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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Bullpen Bargains: Lance Cormier

Today's candidate is another AL East non-tender, Lance Cormier. Cormier is somewhat of a swing man. He has been used predominately as a reliever(144 career relief appearances), but has made 24 starts including 19 over the past three seasons. Originally a draft pick of the Arizona Diamondbacks, he has also pitched for the Atlanta Braves and most recently with the Baltimore Orioles in 2008.

We love to look at the splits here at DraysBay, but we might not want to look at Cormier's splits because they are just awful. For his career, his LHOPS against is .858 which is bad, but that's a righty facing a lefty. Certainly his numbers vs. right handers must be better....wrong. His RHOPS against is a whopping .883. Basically, he turns a left handed batter into Joe Mauer and right handed batter into Miguel Cabrera. Career wise he doesn't look like a good option, but his 2008 season was very encouraging.

His FIP of 4.04 would've been the third best in the Rays bullpen behind Grant Balfour and J.P. Howell. His OPS splits also dramatically decreased on both sides, but especially against left-handed batters. His RHOPS against dropped over .100 points to .772 and his LHOPS dropped almost .200 down to a loogy like .667. That's a very encouraging number given the fact that he logged 31.2 innings vs. left handed batters in 2008. Also very encouraging is the number for ground balls he induced. For his career, he is over 51% ground-ball, but in 2008 that number increased to 56.8% while his fly-ball percentage dropped from 27.5% to 22.00%

So what was different from 2008 than the seasons past? Pitch selection. Cormier has three main pitches: A fastball around 90, a cutter around 88 and a curveball around 78. In previous seasons he threw that fastball over 50% of the time, but in 2008 he dropped that way down to 28%. While limiting his fastball, he started throwing his cutter a little more and his curveball a lot more. He threw his curveball almost 12% more in 2008 than in 2007 and 15% more than 2006. His career K/BB rate of 1.25 is poor and his SwStr% is unimpressive, but then again so was Chad Bradford's and Cormier won't cost $3.5 million.

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I noticed this change in approach as well..

It makes sense that by using more cutters Cormier could quite effectively increase his GB-rate. I don’t love the guy, but I wouldn’t mind getting a cheap look at him.

by rglass44 on Dec 17, 2008 8:29 AM EST reply actions  

Yep

I like the fact that it seems like he figured out how to pitch effectively by making the selection change. None of these guys are perfect, but like you said these guys are cheap and it doesn’t hurt to try them out.

by Tommy Rancel on Dec 17, 2008 8:48 AM EST up reply actions  

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