov 7, 2008 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

With defensive value the same...

Offensively, Aki’s a .750 OPS guy; Aybar might be an .850. Agree?

by Ben Tumbling on Nov 7, 2008 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes

He could be the RH half of the RF platoon and the LH half of the DH platoon, as a fallback position.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Nov 7, 2008 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

And....
In the middle of a tough division battle, the team’s MVP goes down days after another star goes down, and Willy steps to the plate and keeps the team from missing a beat. I don’t know exactly why he was so much better over that span (was he lucky, was he in a “groove,” etc.), but I do know that when the team relied on him he was there. Isn’t that exactly what you want from a guy off the bench?

Boom Baby! That sums it up

www.outsperswing.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 7, 2008 12:33 PM EST reply actions  

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