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What to do when Aybar returns

Suppose the Rays cannot make a deal. After all, players like Dan Johnson passed through waivers (twice) without any apparently worthwhile offers. There is no guarantee that either Gomes or Hinske would bring back anything right now, and I doubt the Rays want to go without a real shortstop reserve. I also like the idea of Gross the way Maddon is using him now.

 

I posted this suggestion on another site and wonder if anyone else sees any legitimacy to it.

 

"I doubt this will happen but it is what I would prefer. Replace Glover with Aybar.

Teams have increasingly specialized bullpen roles so that they need more relievers, going from 10-11-12 man staffs over the years. I dislike that trend as it limits offensive and defensive replacements and I think also limits the value of each individual pitcher.

As a matter of fact, it seems to me that Maddon is moving in the opposite direction, stretching his relievers. Part of Howell's value are his 3 inning stints, and Wheeler often goes 2. I think Reyes can as well, while even Miller does more than loogy work.

If Hammel (or as I suggest above, Niemann*) can be the righty complement to Howell, that would make the 12th man almost superfluous. At the same time, it would increase both offensive and defensive flexibility to have a bench of Zobrist, Aybar, Hinske, Gomes and Gross (in addition to Riggans)."

 

*Since returning to Durham, Niemann has had his pitch counts limited and has pitched 3, 3.1 & 4 innings. Although he always starts and is increasing his innings each game, it may be that his best chance is as a long reliever/spot starter. Perhaps it is still to early to relegate him there, but as I always hark back to Earl Weaver's practice, it could also be the least stressful way to introduce him into the majors without stereotyping him as a reliever.

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Anything to get rid of Glover...

Actually, though, that’s a really interesting idea. I doubt the Rays will do it as well, but I could see it working out for them. My only concern would be overtaxing our bullpen. Obviously I’d rather see someone out there besides Glover, but I really don’t want to see Wheeler getting worked for 2 innings each game. If we continue to work our most valuable relievers a heck of a lot, how effective will they be down the stretch?

This goes back to a fanpost I put up awhile ago, mentioning how I think we should go after another reliever at the break instead of a hitter or starter. At least in my mind, you can never have too much bullpen depth. At the same time, I would be perfectly fine with replacing Glover with Aybar, just as long as it wasn’t a season long change in our bullpen depth.

"I never threw an illegal pitch. The trouble is, once in a while I toss one that ain't never been seen by this generation." - Satchel Paige

by slowjo on May 22, 2008 12:37 PM EDT   0 recs

Aybar

played 2B last night at VB. It looks to be an indication that Zobrist’s job is most threatened by Aybar. Aybar can handle 2B and 3B but he might be short in range and arm strength for SS. Zobrist OTOH is not a league average SS by any means but he looks like a decent guy for occasional use there. Tough call to take Aybar unless you believe in Bartlett’s durability to play every day. (I don’t)

Re: Niemann, his recent pitch counts are not really relevent to his final landing spot. But it would make some sense to bring him up as a reliever (spot starter) when the time comes.

RJ is not an elitist douchebag who hates scouting

by ttnorm on May 22, 2008 12:37 PM EDT   0 recs

Yeah, Zobrist isn't going anywhere

At every point this year, the team has had someone to back up Bartlett at SS, whether it be Johnson, Cannizaro, or now Zobrist as was originally planned. Aybar just doesn’t have the ability to follow in that trend, so I think Zobrist is pretty much locked in. Besides, he’s gotten off to a fairly decent start. I want to see where this takes him.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on May 22, 2008 12:40 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Any thoughts on Aki at SS if it was just to give Barty a breather?

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on May 22, 2008 12:47 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Hmm

He’s never played there, but I’m sure that, with time, he would grow to be at least a passable option. If the team began practicing him there, yeah I betcha he could work there after a time.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on May 22, 2008 12:57 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I don't think so

The Rays had concerns about his arm strength at 3B. SS is out of the question.

RJ is not an elitist douchebag who hates scouting

by ttnorm on May 22, 2008 1:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Well

3B is a farther throw than SS. Aki would be a well below average SS. From what I can tell, his range at 2B is limited. He makes up for that being extremely sure handed and his ability to turn double plays is exceptional. But his lack of range would be exposed at SS in a big way.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on May 22, 2008 1:09 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

No its not

At least according to the scouts, plus arm strength is demanded at SS. C is next followed by 3B, RF, CF, 2B, LF, 1B.

