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Around SBN: Seahawks Trade for TE Kellen Winslow

USA Today and Bullpens

The Rays are heavily mentioned:

The group the Rays used in the playoffs all joined the team in June 2006 or later. The low-profile Nelson fits right into a bullpen that Maddon mixed and matched to a pennant, a versatile collection whose highest-paid member was closer Troy Percival, who was paid $4 million and missed the playoffs with back problems that could linger into 2009.

And then there's this:

"There are guys out there," says San Diego Padres GM Kevin Towers, who prefers limiting spending on relievers yet usually has a strong bullpen. "You have to put them in the right situation. Bullpen depth is almost as important as quality."

That's not entirely true, at least the last sentence, as Sky showed a while back:

The Three 3.75 Relievers
(4.75 - 3.75) * 72 / 9 * (2.0 + 1.5 + 1.25) = 38 leveraged runs saved

The Stud Reliever With Two Shmucks
(4.75 - 2.50) * 72 / 9 * 2.0 + two nothings = 36 leveraged runs saved

Regardless, it's a decent read that approaches the volatile nature of relief staffs.

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Regarding the last part

While the runs saved may be similar, the “Three 3.75 Relievers” spread out injury risk much better than the “Stud Reliever with Two Schmucks”

by Top Gun Numba 1 on Jan 24, 2009 9:39 PM EST reply actions  

Is spreading out risk a good thing?

Actually, yes, in this case, because no matter who gets hurt, you lose the third guy in the chain, only 10 RAR. The expected loss of the stud option is 1/3 × 36 = 12 RAR.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Jan 24, 2009 10:03 PM EST up reply actions  

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