More DH Talk

FanGraphs pages:

Pat Burrell

Jason Giambi

Bobby Abreu

DH ADJ is simply the WAR with FLD and POS adjusted to DH standards (0 and -17.5)

Abreu BAT FLD POS RPL WAR DH ADJ
2006 33.4 -15.3 -7.2 22.9 3.3 3.88
2007 11.2 -4.2 -7.4 23.3 2.2 1.7
2008 21 -25.2 -7.5 22.8 1.1 2.63

 

Giambi BAT FLD POS RPL WAR DH ADJ
2006 36.2 -7.1 -12.9 19.3 3.4 3.8
2007 1.9 1 -8.3 10.1 0.5 -0.55
2008 21.5 -1.8 -12 18.8 2.6 2.28

 

Burrell BAT FLD POS RPL WAR DH ADJ
2006 21.2 -8.3 -7.1 18.9 2.4 2.26
2007 26.2 -19 -7.5 19.9 1.9 2.86
2008 24.6 -10.8 -7.3 21.5 2.8 2.86

There's also baserunning to throw in there. I ran the numbers and Abreu's looking at a ~1 run advantage over both when it comes to steals and caught stealings. Mainly because he's the only one who can run. Marcels and Chone have them worth the following offensive runs:

Player Marcels Chone
Giambi 12 20
Abreu 13.3 10
Burrell 18.7 13

I think Chone is way out of touch here in projecting Giambi to be a win better offensively than Abreu. Otherwise what we have is a DH race that seems strikingly close. Other things to consider:

- League adjustment for Burrell.

- Park adjustments

- Price.

- Handness (since they're all so close this can become a factor. Abreu/Giambi: L, Burrell: R.)

- Age. (Abreu 35, Burrell 32, GIambi 38)

- Likelihood of decline.

I think I'm beginning to warm to Abreu.

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