RJ is not an elitist douchebag who hates scouting

by ttnorm on May 22, 2008 1:26 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

We're talking 5-10 games a year allowing for an extra roster spot for all 162

Doesn’t that make it worth it? I mean, hell, we had Harris there last year and that guy looked looked like he had lead shoes on. Plus my fantasy team could use Aki with SS eligibility.

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on May 22, 2008 1:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

My guess is you are both right on this one

There is no doubting the throw is farther. At the same time, the ball gets to corner infield much faster, as its had less distance to travel…thus giving the 3B more time to throw than a shortstop typically gets.

by GomesSweetGomes on May 22, 2008 2:01 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Probably

Considering his previous experience at the position. At this point though I think the team likes for him to have positional stability though. But in emergencies, I’m sure he could and would.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on May 22, 2008 2:03 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

To me its about use

Zobrist will get little PT in conjunction with Aybar’s presence except as a late defensive replacement. Seems you’d be holding 2 guys that will play little and potentially overtaxing key pen guys as a result.

While Glover is not long for this world (won’t Salas hopefully move him soon enough), I’d keep Aybar’s superior bat and send Zobrist down but a phone call away. Bartlett has missed what 3 games? If Aybar can’t handle the spot – and I readily admit there’s no evidence he can, since he’s never played there – then you have to keep Zob. Seems the real surplus is with Gross, Hinske and Floyd. Trading one of the latter 2 makes sense, but one can’t just snap their finger and make it happen. Hard to ditch Hinske when he’s been so valuable – and is much cheaper than Cliff.

D. Ward just went down for the Cubs – they could be looking for a lefty bench bat if their callup doesn’t get it done, and Floyd loves ChiTown. Plus the Cubs seem to toss money like water and Lou loves the vets. Maybe a package for Murton, so discussed in the preseason? Probably a stretch, since they see Ward as a guy to give Lee a rest, and Floyd can’t do that. Price is probably too high.

by nyyfaninlaaland on May 22, 2008 2:45 PM EDT   0 recs

With a completely healthy roster, we have less of a use for Gross than Zobrist. As long as Hinske is mashing and Floyd is healthy, Gross’ bat isn’t really needed. Which means his only value to this team is as a guy with arm strength to put in RF in late innings, and as an emergency CF option.

Zobrist can play that backup CF role, and he is the only player who can backup Bartlett at SS.

I like the idea of gettting rid of Glover for Aybar the most.

Cliff Floyd will not get traded this year, unless we completely quit competing by the trade deadline. He gives this team invaluable experience and the most consistent bat of all the LH bats on our team, aside from CC and Pena. I dont see there being any interest in Murton, especially not for Price.

by blazinrayz on May 22, 2008 4:15 PM EDT   0 recs

What is all of this Price trade talk?

I think he meant the price for Murton is too high, not trade Price for him.

by SuperB on May 22, 2008 4:34 PM EDT   0 recs

I know what he meant. I was just joking about Price.

Aybar’s return is interesting because it reveals how flawed Hinske, Floyd, and Gross are against lefties.

by hellickson on May 22, 2008 5:08 PM EDT   0 recs

No

Thats been revealed for some time now.

by Vin on May 23, 2008 10:38 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I mean its interesting that Aybar is looked as a good bat when Pecota projections are

253 .324 .378 for this year. His bat is below average at DH or right-field. Who knows what kind of defense he has at RF or 2nd base?
I know Hinske, Floyd, and Gross ineptitude against lefties have existed for a while. I meant it funny how Aybar is expected to fill one of their roles when he is a complete question mark himself. Also, I don’t see how your comment adds anything.

by hellickson on May 23, 2008 1:05 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

What?

You’re making conclusions (“His bat is below average at DH or right-field.”) based off of pecota projections?

I’m just going to let this speak for itself:

The numbers are from a couple of weeks ago when I make that chart, but they haven’t changed much. Bottom line is, Aybar’s bat against lefties isn’t really a question mark and he’s much more athletic than Gomes and Hinske so its not a stretch that he can play RF with a decent measure of adequacy.

by Vin on May 23, 2008 3:22 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

You didn't have to convince me.

