The one guy you want in the draft?
Essentially do you have any players you absolutely want in this draft, either sleepers or obvious?
Last year I was on the Sam Demel bandwagon, he's been okay, although not great in the Oakland system. This year I have quite a few guys I'd like to see land in the Rays system:
Not sure why he ended up at a C.C. but he seems like a decent young arm. Not the hardest of throwers but a cerebral type perhaps.
A guy that Gengler showed to me, ignore the Rocco Baldelli comparisons. He just sounds like a Rays pick.
Scouts have comparisons to Mark DeRose out. Might be a Cipriano clone though.
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cole st clair
i love rice baseball and would really like the rays to pick him he might be available in the 4th round maybe, he was picked by cleveland last year in the 6th rd and didnt sign
by RaysOfHope on
May 24, 2008 11:18 PM EDT
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as long as he isn't a pitcher...
I am not high on Rice pitching.
by usfraysfan on
May 24, 2008 11:28 PM EDT
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Wade Townsend leave a bad taste in your mouth, eh?
By the way, what ever happened to Townsend?
I am like your Dan Aykroyd and biglow would be Jane, the ignorant slut. -Chad
by thecoolest on
May 26, 2008 7:49 PM EDT
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He's in high-A now.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
May 26, 2008 7:57 PM EDT
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ya he is a pitcher
he is their closer but would be perfect for our bullpen, i also like danny espinosa from long beach (shortstop U) and really hope the rays draft pedro #1 and move him to right field
by RaysOfHope on
May 24, 2008 11:37 PM EDT
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Venditte.. good story, but not sure how early I’d pick him.
I’ll go with a local for “sleeper” (not first or second round pick): Logan Forsythe. Might only have the ceiling of a Geoff Blum or maybe Eric Hinske, but he’s an all-around solid but not spectacular 3B/OF with good baseball instincts.
Too bad the Rays didn’t draft Jess Todd last year, already at Double-A for STL.
Longlorious.
by RATW on
May 25, 2008 12:32 AM EDT
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Let's hope he slides.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
May 25, 2008 12:26 PM EDT
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He would be
an awesome 2nd round pick.
Tools Whore
Sign Bonds!
by Tyler on
May 25, 2008 2:04 PM EDT
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i was gonna say that
Great ballplayer that I had the chance to get to know while at Wake. Great kid, great work ethic. The fact that he’s related to Lenny is pretty sweet too.
by rglass44 on
May 25, 2008 6:15 PM EDT
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David Price
Oh, we got him already?...then im content
"I'd hate to leave right when the getting is good." -CC
by Matt Bishoff on
May 25, 2008 12:42 PM EDT
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Hopefully we stock up on some solid position players. I will be satisfied with that.
And a few HS pitchers that are high risk, high reward type. We could always use a Kazmir/Kershaw clone. :D
by Cory Alexander on
May 25, 2008 7:19 PM EDT
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I cant understand EVER drafting a hitter in round 1
ONLY because of the xplanation I got for the Young/ Garza deal.
I was told that no matter orgzanizational depth, pitchers will always have FAR more value than hitters.
Young nearly won the ROY as a 21 year old, and he STILL had the value of a 1st overall pick.
Garza was thought of in about the same way you would think of any top 25 overall pitcher.
yet I was told that even as a team with pitching coming out our ears, and without any depth in the OF, it is ALWAYS smart to get the pitching. So we traded a guy that still had the value of a #1 pick, for a guy that still had the value of a 25th pick, but since one was a pitcher it really didnt even matter where our organizational depth was we HAD to get the pitcher because pitching has 10x more value.
So if Im to believe taht to be true, I will never understand taking a hitter in the draft
by blazinrayz on
May 27, 2008 1:21 AM EDT
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Good baiting.
Pitching is more valuable because the flameout rate is high.. which also makes using a first round pick on pitching risky. Even a no-brainer like David Price could blow out his arm tomorrow and his value goes from elite to zero overnight. Garza’s value was based on his established track record as well as being MLB-ready and able to immediately contribute to the major league rotation which all but ensured at least some return on investment.
Longlorious.
by RATW on
May 27, 2008 8:15 AM EDT
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Delmon didn't carry the same cache he once did
Between bat-throwing, temper-tantrums, and swinging at every breaking ball in the dirt, Delmon was no longer considered the sure-fire MVP that he was when he was drafted and starting out in the minors. Garza had seen a similar drop in value. Once, a top pitching prospect he’d seen his star dim a bit because of similar makeup concerns. Looking at the way Delmon is still not evolving as a hitter, I wouldn’t trade the 1:1 this year for him…
by rglass44 on
May 27, 2008 10:07 AM EDT
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RATW and rglass nailed it.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
May 27, 2008 2:39 PM EDT
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Mistaken assumptions
Pitchers are not considered always more valuable than hitters. In fact, one reason many analysts think Minnesota got the best of the deal is that they think Young was the best player dealt.
The argument for why the Rays should have made the deal was not that Garza was more valuable than Young all by himself but that he fit the Rays’ particular needs more at the time and that there was more to the deal than just those two. I think it highly unlikely the Rays would have dealt Young straight up for Garza.
There have been many deals in baseball history that were essentially hitters for pitchers (although again, the Rays deal was not simply that), and sometimes the team receiving the hitter made out quite well. (Frank Robinson for Milt Pappas; Lou Brock for Ernie Broglio)
There is no evidence from past draft history that teams value pitchers more highly, let alone 10x more highly, than hitters. In fact, pitchers are considered a far more risky pick in most cases. In 2007, 6 of the top 10 and 17 of the 30 first rounders were pitchers and in 2006 pitchers dominated even more, but in 2005, only 1 pitcher was selected in the top 10 and the first picks from 2003-05 were not pitchers.
Looking at the 2003 draft (because there has been time to get some sense of who worked out), among the 1st round hitters who have made the majors are: Delmon, Weeks, Markakis, Stewart, Milledge, Aaron Hill, Conor Jackson, Brandon Wood, Daric Barton, Quentin & Brian Anderson. The pitchers include Maholm, Danks, Chad Cordero, Aardsma and Billingsley.
And while there have been some flops among hitters (Eric Duncan, Lubanski, Ryan Harvey), pitching flops include the #3 pick Sleeth as well as Jeff Allison and Brad Sullivan.
I think there is evidence that there are good reasons to select a hitter over a pitcher in the draft in many cases.
by bobr on
May 27, 2008 8:24 AM EDT
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I would love to see the Rays take Clayton Shunick From N.C. State. He’s a hard throwing pitchers with plus stuff but as you can see from his record he has not gotten the run support he needed. Here are his numbers:
Player ERA W-L APP GS IP H R ER BB SO B/Avg
23 Clayton Shunick.. 2.12 7-5 14 12 89.1 69 23 21 21 100 .207
by jonallen on
May 27, 2008 9:53 AM EDT
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