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- If you ever wondered why I was a fan of Justin Ruggiano, he showed it tonight in the fifth inning. After swinging on a first pitch strike (fastball 90 MPH) Ruggiano took strike two called (fastball 90) before fouling off another fastball (88) taking another just off of the pate (91 MPH) fouling off a curveball in on his hands (77), another fastball inside (90), taking an outside fastball for ball two (90), a down and in curveball for ball three (77), and fouling off three straight pitches (fastball 90, fastball 91, curveball 75) Ruggiano touch the 12th pitch of the at-bat, a 90 MPH fastball over the middle deep into left field for his first career major league homerun.

Then in the 7th Ruggiano took two straight fastballs sitting at 91 for called strikes, Geoff Geary went to the well again and Ruggiano made contact, reaching base on a single. Ruggiano would be lifted in the 9th for Eric Hinske. I'm not sure what the team has in plan for the next few weeks when Carlos Pena returns, but Ruggiano and Jonny Gomes have to be in a competition for that RF/DH platoon spot. Against lefties Ruggiano could DH while Gross played right field, and against righties Hinske could play the field while Floyd was the DH, Ruggiano or Gross could then check into the game late as a pinch runner or in a defensive sub position.

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Star-divide

- Edwin Jackson was only okay tonight. Early on he was throwing 58% balls at one point which is unacceptable. Joe Maddon made a terrible mistake by intentionally walking the bases loaded and leaving Jackson in to face Mark Loretta and it ended up costing the Rays their lead. Edwin only threw 55 % strikes tonight, which is awful, walked three, and struck out three while giving up a homer to Carlos Lee - catcher Shawn Riggans was set up low and outside, the pitch was up and in, and the arc of the hit lead the ball into the stands. In each of his last five starts Edwin has seen his strike percentage drop: 68%, 63.8%, 63.5%, 60%, 55%, making for 62% overall in those games, I don't really know why it's happening, but I know it needs to stop. His ratios over those 29.3 innings are 4.3 strikeouts per nine and 3.4 walks per nine, his seasonal averages are now at 5.76 strikeouts per nine and 4.25 walks per nine.

- J.P. Howell and Dan Wheeler remain really, really good. Someone asked if Howell's usage reminded me of any other pitcher in recent memory and the only guy I could come up with was Justin Duchscherer in 2004. The Duke was used primarily in the 6th and 7th innings for the A's, but made an occasional appearance in every inning from the 4th on, occasionally working as many as five innings, but usually sticking to three innings and below. Duchscherer would end with 53 appearances and 96.3 innings, Howell is on pace for roughly 59 appearances and 104 innings.

- Carl Crawford went 2-4 but prior to his second hit of the night swung on a pitch in the right-handed hitter's box on a 2-0 count. The biggest problem was the pitch being a fastball, suggesting that he wasn't fooled by movement, but was simply hacking. Getting to 2-0 counts is an improvement over his usual routine, but his hits lately have been good results with bad processes, something that's simply unsustainable over the course of a season.

- At least Joe Maddon got it right tonight when he pinched-hit for Jason Bartlett in the 9th. Barty's glove is full of sunshine, but his bat has turned his WARP to all of 0.3. He's a bit unlucky this year, but still, the guy has to start to hit, or at least walk.

- This game wasn't a "must win" despite the Red Sox losing and sitting only a half game up on the Rays, but this series is a definite "can't lose". Sweeping the Cubs was pleasant and unexpected however the team needs to bring the same results to the lesser games. After tomorrow the Rays will head into the all-star break after three games at Florida, three at Pittsburgh, three at home against Boston, three against Kansas City, two at New York, and four at Cleveland. Of those 16 games it seems the Rays would have a distinct advantage over Pittsburgh and Kansas City and perhaps even Cleveland. The Rays were playing three games over their pythag expected records entering tonight's game.

- Shawn Riggans hyped up defense is a lie. Within a short span Riggans let strike three on Lance Berkman sneak by him, threw the ball away - allowing Berkman to advance to second, and then let Berkman steal third base. The stolen base is one thing, but giving the opposition two free bases on a strikeout is ridiculous. Riggans doesn't play enough to have anyone call for his job, but his only saving grace seems to be the pop shown in his bat.

