Tampa Bay wins the A.L. East
According to the numbers the Tampa Bay Rays finish the season as A.L. Champs. Of course many things can change between now and early Oct. such as Jason Bartlett getting his fingered mangled by a heater or Shawn Riggans manning up and taking one in the chest for the team. Not to make light of the situation but Shawn will be fine, I've seen some devastating football hits to the upper thorax that would have killed the avg. man, but these are fine tuned athletes. Shawn most likely was winded and will have a softball size bruise in the morn'n.
Thank goodness for 15 yr old algebraic guru's. After analyzing the %'s of the Rays, Sox & Yanks, here's what sonny boy showed me as to the final standings of the A.L. East. I knew I reared a good'n:
Tampa Bay 95 - 67
Boston 92 - 70
NY Yanks 87 - 75
The tally was based on the Rays winning 73% of their home games and 45% of their road games. Based on the home / away schedule throughout the rest of the season the Rays will win 17 of their remaining 23 home games and win 13 of their 30 remaining road games. 30 more wins? That I could live with.
The Red Sox actually win only 42% of their road games and are winning 68% of their home games. Boston's split thru the rest of the year will be winning 18 at home and 11 on the road or a total of 29 wins before years end.
The Yanks it would seem would have it the roughest but are 1 game over .500 on the road this season. Regardless, playing 30 road games in which they are basically 50% winners vs. 19 home games which they win 57% of the time makes one get the feeling the Yanks have a tough road to hoe. Out of the Yanks remaining 51 games, according to the % they will win 27 games before years end.
Congrads to Joe Madden, the team, Stuey, and Andie for a job well done.
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11 comments
Comments
haha ouch, youre using a projection that has the rays playing .700 ball for the rest of the season and winning the east by only 3 games, and youre declaring them the AL east champions?? Hate to break it to you but it doesnt take much to be off by 5 games.
by spinz on Aug 4, 2008 2:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
oh thats more like .600, still, i wouldnt feel too confident yet:P
by spinz on Aug 4, 2008 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Based on my research
The Rays need to only win 23 or 24 more games to make the playoffs. Historically 89 to 90 wins should win you the wild card based on my quick little research, especially when you factor in the current pace of the teams in the wild card hunt.
If the Rays hit 90 wins they should make the playoffs. And since they are already at 66 wins we kind of have to like our chances.
by matthan on Aug 4, 2008 2:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
90 in this division, idk about that
maybe 95 will get it done
longo=ROY. friedman=Executive of the year. Maddon=Manager of the year. Rays=WS champs 08! fiddler cat=best way to show your excitement middle name lamar=success, last name lamar=fail, sorry chuck! pause not!
by RaysOfHope on Aug 4, 2008 3:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
well i was talking about the wild card
by matthan on Aug 4, 2008 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why play for the wild card?
Stick your hand all the way up her dress and go for it all. You weren’t as fortunate as I to have married the prom queen, were you?
Think BIG! Win the East!
With 50 games remaining it will be a cakewalk….
by John 63 on Aug 4, 2008 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Losers always whine about their best
Winners go home and fuck the prom queen
(in my best sean connery voice)
Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.
by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 5, 2008 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
These guys simulated the rest of the season a million times
and found that the Rays have a 60.75% of winning the East and a 29.60% chance of winning the wild card. That gives us a 90% chance of making the playoffs (Boston 80% and NYY 20%).
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php
by cosmic charlie on Aug 4, 2008 4:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hahaha, yeah 15 year old Algebra Gurus
LOL it’s so true!!!!
by Top Gun Numba 1 on Aug 4, 2008 5:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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