FanPost

Rays Fielding Projections

Colin Wyers has done some crude fielding projections based on historical and 2008 zone ratings from both STATS and BIS (THT's RZR).  Here are projections for Rays (and Sheffield, because I was interested.)  All numbers are runs relative to position over a full season.

Pos	Player	STATS	BIS	AVG
1B	Aybar	4	17	10.5
1B	Pena	-7	5	-1

2B Zobrist 2 4 3 2B Aki -3 3 0 2B Upton -5 -7 -6
3B Hinske 4 6 5 3B Aybar 4 3 3.5 3B Aki -6 -7 -6.5 3B Upton -7 -9 -8
CF Gross 2 5 3.5 CF Upton -4 3 -0.5
LF Crawfor 13 6 9.5 LF Gross 4 3 3.5 LF Hinske -3 -4 -3.5
RF Gross 3 3 3 RF Hinske -9 -3 -6 RF Sheffie -5 -9 -7
SS Bartlet 6 5 5.5 SS Zobrist -10 -10 -10

Obviously, sample size warning apply for many of these players. But there are some things worth noting:

  • Hinske rates surprisingly well at third base, although that's using half the data as his right field rating.
  • Sheffield isn't worse than Hinske in the outfield.
  • Gabe Gross is a 10 run upgrade over both Hinske and Sheffield in the outfield.
  • Going from Bartlett to Zobrist looks ugly, but I think we knew that already.
  • Aybar, in limited playing time looks to be a very good fielder.  I'd like to see him play at third, and putting him at first instead of Pena if Pena can DH wouldn't be crazy.
  • Pena rates lower than most fans would predict.  Thoughts?  (This analysis does not include "scooping ability".)

This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.

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