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The Brignac Table

REP BAT FLD POS Runs Wins
20 -15 0 7 12 1.2
20 -15 5 7 17 1.7
20 -15 10 7 22 2.2
20 -15 15 7 27 2.7
20 -10 0 7 17 1.7
20 -10 5 7 22 2.2
20 -10 10 7 27 2.7
20 -10 15 7 32 3.2
20 -5 0 7 22 2.2
20 -5 5 7 27 2.7
20 -5 10 7 32 3.2
20 -5 15 7 37 3.7
20 0 0 7 27 2.7
20 0 5 7 32 3.2
20 0 10 7 37 3.7
20 0 15 7 42 4.2

Jason Bartlett has averaged 2.6 wins over the last three years. As you can see, Brignac has the chance to top that, even if his offense is -15 runs, which by the way, would have to be pretty damn awful. If league average hitting is around .330 and Brignac had a wOBA of .305, he'd be better than -15 runs. CHONE has him pegged for -14.5 if he were to take over in 2009.

I'm not suggesting Brignac should dethrone Bartlett as the starter next year, but 2010 should be interesting.

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Comments

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I am your Cajun God with Swavor....Call me up

Top Josh Paul Pornos- Big Navi Stroking, 2pitchers1cup, BJ to the Balls, Riggans Your Thingans

by SRQman on Jan 29, 2009 2:57 PM EST reply actions  

I suspect Brignac is not as good a defender as people think

I seriously doubt he would be a better defender than JB over the course of the next three seasons.

by RaysTheRoof on Jan 29, 2009 3:04 PM EST reply actions  

Bartlett will decline over the next 3 years

Injury is a likely reason for his 2008 performance, but in general his skills will be declining as he hits 30

by Tommy Rancel on Jan 29, 2009 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

RTR have you seen him play?

not trying to be a dick just asking, but I saw him play quite a bit last season in Durham and I think he is a better defender than people think. His range isn’t as great as Bartlett’s but his arm strength is much better. I think people under estimate how much work Brignac put into defense last off-season, spring, and season (there was an interview with him about it but I forget where). He admitted that he didn’t focus that much on hitting to improve defensively, I think that now that he can focus more on hitting again 1/2 season in Durham and you will see his offense improve.

by Dbullsfan on Jan 29, 2009 4:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I have been speculating

with no evidence whatsoever that Brignac’s offensive falloff might be due to his intense focus on his defense. My understanding is that he is an exceptionally earnest and hardworking player, sort of a baseball gym rat, and that his intensity might lead him to emphasize the one thing for which he had been criticized to the detriment of his more natural talents. Your comment suggests there might be some validity to that thought, although I hesitate to reckon my own speculations as anything more than fan optimism.

by bobr on Jan 29, 2009 4:53 PM EST up reply actions  

The regression on K/BB is disheartening though

I can see where focusing on defense might affect power or average, but I don’t feel like it should affect batting eye. Maybe I’m wrong.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Jan 29, 2009 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

bring him up now

sell barty while his value is high. i mean, MVP of 2008, how can it get higher?

by daveh33 on Jan 29, 2009 3:57 PM EST reply actions  

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