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Meet the Candidates: Aaron Crow

The June draft may be a little over a month and a half away, but the Rays have been on the clock since the end of the 2007 season. Another finish at the bottom of the standings means the Rays once again will be picking first overall in June, and this year it seems four players are "in the running" to be selected, though by no means are the Rays excluding everybody else. Continuing today, we'll take a look at a candidate each day, culminating Friday with my first mock draft of the spring as well as your chance to vote for who you think the pick should be. Today we profile Aaron Crow, a right-handed pitcher from Missouri, after the jump.

Star-divide

 

The Rays might have an embarrassment of pitching riches in their farm system, but everyone knows the saying in baseball: You can't have too much pitching. And even if you could, once you see a guy like Aaron Crow, it's hard to argue against adding him anyway.

Crow entered the season as either college's best or second-best pitcher, and after about 2 months of play, there's still no clear consensus on the Crow vs. Matusz debate. What is clear, though, is that Crow can not only pitch but he can dominate. His 42+ inning scoreless streak was snapped last Friday thanks to some terrible pitching weather(fun fact: Todd Helton -- yes, THAT Todd Helton -- holds the NCAA consecutive scoreless innings streak at 47.2). His most recent outing wreaked havoc on his statline, raising it nearly a run and a half, but on the season it's still impressive: 8-0, 2.05 ERA, 45 hits, 13 walks, and 71 strikeouts in 57 innings. He's been a workhorse for the Tigers, tossing three complete-game shutouts.

Crow has a nice, though maybe not perfect, pitcher's body, standing at 6'3" and weighing 195 pounds. He works off a nasty fastball-slider combo, and was rated by BaseballAmerica as being tops in each pitch. His fastball can scrape the upper nineties, but he works in the 92-95 range with good life and command. He can locate his low-80's tight slider giving him a legitimate strikeout pitch. His strikeout numbers in the past were actually pretty low, less than 7 per 9 innings, though this year it's up to over 11. Like Alvarez, Crow has had success against wood bats in his career, dominating the Cape Cod League to the tune of a 0.67 ERA.

Perhaps the biggest(only?) concern about Crow is his mechanics. Kiley McDaniel did an excellent report on his mechanics(highly recommended), so I'll just summarize the concern here. Basically, as Kiley describes, it's a wrapping of the wrist that causes more muscles to be used, and thus, increased probability of putting more stress on the arm. To date, Crow has not had any arm problems, and as noted, it's a red flag and not a fatal flaw, but worth keeping an eye on.

Lastly, what would happen if the Rays drafted him? Like David Price a year ago, the team would be understandably cautious with Crow. I don't think they'll shut him down entirely like Price, but regardless of when he signs, he would likely only make a few appearances, though his workload as a Ray would hinge on his workload with Missouri the rest of the year. If he does pitch this year, it would probably be at low-A Columbus before heading to Vero Beach to start the 2009 season. He's a pretty polished pitcher, so assuming health and relative success, Crow could force his way all the way to bigs before the 2009 season is over.

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Other candidates?

Hey, Kevin, I appreciate the series. I agree you’ve got the top-four consensus picks right now, but I kind of wonder with two months left if there isn’t a chance the consensus changes. The way we view the draft now, somebody like Buster Posey of Florida State would be a reach at #1, but who can say if that will be the case on Draft Day. I know teams should take the top guy on their board, but he’s already up to #7 in the BA draft rankings, he fits the biggest organizational need at C, and he’s a college guy who should move fast.

Anyway, just wanted to say my piece. Keep up the good work.

by Baseless Speculation on Apr 15, 2008 1:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I might do something like that

Maybe on Friday along with the mock draft I’ll give a little rundown of the other guys.

by Kevin Gengler on Apr 15, 2008 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Age

How old is this guy. Alverez too, how old is he?

Mound Visit

by Mound Visit on Apr 15, 2008 1:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Oops. Should've included that.

Crow was born on 11/11/86, making him 21, turning 22 next offseason. Alvarez was born 2/6/87, also 21, also turning 22 next offseason.

by Kevin Gengler on Apr 15, 2008 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I Agree

Kev,

I did a review on him as well a while back, and that wrist wrap was evident in the video I saw. Like you said its a correctable flaw, but it is a concern. It causes him to get out in front a little, putting more pressure on the elbow than you’d like.

Also, his frame is small, but to this point that hasn’t effected his durability. This is nitpicking to some degree, but you have to do your due dilligence with such an important pick.

On pure stuff, he’s the best arm in the draft. The question remains what exactly the Rays think is the best for the organization.

by EricSan on Apr 16, 2008 1:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey, nice to see you around here Eric

You always had some good thoughts over at Rays Anatomy. I hope you’ll become a regular.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on Apr 16, 2008 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

I appreciate the kind words Patrick, both here and at another site where some unfortunate things were said about me. I’ll do my best to keep my eye on anything Rays that will be worth debating about.

Gengler, by the way, I did a profile on Eric Hosmer too. He’s probably not in the running for the top overall selection, but he’s going to be a big name during the opening round of the draft.

by EricSan on Apr 16, 2008 11:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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