Dear Baseball, Start Landing Better, Love Carl

It's that time of the month to play what's wrong (and right) with Carl Crawford. Thus far his .279/.324/.394 line and .717 OPS ranks him ahead of only Delmon Young, Gary Matthews Jr., Garret Anderson, and Juan Pierre as qualifying left fielders. Crawford's walk rate is up to a career high 6.5%, the strikeout rate is down to its lowest since 2005, both are nice improvements, but when you're only seeing 3.37 pitches per plate appearance (not at-bat, plate appearance, so walks are included) you had better not be striking out much.

A career average 4% of his plate appearances have went to 3-0 counts, and to his credit he hasn't swung at any of the ensuing pitches. 10%, again the low since 2005 have went to 2-0, and a slightly above career average 8% have went to 3-1 counts, with Carl swinging roughly 33% of the time.

Carl is putting more balls into play, but his always high BABIP - which many perceived as an outlier due to his speed - has all but regressed to simply average, a big factor would be his infield hit percentage dropping to 2.4%, his previous career low was 5.2% in 2002. Essentially if Crawford's BABIP was higher he would likely be having a career year, in fact he's actually raised his IsoD (OBP-BA) up to a career high 0.045. 

To add to his unlucky vibe some of the balls Carl has hit that have been caught as flyouts went as doubles last year. So, basically Crawford's BABIP will either restore itself to his abnormally speedy ways, or he'll have to adapt to a world with a normal BABIP, in which case his walk rate will need to climb even higher to maintain his status as a good ballplayer.

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