Oh Great, Here We Go
Griffey, 39, has a no-trade clause but has told intimates that if the Rays stay in the race, he'd consider waiving his veto power to go home. Or close to home, anyway. Tampa is much nearer his Orlando area residence than any other big-league city. Griffey's tony Isleworth community is about an hour from St. Petersburg, where the Rays play.
I like Griffey, but honestly, I don't want him here, not for the price it's likely to take, but here's a far more interesting tidbit from the article:
Floyd said earlier this year he's pretty sure this will be his last season.
Here's why we shouldn't:
12.5 million this year, a 4 million buyout next year or 16.5 million.
And Gabe Gross has a higher OPS, is younger, cheaper, and better at defense.
Please Rays, do not compound a smart move (Gross) with a PR one (Griffey).
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As I said in the previous article
The Rays better demand the Reds eat his contract if they really want him.
Do not think that what is hard for you to master is humanly impossible; but if a thing is humanly possible, consider it to be within your reach.
by Orlando Rays on Jun 13, 2008 12:41 PM EDT 0 recs
I don't mind paying the money as much as I mind giving up prospects
He’d easily pay his own contract in tix revenue
by rglass44 on
Jun 13, 2008 12:57 PM EDT
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The last tidbit is interesting
although not that surprising.
by usfraysfan on Jun 13, 2008 12:54 PM EDT 0 recs
Sweet....
There has been talk though that he’d be willing to renegotiate his contract if this happens (if it will help Cinci be able to trade him to anyone that is). He’s actually been getting on base lately at a pretty good clip. Posting almost a .500 OBP lately. afaik, he’s a great guy to have around in the clubhouse. a real practical joker type too iirc.
Wherever he goes, he has to accept that it’s most beneficial to him and any team he plays for that he is a DH.
I became a Mariners fan because of Griffey(rookie year, liked him from the beginning for some reason), lost interest in baseball for the longest time and finally got back into it again 2-3 years ago playing fantasy baseball. Now I’ve adopted the rays as my team last year, and it would be nice to see Griffey, my longtime favorite baseball player, in a Rays uniform.
by chancedj on Jun 13, 2008 1:00 PM EDT 1 recs
By lately I mean...
over the past month. just clarifying.
by chancedj on
Jun 13, 2008 1:01 PM EDT
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If we get Griffey
We could totally raid Lookout Landing.

Do not think that what is hard for you to master is humanly impossible; but if a thing is humanly possible, consider it to be within your reach.
by Orlando Rays on
Jun 13, 2008 1:24 PM EDT
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this film gives me nightmares
make it go away!!
by Hazleton Jason on
Jun 13, 2008 1:54 PM EDT
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They would be thrilled...
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:29 PM EDT
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I’d rather have Griffey than Bay or Giles. But I wouldn’t give up more then some low B or C level prospects.
by matthan on Jun 13, 2008 1:13 PM EDT 0 recs
I'd do Niemman for Griffey straight up, assuming a contract restructure.
by P Brady on Jun 13, 2008 1:14 PM EDT 0 recs
Yeah that works for me. We have a glut of AAA starters that just don’t seem to be in our plans. Talbot is another guy I’d think about throwing in there. This would be the definite end of the Gabe Gross era though.
Griffey hasn’t won a ring, has he?
by matthan on
Jun 13, 2008 1:17 PM EDT
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Nope, he sure hasn't.
Do not think that what is hard for you to master is humanly impossible; but if a thing is humanly possible, consider it to be within your reach.
by Orlando Rays on
Jun 13, 2008 1:20 PM EDT
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This would be the definite end of the Gabe Gross era though.
Awesome, considering Gross has a higher OPS, a lower salary, and a lower age.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:29 PM EDT
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Id like to have Griffey, but...
