I think the Yankees are in trouble. They are relying on a rotation that includes 2 virtual rookies and two rather old pitchers, one of whom has declined in 3 of his last 4 years. They also have a largely unproven bullpen. And I do not see much depth to withstand injury or ineffectiveness, although I may be underrating some of the higher level prospects in saying that. Still, the first line after the starters appear to be Rasner, Igawa and Karstens, and I doubt that is a comforting thought to Yankee fans.

As for the offense, it will probably continue to be excellent. But except for Cano and Cabrera, I don't see anyone who can be expected to improve, while I do see the probability of some regression at every other position (from last year, that is). In some cases, age and injury are particularly of concern, as with Damon, Matsui, Giambi and even Abreu. In others, it seems unlikely they will repeat their 2007 performance, although I suppose A-Rod could. But Posada? They should still score plenty, but perhaps not enough to overcome pitching problems that seem looming.

I also don't think they are particularly good defensively, but there the criticism may be overdone. Chances are Cano and Cabrera are excellent and A-Rod can be also. Damon's arm is not as much a problem in LF, and he does have good range there, while Abreu is probably good enough in RF. But Giambi will not help his infielders much, Posada is adequate but not outstanding defensively, and I have no comment on Jeter except that he is a great player and a Hall of Famer.

In any case, I think there is a sense that this team is put together a bit with spit and glue. At least, unlike in the past, they do seem to have a solid bench, and that should help, so it is premature to count them out. But right now, I see them as a 3rd, and with some Rays' luck, a 4th place team.