FanGraphs pages:
DH ADJ is simply the WAR with FLD and POS adjusted to DH standards (0 and -17.5)
Abreu | BAT | FLD | POS | RPL | WAR | DH ADJ |
2006 | 33.4 | -15.3 | -7.2 | 22.9 | 3.3 | 3.88 |
2007 | 11.2 | -4.2 | -7.4 | 23.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
2008 | 21 | -25.2 | -7.5 | 22.8 | 1.1 | 2.63 |
Giambi | BAT | FLD | POS | RPL | WAR | DH ADJ |
2006 | 36.2 | -7.1 | -12.9 | 19.3 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
2007 | 1.9 | 1 | -8.3 | 10.1 | 0.5 | -0.55 |
2008 | 21.5 | -1.8 | -12 | 18.8 | 2.6 | 2.28 |
Burrell | BAT | FLD | POS | RPL | WAR | DH ADJ |
2006 | 21.2 | -8.3 | -7.1 | 18.9 | 2.4 | 2.26 |
2007 | 26.2 | -19 | -7.5 | 19.9 | 1.9 | 2.86 |
2008 | 24.6 | -10.8 | -7.3 | 21.5 | 2.8 | 2.86 |
There's also baserunning to throw in there. I ran the numbers and Abreu's looking at a ~1 run advantage over both when it comes to steals and caught stealings. Mainly because he's the only one who can run. Marcels and Chone have them worth the following offensive runs:
Player | Marcels | Chone |
Giambi | 12 | 20 |
Abreu | 13.3 | 10 |
Burrell | 18.7 | 13 |
I think Chone is way out of touch here in projecting Giambi to be a win better offensively than Abreu. Otherwise what we have is a DH race that seems strikingly close. Other things to consider:
- League adjustment for Burrell.
- Park adjustments
- Price.
- Handness (since they're all so close this can become a factor. Abreu/Giambi: L, Burrell: R.)
- Age. (Abreu 35, Burrell 32, GIambi 38)
- Likelihood of decline.
I think I'm beginning to warm to Abreu.