- The Riggans point leads into another point I'd like to throw out there, last year it seemed some were calling for Navarro's job because he couldn't call a game, yet a year later Navarro is seemingly adequate at the job and excels at throwing out baserunners especially those who he catches in mid-action.

- Finally, how good is that Wheeler/Wigginton swap looking?

 

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Four things

1. I was surprised Maddon did not pinch hit for Bartlett yesterday when he came up in the 9th inning. Glad he did today.
2. In one AB yesterday, Crawford struck out swinging at a pitch in the right handed batters box. I don’t remember what the pitch was, but it looked ugly. I hope nobody takes this as a slap at Crawford; it is merely an observation.
3. I have been less enthusiastic about Ruggiano because of his high K rate in AAA, and when I saw him in Durham he did not impress particularly. But I do think he has a chance to be useful and would like to see him prove it. Still, and I realize this is more emotional than anything else, I would be sorry to see Gomes go.
4. I hate the intentional walk, but when it is used to load the bases I think it is about as stupid a move as possible. When the batter is the remains of Erstad’s carcass the move is even less justifiable. And when the pitcher is Jackson, that decision is even more deadly. Maddon did the same thing earlier in the year and it bit him. I wish he would stop.
I hope nobody takes this as a slap at Maddon. It is merely a disagreement with a particular tactic.

by bobr on Jun 21, 2008 10:36 PM EDT   0 recs

Agreed about intentional walks. Glad I’m not alone in my dislike of them in all but specific circumstances; loading the bases in the 7th inning isn’t one of them.

Longlorious.

by RATW on Jun 21, 2008 11:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

ruggiano>gomes for me

gomes looks lost at the plate most of the time and ruggiano and i think that him and gross should share RF and hinkse and floyd should share DH since both of them cant really field all that great, also i though pena was supposed to be activated by now? any word when he is going to be activated?

by RaysOfHope on Jun 21, 2008 10:59 PM EDT   0 recs

Regarding Howell's Usage

I am concerned, as others have mentioned in the past, that he is being overworked. A lot of pitchers have drop-offs after too many innings out in relief. How did the guy from the A’s do the following season? I am just curious to see if he had a severe drop in production or basically maintained.

Blake
USF--Class of '09

by usfraysfan on Jun 21, 2008 11:08 PM EDT   0 recs

I’m not necessarily worried about the inning total in of itself as the pattern of usage: multiple innings in high-leverage situations in irregular intervals. The fear may still be unfounded; It’s more a fear of the unknown as anything since it is just not a common relief pattern these days.

Longlorious.

by RATW on Jun 21, 2008 11:44 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I’ve been thinking about Duchscherer a bit lately. Someone mentioned putting Howell back into the rotation. Like Howell, Duchscherer came up through the minor as a starter and after years of being a solid middle-reliever is once again starting and doing quite well. Is Howell actually being under-utilized in his current role? I was a pretty big supporter of the Howell-to-pen bandwagon during the off-season and spring training, but now I’m starting to have some doubt and just maybe he warrants another chance in the rotation.

How does Duchscherer compare to Sonnanstine? I haven’t seen a lot of Duchscherer’s pitching repertoire, but I know he is considered a soft-tosser usually in the mid-to-upper-80’s with the fastball and like Sonnanstine, put up some great K:BB ratios in the minors. Should the Rays at some point consider a career track for Sonny similar to Duchscherer? Let him get established as a reliever and work him into the rotation or was Duchscherer’s placement in the bullpen purely the result of having teammates such as Hudson-Mulder-Zito-Harden-Haren-Blanton. I know from past comments that any thoughts of Sonnanstine moving to the pen is generally panned, but at least on the surface the case of Duchscherer seems possibly similar.

Longlorious.

by RATW on Jun 21, 2008 11:38 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Duchscherer has a hip problem....

that caused him problems the last few years iirc. Moving him back to the starting rotation might have been a move more to keep him healthy then needing another starter. His performance for the A’s has probably just been an added bonus.