A. The Reds would have to eat most of that contract-
B. I wouldn’t give them more than Jeff Niemann, but would do it straight up
C. What happens to Floyd, Gross, Ruggiano, Gomes? I’m guessing Hinske would be odd man out though
D. Can Griffey be productive? As a DH?
I just don’t see it going down this just doesnt sound like the kind of deal the new Rays brass would make…
by Hazleton Jason on Jun 13, 2008 1:24 PM EDT 0 recs
He's hitting .256
That’s better than Jason Bartlett, Eric Hinske, Carlos Pena, Jonny Gomes or Gabe Gross. He also has 30 RBI.
Do not think that what is hard for you to master is humanly impossible; but if a thing is humanly possible, consider it to be within your reach.
by Orlando Rays on
Jun 13, 2008 1:27 PM EDT
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His OPS is lower than Gross and Hinske but slightly higher than Pena and Gomes.
He’s not the second coming.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:01 PM EDT
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But I thought OPS was a useless stat. Can’t you cite universally accepted metrics such as Heart and Hustle?
by DAM on
Jun 13, 2008 2:05 PM EDT
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His veteran leadership alone would equal two brawls in team unity.
There’s yer dang stats.
Longlorious.
by RATW on
Jun 13, 2008 2:09 PM EDT
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"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:14 PM EDT
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That is frighteningly bad. Not to mention we’d have to give up something to him, and pay him howevermany millions. Just a horrible idea.
by DAM on
Jun 13, 2008 2:33 PM EDT
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Isleworth is not that close
Isleworth is near the Sand Lake exit on I-4. On a good day, you can make it from there to The Trop in maybe 80-90 minutes assuming no traffic and a 75mph drive.
by Jason Collette on Jun 13, 2008 1:47 PM EDT 0 recs
Ugh.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
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I like Griffey But...
Do we really need another lefty?
by floridaroar on Jun 13, 2008 1:51 PM EDT 0 recs
I’d say we’re pretty well stocked on lefty DH/corner players (just ask Dan Johnson), most of whom have been better to this point in the season. And if by some minor miracle Baldelli survives a minor league rehab, a move will need to be made for him as well in an already over-crowded 25-man roster fight.
Longlorious.
by RATW on Jun 13, 2008 2:14 PM EDT 0 recs
Why?
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
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Because he's Griffey.
People that don’t understand baseball will think the Rays are legit if they sign Griffey. (playing Devil’s advocate)
by floridaroar on
Jun 13, 2008 3:08 PM EDT
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One would have to assume the Reds would have to eat his deal for this to work
I think that would be obvious. If not they atleast eat half the deal. Then 8 mil iisnt too bad for a guy who will make that money back for us in attendance and merchandise
I don’t see anyone in our RF situation, or in AAA or AA who should stop us from doing this deal if it makes sense for us. It would all depend oon how much of his contract the Reds would eat (which I dont think would be a problem) and then who they would want in a trade.
by blazinrayz on Jun 13, 2008 2:53 PM EDT 0 recs
His OPS is lower than Gross and Hinske but slightly higher than Pena and Gomes.
Gross has 130 AB, Gomes has 90 AB, etc
I dont think any of that matters, the season is only 2 months long
Barry Bonds is 44 and hasnt even swung a bat this year, cant play defense, he has been a clubhouse cancer before, faces prison time in the near future and cheated the game
I dont understand how you pick and choose “your guys”
Griffey has a .365 OBP this year, and had a .868 OPS last year. I dont judge what kind of player Griddey is based on the past 2 months (which havent even been bad). He BBs more than he Ks, and he doesnt hit .225 like Gabe Gross. Griffey would do a lot to jump start this area into jumping on the bandwagon I think
by blazinrayz on Jun 13, 2008 3:05 PM EDT 0 recs
Griffey's OPS from 35 on:
35. .945
36. .802
37. .865
38. .778
Looking at the field normalized stats is even scarier.
by P Brady on
Jun 13, 2008 3:15 PM EDT
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OMG
STAY AWAY!