A 1.306 OPS is way above average for a DH or RF, I’m sorry I don’t realize he was this good. There’s no debate Aybar’s the better bat against lefties, but where does he fit? He solves one problem and causes another.

by hellickson on May 23, 2008 3:57 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

  • I’m sorry I didn’t realize he was this good.

by hellickson on May 23, 2008 3:58 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Having more talented players is never a problem.

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on May 23, 2008 4:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Baseball America

would seem to question Aybar’s bat especially in a hitter’s position like RF. Here is their scouting report on Aybar following the January Trade.

Aybar, 24, is the older brother of Angels shortstop Erick Aybar. Willy last played in 2006, when he hit .314 with 10 homers in 53 Triple-A games and .280 with four homers in 79 big league games, going from the Dodgers to the Braves in a July 28 trade for Wilson Betemit. He’s a switch-hitter with gap power from both sides of the plate and a patient approach. Defensively, he offers a strong arm and soft hands. Aybar has played mostly third and second base, but he may lack the pop for the former position and doesn’t have the range for the latter. Tampa Bay plans on using him as a utilityman and also giving him time at first base and on the outfield corners.

RJ is not an elitist douchebag who hates scouting

by ttnorm on May 23, 2008 4:58 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Reserves/platoon partners

We are considering part-time players, bench players, not regulars. If projections for someone indicate he is a star, we ordinarily do not want them as reserves but as starters. The good manager (and GM) focuses on what players can do well and uses them to maximize those assets. The bad ones harp on what players cannot do and either bury them or get rid of them.

Of course if the Rays could acquire Magglio Ordonez or Vlad it would improve the offense. But such a deal is unlikely. So it is worthwhile to have multiple options for various situations available. Gross provides fine defense and sees a lot of pitches. He also has some pop. Hinske too has some doubles power. Gomes hits lefties well. Aybar is a young switch hitter with on base skills, doubles power and an ability to play 2nd and 3rd adequately.

Floyd has generally not been bad against lefties, and anyway, he is not going to play the field. In fact, his greatest negative, tendency to injury, makes having an extra player even more important.

By keeping all 5 reserves-Zobrist, Hinske, Gross, Gomes and Aybar-it allows Maddon to exploit matchups and to use a pinch hitter early while preserving another for later. I think the benefit of having the extra pitcher is far outweighed by the benefit of a deeper bench.

by bobr on May 23, 2008 3:21 PM EDT   0 recs

I agree 14 players offer flexibility

I’m just not sure they get used enough compared to the sometimes critical need for a 12th pitcher.

The problem here isn’t a philosophical one, its based on the specific guys we’re discussing. If Aybar could handle the middle IF spots, there’d be no discussion. If there weren’t 3 lefty hitting corner OF types in the mix, we wouldn’t be having this discussion. And if everyone didn’t dislike Glover so, ... This isn’t a Rays problem alone – the Yankees have had a similar issue at 1B for 2 seasons.

Plus it’s a lot easier to go with 11 pitchers when your starters are regularly giving you 6+ IP and you have an effective long reliever. That’s been happening for the Rays lately, so it becomes plausible tactically. It also seems to me that the hope is Salas fills Glover’s shoes. Then what is the appropriate decision. And the early pinchhitting opportunity will typically only arise when the opposing starter – who you matched up to in the first place – is getting knocked around, then less of a matchup demand.

I guess I lean towards the fact that since virtually every team is going 12 & 13, there’s a practical reason. This is a relatively recent alignment standard. We’ve even seen 13 P, 12 player alignments for stretches (Yanks and Brewers both this season for more than a day or 2). I guess it’s because there’s more pitcher matchups / switches than batters, particularly in the AL.

by nyyfaninlaaland on May 23, 2008 6:22 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Extra Bench

bobr, I like this idea of the extra position player and the 1st team that comes to mind that uses this as well is the Angels. We all know that our skipper is all too familiar with the Angels going this route. I have to say though, that I have never heard Joe mention if he likes the idea or not for our team. I keep thinking that someone might get a nagging minor injury which would delay a big decision like this but if not the idea of Glover going would not bother me in the least with Balfour, Dohman and others at Durham. My gut feeling though is that Zobrist will be sent down and Aybar or Longoria will fill in if needed at SS.(as you have stated before Zobrist could be up from Durham in 1-2 days if needed so you don’t expose yourself at SS for very long).