I seem to remember Howells problem was he couldn’t get past a lineup after the second time through. I imagine he’ll get another chance to be a starter down the line. The long relief role will probably help him for when he does come back to being a starter. but for now, he’s doing too awesome in the role to allow the rays to return him to being a starter.

Plus, if he’s going to want to stay with the rays in the majors, he’s gonna have to stay a reliever with the starting pitching we’ll have coming up in the next year or so….

by chancedj on Jun 22, 2008 8:09 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I wouldn't be suprised to see Ruggiano stay and get some PT...

for the purpose of putting him on display. I think he may be as important as anyone we have if we hope to trade for a big time bat in RF. If Ruggiano can prove that he can be a serviceable OF’er with some upside we should be able to lure a team like Colorado (Holliday) with a package around Ruggiano, Niemann, and another Starter (Mason, Hellickson, Talbot)

by Dbullsfan on Jun 21, 2008 11:41 PM EDT   0 recs

No thanks to Holliday. And there is always Baldelli who could further muddle the situation if he successfully completes a rehab.

Longlorious.

by RATW on Jun 21, 2008 11:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I would love to see Baldelli make a great comeback but

are you saying you would pass on one of the better hitters in all of baseball in hopes that a guy who may never be able to play back to back games ever again. (Not a bash at Rocco, you just never know)

by Dbullsfan on Jun 22, 2008 12:13 AM EDT   0 recs

So he loses some power

I’m pretty sure a .300/25/90 guy is still pretty much better than anything we have right now

Now don’t get me wrong I’m not ready to back up the truck for this guy, but if we can get them without having to give up Davis, Mcgee, Price (of course), Jennings, or Brignac I wouldn’t mind it.

by Dbullsfan on Jun 22, 2008 12:25 AM EDT   0 recs

hellickson

should be here as long as he pitches like he has been

by puntagordaray on Jun 22, 2008 12:48 AM EDT   0 recs

ruggiano's AB

Best of the season by any Ray? Even if the result was a line drive at the SS it was fantastic. The HR I think puts it over the top. If some of the guys on the team could hit so well while being patient and knowing how to foul off bad pitches we’d be 5 games ahead of Boston. Longoria and CC hacking at the first pitch is gettin worse and worse, and then BJ and Gomes seemingly scared to hit fastballs at times makes me want to puke.

by jwgator on Jun 22, 2008 1:25 AM EDT   0 recs

I think Ruggi should not just platoon

I think he should be our everyday starting RF, He owns the minor with his speed and Hrs. I think Ruggiano deserves the starting postion …. and it should be his until he proves he doesnt deserves it… which he shouldnt..

Hows Jason Pridle doing?>

Hello Kitty, #1 in your fantasy league. =p

by Boricua on Jun 22, 2008 3:22 AM EDT   0 recs

What excactly has Ruggiano done ?

I understand that Gabe Gross/Eric Hinske/Cliff Floyd/Jonny Gomes quartet isn’t great and Ruggiano is younger than all of them but I don’t understand why some people think he should be the starting RF? The guy had a chance to win a spot on the mlb roster in the spring and possibly contend for the RF spot than at couldn’t consistently hit MLB pitching. Yes the guy can hit and run in the minors, I know I’ve seen him play quite a bit in Durham, but I also so Kevin Witt hit the ball 400+ feet every other time he came to the plate in the minors and how did that work out for him. Now don’t get me wrong, I understand that Ruggiano is a better overall player than Witt was. I just don’t think the Rays have any shot at making the post season if he is your everyday RF.

He has been and will be as long as he is still in the system one of my favorite Bulls and now Rays players, I just don’t think the Rays can afford to play another rookie if they want to be serious about contending this year.

by Dbullsfan on Jun 22, 2008 4:12 AM EDT   0 recs

Compare the minor league careers of

Ruggiano and Gomes. They are quite similar. Ruggiano struck out a bit less frequently; Gomes hit home runs and walked more frequently. Ruggiano had a higher BA; Gomes had a higher OBP and slugging . Ruggiano stole bases slightly more often at a 73 rate; Gomes did it at an 82% rate. Ruggiano is almost certainly a better fielder.

