Projecting the Position Players

With the signing of Burrell, we have a fairly good idea about how the at-bats should shake out. I looked at Marcel's projections for the 15 players I see getting the majority of the plate appearances and tried to guess how I thought they might shake out. Then I used their wOBA projections and the CHONE's defensive projections to figure their value.

Age wOBA PA BRAA Replacement Def Adjustment Total Value
Evan Longoria 24 0.366 600 19.3 20.0 7.0 2.5 48.8
Carlos Pena 31 0.383 625 29.3 20.8 1.0 -12.5 38.7
B.J. Upton 25 0.358 600 15.1 20.0 0.0 2.5 37.6
Jason Bartlett 30 0.315 500 -6.1 16.7 7.5 7.0 25.1
Pat Burrell 33 0.369 625 21.7 20.8 0.0 -17.5 25.1
Dioner Navarro 25 0.319 470 -4.1 15.7 2.4 10.4 24.3
Carl Crawford 28 0.335 580 3.0 19.3 8.7 -6.8 24.3
Akinori Iwamura 30 0.330 600 0.5 20.0 0.0 2.7 23.2
Matthew Joyce 25 0.354 400 8.7 13.3 4.7 -6.3 20.4
Reid Brignac 22 0.333 200 0.7 6.7 0.0 2.5 9.9
Fernando Perez 26 0.341 200 2.1 6.7 1.3 -0.8 9.3
Gabe Gross 30 0.335 250 1.3 8.3 1.3 -2.5 8.4
Willy Aybar 26 0.334 200 0.9 6.7 0.0 0.3 7.8
Shawn Riggans 29 0.312 250 -3.7 8.3 -2.5 4.2 6.3
Ben Zobrist 27 0.309 200 -3.5 6.7 -3.3 0.3 0.1

This puts us at about 31 wins above replacement with replacement level pitching. That's about an 80 win team. Tomorrow I'll look at the pitching staff to see where we are as a whole.

 

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