Top Josh Paul Pornos- Big Navi Stroking, 2pitchers1cup, BJ to the Balls
BELIEVE in 08!
by SRQman on
Jun 13, 2008 3:18 PM EDT
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Those OPS numbers are in a hitters park.
The trop just happens to be the most Pitcher friendly park in the MLB this year.
by P Brady on
Jun 13, 2008 3:20 PM EDT
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This year?
Couldn’t have anything to do with the pitchers could it?
by floridaroar on
Jun 13, 2008 3:57 PM EDT
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I dont understand how you pick and choose "your guys"
I think it’s pretty clear: cost and performance.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 3:24 PM EDT
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Let's clarify some stats
if we are going to take a serious look at someone like Griffey, then let’s properly evaluate him. Yes, he is a 39 year old, injury prone and no spring chicken. But let’s look at who he would be replacing. Especially on the road, Griffey seems like a good bet to put in right field. Griffey would become the DH mainly at home. The only person better on the team now defensively in right is Gabe Gross. But are we losing enough defensively to not consider the move? Probably not. Hinske and Floyd would share the bulk of the DH duties, and Gross would be a late-inning defensively replacement, and starter in RF at home.
Offensively, Griffey is currently only hitting .256-however, there is no reason to think that might be able to improve as the season goes along-and being able to rest his legs as DH could be an extra boost to his bat. Gross, however, is only hitting .247 and strikes out 1 every 3 at bats (only Pena is worse on the team). Griffey’s OBP is still very good at .365
The only real question, is how much will this cost the Rays next year? There has been rumors that his final year may be somewhat negotiable if it helps him get traded to a team he prefers.
If it only costs the Rays something like Gomes and Niemann, they should make the deal. Regardless of what type of player we think Griffey is, he is still feared by pitchers. a lineup of Iwamura, Crawford, Griffey, Upton, Pena, Floyd/Hinkse, Longoria, Navarro, Bartlett looks pretty exciting to me.
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 3:12 PM EDT 1 recs
If you put D. Ortiz in RF, you don’t think he is going to be -30 or -40 runs in defense? Here are Griffey’s UZR the last 4 years, some in CF and some in RF:-26 CF
-41 CF
-34 CF
-13 RFConvert those CF numbers to RF (add +8 or +10 maybe?), take a weighted average, age adjust, and then regress to a 39 yo player with a terrible speed score, and I guarantee you are going to get a number a low worse than -15.
His arm is horrendous. Here are his arm scores for the last 4 years:
0
-3
-2
-10So even if we give him -15 in UZR in RF, we have to add -5 for his arm, which is -20 in defense.
His baserunning last 4 years is:
-3
-4
-3
-7That is a projection of -4.
So we now have -24 in baserunning and defense.
It’s not looking too good for him being above replacement. An average RF is a win above average in hitting.
Here are Griffey’s last 4 years offensive lwts:
5
31
-4
12That is a projection of +4, which is 1/2 win LESS than an average RF’er.
So he is 3 wins BELOW an average RF’er, which is around 1 win BELOW REPLACEMENT, by far the worst full-time player in baseball and possibly one of the worst full-time players of all time.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 3:15 PM EDT
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is his defense worse than hinkse or gomes?
I’m not as much of a stat guru, so someone needs to enlighten me, but would Griffey really be worse than Gomes or Hinske?
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 3:18 PM EDT 0 recs
Using BP's Fielding Runs Above Average
Gomes -2
Hinske 0
Gross 1
Griffey -10
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 3:21 PM EDT
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If Fielding is such a problem...
then Griffey can get most of his at-bats as the DH. At this point in his career, that may not be a bad thing. His bat is definitely worth having.
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 3:23 PM EDT 0 recs
DH Floyd v. RHP and Griffey v. LHP I guess.
