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4/24: RAYS 5, Toronto 3

RAYS 5, Toronto 3

Champion Stadium
Lake Buena Vista, FL


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Toronto 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 7 2
RAYS 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 X 5 8 0

Win Probability Table and Stats Courtesy of Fan Graphs

Three Up
Player WPA
RP Gary Glover .160
C Dioner Navarro .157
3B Evan Longoria .147
Three Down
Player WPA
2B Akinori Iwamura -.137
RF Gabe Gross -.068
SP A. Sonnanstine -.052

RAYS SWEEP!!!!!!!!!

Poll
Who was the MVP of tonight's game?
LF Carl Crawford
23 votes
3B Evan Longoria
80 votes
DH Eric Hinske
7 votes
C Dioner Navarro
11 votes
SP Andy Sonnanstine
24 votes
RP Gary Glover
11 votes

156 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 25 comments

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Comments

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DISNEY WORLD SERIES CHAMPS!

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on Apr 24, 2008 10:31 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Wakefield tomorrow

He practically owns us.

www.citadel-insurance.com

by SeanDubbs on Apr 24, 2008 10:31 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Garza!

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on Apr 24, 2008 10:31 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Garza!

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on Apr 24, 2008 10:35 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Actually, Wakefield owns the Devil Rays. These are not they.

Also, why is Navarro even listed in this poll as an MVP choice?

by kericr on Apr 25, 2008 12:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Same team by any other name

And Navarro is listed as an MVP choice because he got on base in three of his four plate appearances and drove in a run.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on Apr 25, 2008 2:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think Haynes is gone tomorrow.

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on Apr 24, 2008 10:38 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

My money is on Haynes as well.

I’m sure he knows and was saying his goodbyes.

www.citadel-insurance.com

by SeanDubbs on Apr 24, 2008 10:39 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think Garza shut-out the sox last year.

by websterjtc on Apr 24, 2008 11:33 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That negative WPA is awfully harsh for a guy whose only RBI allowed came from a ground out following a hit and run.

Really though, another encouraging outing by Sonny. Definitely hope they keep him in the rotation.

by Vin on Apr 25, 2008 12:15 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Agreed

I was a little surprised to see Sonny with a negative WPA, though the WPAs have changed since last night and he is now down to -.038, FWIW.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on Apr 25, 2008 2:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Meh, still

he gave us as much of a chance to win last night as anyone else did.

Even if you just go by his line, 6 1/3 IP; 3ER is still a quality start and shouldn’t amount to a negative WPA.

Which I’m guessing just means he hurt our chances of winning.

by Vin on Apr 25, 2008 2:36 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think it has to do with leverage situations

Based on the graph, he pitched through relatively low leverage situations in the first six innings or so of the game, and the Blue Jays led for most of that time. I think that’s what’s knocking him down. Again, WPA isn’t perfect, and circumstances like this show it, but it is still the best way to judge “high leverage situations”, and FanGraphs displays it in a visual form.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on Apr 25, 2008 2:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I wasn't sure

how WPA was actually calculated. I’m sure as a whole its a fine stat, I just don’t agree with it in this instance.

Thanks for clearing that up.

by Vin on Apr 25, 2008 4:03 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sonnanstine

Andy has started 5 games. Here are his lines:
6 IP; 6 hits; 4 ER; 0 BBs; 4 Ks
6; 7; 4; 2; 3
3.1; 9; 7; 1; 2
9; 3; 0; 1; 4
6.1; 6; 3; 2; 3

So in 4 of the 5 games he gave the Rays a fair chance to win. In one he was hammered and in 1 he was outstanding.

While I think as he gains experience he will improve the numbers a bit, perhaps a few more Ks and fewer BBs & perhaps another .1 inning per start, I think that is about the pattern we can expect. If so, it makes for a valuable #4 or 5 starter. Because he will likely have a truly terrible outing about 1 in 4 or 5 starts, my guess is his ERA will generally be high, albeit I think under 5 eventually.

A few years ago there was an interesting discussion on another site about the concept of “innings eaters”. The question raised was why was it valuable to use up a lot of innings if the pitcher was ineffective. I think Sonnanstine might be part of the answer to the question of definition; an innings eater as a pitcher who may not be a star but who does pitch reasonably well while saving the bullpen.

by bobr on Apr 25, 2008 2:51 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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