Gomes had one good partial season in the majors, one terrible one and one so-so one. He has hit for good power here and generally mashed lefties. There is not enough information about Ruggiano in the majors, so we cannot compare, but I do not see why anyone thinks he is clearly a better choice than Gomes unless one considers the fielding difference the determining factor.

by bobr on Jun 22, 2008 7:24 AM EDT   0 recs

Regarding Navarro....

The first half of last year was bad for him. But i started to see a much better Navarro the last half, or last 1/3rd of the year. Perhaps having DiFelice up earlier this year helped navvaro as well (not with his hitting, but his calling of games).

by chancedj on Jun 22, 2008 8:23 AM EDT   0 recs

Rugginao v. Gross

I know Gross had a few good walk off at-bats, but isn’t he hitting like .234? I say give Ruggiano some playing time to see what he can do at this level. He’s got speed, he’s got power, he’s got a pretty good glove.

by Texas Rays Fan on Jun 22, 2008 9:43 AM EDT   0 recs

The walk-offs are insignificant as indicators

but Gross’s line is .243/.325/.450 with 13 BBs and 5 HRs in 111 ABs. His OPS+ is 110, not bad for a reserve. His first week here (5 appearances) he only got 1 hit, but since then (April 30) his line is .268/.349/.485 for an OPS of .834, again quite good for a platoon/reserve player.

by bobr on Jun 22, 2008 1:28 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

everyone knows of my man-love for Ruggs

and disdain for Gross, but as a tandem, Gross and Ruggs platooning would be an above average right fielder IMHO. I don’thave stats to back it up, but the eye test tells me that Ruggs is a more complete player than Gomes, and seems to play better sporatically than Gomes can. I would be plenty happy with a Gross/Ruggs RF and dangle Hinske for one more bullpen arm. Or keep Hinske as a backup 1b, 3B, RF. Hinske>Gomes…

Jonny is a heck of a team guy, but he is a AAAA guy…

by Hazleton Jason on Jun 22, 2008 12:43 PM EDT   0 recs

I like Ruggiano

But we should just continue with the platoon for now. I’d give Justin a bit more PT than what he has been getting, but Gross is good vs righties and he should continue to play vs them. He should never ever hit against a lefty. Justin should play the bulk against lefties and some righties. Gomes should just hit vs lefties.

by matthan on Jun 22, 2008 12:58 PM EDT   0 recs

It also occurred to me in discussing Gross

how discussions of in-game tactics can be blinkered because we can only guess at what would have happened were another decision made, but the results of the one we see are obvious and so are usually measured against our higher expectations.

For example, last night with Floyd on base in the 9th, fans were calling for Gross to pinch run. A reasonable option. He wasn’t, and his hit brought in the winning run, so the earlier tactical choice proved right. But that is only because of intervening events that nobody could have known would happen.

Suppose, for example, that with Floyd on second Navarro had gotten a hit and Floyd was gunned down trying to score. Wouldn’t fans be up in arms about not pinch running? And to the argument he was saving Gross to pinch hit for Bartlett the reasonable response would be you do not risk tying the game for something that may never become a factor, leaving a better option on the bench for such an eventuality.

That is why I prefer to ask questions about tactics rather than assuming the manager is wrong, or worse, assuming his decision is based on inattention or stupidity or lack of understanding of the game, all of which are not credible judgments about experienced baseball men.

There are obvious errors of judgment, I agree, and sometimes there are styles that make little sense but are part of a manager’s approach. But more often than not, the judgments we make as fans are overhasty and once made we remember them and all other managerial decisions are evaluated with that predisposition to see the error foremost in our minds.

by bobr on Jun 22, 2008 1:42 PM EDT   0 recs

I think Maddon learned his lesson Friday by not having Gross hit for Bartlett

He wasn’t going to make that same mistake twice. Now if he wasn’t planning on hitting Gross for Bartlett then he certainly should have ran for Floyd.

by matthan on Jun 22, 2008 2:33 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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