But then you’re ensuring that Hinske/Gross are playing in RF everyday unless Aybar gets into the mix, and even then, people hate platoons around here - or at least hate Gabe Gross - and he’s outperforming Griffey.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 3:25 PM EDT
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Gross and Griffey
If we are putting defensive stats in play, then yes Gross is outperforming Griffey. At the plate, I don’t think that is the same comparison. Griffey, despite dealing with the pressure that comes with trying to hit a milestone marker, still has a higher BA, OBP, and OPS. Is it enough to justify the trade? Not if Griffey only continues at the same clip he’s on. If his final numbers are something like .260, 20 HR, 80 RBI, then it probably isn’t worth it over what we already have. If it’s something like .280, 30 HR, 100 RBI, then I think it’s worth it. Can he do that? Now that the milestone is out of the way, I think it is possible. Is it a gamble? Yeah, but what move isn’t?
Griffey’s last yr stats: .277, 30 HR, 93 RBI, .372 OBP, .862 OPS
by raysfaninminnesota on
Jun 13, 2008 3:32 PM EDT
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a feared hitter is worth having
Jason Stark’s defense of the Rays staying in contention primarily had to do with having hitters than can hit good pitching, which is exactly what you would face in the playoffs. Upton and Longoria were cited as two players that have such an ability. Griffey is another type of hitter that can be added to that mix and help the offense.
Regardless of what we think of him, Griffey is still feared by pitchers. I know that’s not a measurable stat, but it is a fact. I’ve spoken with numerous pro pitchers, and the obvious is true—different batters are pitched differently, or more carefully than others. Having Griffey in the lineup makes it that much more difficult for a pitcher, makes him throw more pitches (as his OBP indicates) and thus more opportunities for a pitcher to make a mistake. If Griffey was protected in a lineup by someone like Upton, it also gives him better pitches to hit. Griffey could be the type of bat that makes it fit for everyone else.
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 3:38 PM EDT 0 recs
Griffey is not a feared hitter.
He’s slugging .410 in the NL, at a launching pad.
by JI on
Jun 13, 2008 4:09 PM EDT
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I absolutely hated the Gross trade, but...
RJ is correct, Gross has hit about .275 with an OBP of around .360 with good power since being brought here. I am the first to admit I was wrong about him , and he has earned at least 60% of the Reps in RF.
With that said, I still wanna see Ruggs gte his shot at a platoon, but I tihnk that is a next year thing with us having Gomes and Hinske here, there will be none of that…
Floyd has been a good DH, there just isn’t room for Griffey…
Also Dan Johnson has been pretty lights out in AAA, and would deserve a shot at DHing should we need a DH, and Id rather have a young Dan Johnson than an old Ken Griffey Jr. DHing…
by Hazleton Jason on Jun 13, 2008 4:17 PM EDT 0 recs
Gross is not hitting that well people
with milwaukee Gross hit .209 (only 19 games, however), with the Rays he’s hitting .247. On base percentage is no where near .360-currently at .324. The only true thing is the power-he’s hit 5 HR since joining the Rays, at a clip of 1 every 18.6 at bats, which is very good-except it’s hard to imagine him continuing at that clip. He also strikes out once every 3 at-bats-the only player with a worse ratio is Carlos Pena.
Gross has been, at best, ok for the Rays offensively, and that’s a stretch. But with the defense he’s providing, his offense is more than adequate. I think Gross has been an excellent addition to the team, but let’s keep perspective on his production. If there’s any major position, if possible, to make an upgrade, it’s right field. I do agree with the assessment, however, that it shouldn’t be at the cost of defense.