SC raysfan

by SC raysfan on May 23, 2008 4:28 PM EDT   0 recs

Waiver ???

Would Aybar have to clear waivers to continue to play in Durham (BTW he is playing there tonight) once he is off the DL. If not, why not leave him down there and get some PT, the kid is still young and has more upside than any of the other position players involved and I’d rather see him get AB’s. Like most have said, he’s not going to play very much anyway up in the bigs.

by Dbullsfan on May 23, 2008 10:44 PM EDT   0 recs

His options are a bit of a mystery

I could see the Rays getting an extra option year due to him being MIA last season.

"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena

by R.J. Anderson on May 23, 2008 10:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Yeah

Obviously if he had options left, I don’t think there’d be any question that the team would send him down to Durham. But I honestly don’t know whether he has options or not, so that leaves the whole thing in a cloud of ambiguity. I can’t see him passing through waivers if he’s put out there.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on May 23, 2008 11:48 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Aybar 0-3, R, BB in Durham debut

Haynes was 0-4 he was in his 3rd game with the Bulls, who have won 8 of 10 and are now tied for first in their division at 24-23

by Dbullsfan on May 23, 2008 11:47 PM EDT   0 recs

1st in IL South

Is it just me, or has that division been consistently mediocre over the last several years? I always see the division leader either running away with it and everyone else sucking, or a bunch of mediocre teams clumped near .500. But anyways, Norfolk and Charlotte always seem to be worthless, the Bulls are hit or miss, and the R-Braves seem to consistently field a good team.

by Patrick L. Kennedy on May 23, 2008 11:50 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

he is a complete question mark himself.

You spek as if we didnt get a good look at him the time he was playing.

He was swinging the bat really well. Great bat control. He also looked to be a much better fielder than Iw as expecting at 3rd, and supposedly 2B is his natural position

by blazinrayz on May 24, 2008 12:30 AM EDT   0 recs

I really dislike 12 man pitching staffs

Their use is a relatively recent development and tied to the increasing specialization of relief roles which I think is an inefficient us of resources and handcuffs the manager trying to make substitutions.

I don’t think there is any problem giving everyone on a 4 man (+ reserve catcher) bench enough playing time. It has always been done in the past. Especially with players like Floyd having aches and pains and needing rest and others like Gomes or Gross being ineffective against same handed pitchers, there are plenty of opportunities to use the bench.

Of course it means stretching the relievers more, and I like that idea. You can keep one loogy, say Miller, but with Howell and Hammel, the manager need not switch one when there appears to be a platoon advantage. The only issue I see is the question how soon pitchers can come back after pitching 2-3 innings. That seems to me more a matter of conditioning and practice than some physical impediment.

by bobr on May 24, 2008 12:50 AM EDT   0 recs

LOL who ever suggested we would need him to play RF or SS?

Its a good thing we will have Ben Zobrist to play SS (as well as any of the OF positions if we need him), and we will have Hinske, Gomes, Upton, Crawford and Zobrist to man the OF positions.

Why would we need Aybar to do that?

Aybar lacks the ability to be our closer either, does that mean he is even more of a question mark?

by blazinrayz on May 24, 2008 5:17 PM EDT   0 recs

Because we have no one else who can play RF and hit above the mendoza line versus lefties.

Floyd, Gross, Hinske; none of them are serviceable against LHP.

by Vin on May 25, 2008 10:40 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

also

this was a debate on “what to do when Aybar returns”, this wasnt a debate as to whether Aybar willl refrain from beating his wife or consuming large amounts of alcohol in the future

We are all working under the assumption that Aybar is in a minor league rehab stint right now, and close to returning. No one is working under the assumption that between now and 1 week from now Aybar will be arrested again, so those things are erroneous

Im not sure where his alcohol problems or domestic abuse problems are of any concern here

by blazinrayz on May 24, 2008 5:22 PM EDT   0 recs

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