by raysfaninminnesota on
Jun 13, 2008 4:45 PM EDT
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Last month he hit ..268 .375 .463
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 4:52 PM EDT
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true
and if you look at his June stats so far, he is continuing to progress. If he can continue at this pace, a .280, 20 HR season w/ his defensive game, he’s a worthy starter in RF—all I know is the Rays seem to be lacking one more impact bat to put in the middle of the lineup. Granted, Pena could take the majority of that if he comes back healthy and starts to put up numbers again, but if the Rays are to make it to the post-season, I still believe they need one more batter…the only two positions the Rays can look to upgrade is DH and RF. If Gross stays, then a DH is needed, and since it seems to be the collective opinion that Griffey shouldn’t be on the field defensively, he would fit in nice in the DH spot. The Rays depth would then have Floyd and Hinske, and with Maddon’s offensive system, there would be enough at-bats to go around
by raysfaninminnesota on
Jun 13, 2008 5:01 PM EDT
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Changing the team dynamic
Let me preface by saying I have a very hard time believing that you can quantify, or even try to quantify the intangibles that lead to team success. I usually think intangibles are better known as luck.
However, why isn’t there any concern that bringing Griffey to the team will change the dynamic of the team? The “We are one team” motto has worked because the team doesn’t have a true star in the eye of the media. Carl and Kazmir are probably the most notable, but Carl hasn’t been very good and Kaz did miss some time. If Griffey comes to the team he would automatically become the face of the franchise. He’d bring a media circus and change team expectations. I don’t see how any of that is good considering he’ll never play up to his expectations.
I don’t think this deal ever happens. The NDRO has done too great a job building this team to make a move that is so out of the ordinary.
by tallyray on Jun 13, 2008 4:34 PM EDT 0 recs
Griffey is still a feared hitter
Being feared doesn’t always necessarily coincide with dominant numbers. Any batter who has the ability of altering a pitcher’s approach on the mound do to his offensive ability, is a feared hitter. Griffey still does that to pitchers.
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 4:47 PM EDT 0 recs
Who cares if the pitchers a afraid?
(which they aren’t, but let’s say they are)
If he’s not producing, it doesn’t matter. Griffey’s been a lousy hitter for almost a full calendar year now.
by JI on
Jun 13, 2008 5:00 PM EDT
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Griffey's not feared?
Last year he drew 14 IBB, this year, in way less time, he’s drawn 12 IBB.
B Rad the Ray Fan
by B Ray on
Jun 13, 2008 5:05 PM EDT
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Since when is .277, 30 HR, and 93 RBI lousy?
That is Griffey’s last year numbers. If that’s lousy, then it seems like 4/5 of baseball’s hitters are pretty lousy
by raysfaninminnesota on Jun 13, 2008 5:07 PM EDT 0 recs
you said for the last full calendar year
your criticism was what i was basing my stats on…how can he be a lousy hitter with those numbers?
by raysfaninminnesota on
Jun 13, 2008 6:06 PM EDT
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Of if it's too much of a bother:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=griffke02&year=2007
Look at his Post ASB numbers, he’s been pretty meh for nearly 500 at bats.
by JI on Jun 13, 2008 7:31 PM EDT 0 recs
Those look similiar to this year's numbers.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 7:35 PM EDT
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please bring my favorite player of all time here
omg getting griffrey would just make my world because he always starts out slow and then he just goes on a big time HR streak and he adds the possiblity of hitting close to 30 HR a year and we wouldnt have to trade that much to get him because of his high salary that cincy would have to eat and if we can get him for say jeff niemann,mitch talbot and maybe fernando perez im pretty sure that andrew friedman would make that move in a heart beat i just really hope that if griffrey gets traded it is here because this man is still amazing and would just bring fans to see him and since i dont see bonds as a possibility that much anymore they just have to pursue griffrey
by RaysOfHope on Jun 13, 2008 11:36 PM EDT 0 recs
His career OPS is lower in the second half by .016 points.
"I've seen many, many blue skies turn gray, but the sun will eventually return, and so will I. So will I." - Carlos Pena
by R.J. Anderson on
Jun 13, 2008 11:46 PM EDT
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ya but last year he started out really slow and then he took off
by RaysOfHope on Jun 14, 2008 12:12 AM EDT 0 recs
I don't think you remember correctly
His first half OPS in 2007 was .958. In the second half, it was .761.
by Patrick L. Kennedy on
Jun 14, 2008 1:39 AM EDT
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