Community Projections: Pat Burrell
by Tommy Rancel
on Jan 7, 2009 8:14 AM EST
42 comments
Time to start up the community projections again. Since we've been sidetracked for the past few by the Burrell signing, it's only fitting we pick it back up with him.
BA/OBP/SLG
| Burrell | BA | OBP | SLG |
| 2007 | 0.256 | 0.400 | 0.502 |
| 2008 | 0.250 | 0.367 | 0.507 |
| Marcels | 0.250 | 0.371 | 0.483 |
via mlb.mlb.com
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250/365/480
—-thinking the AL East and new surroundings could get him off to a slow start, but he’ll be fine—-
IF only Harry Carey could be arounde for Kosuke.
by CubFanRaysaddict on
Jan 7, 2009 9:02 AM EST
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.257/.394/.502
This is a very similar lineup to Philly with speed guys at the top and power guys in the middle. I think he fits in right from the start. If I were Jon Lester I would be very scared.
Anyway, as I was lying in the puddle, I think I may have found a way for us to get Bonds and Griffey, and we wouldn't have to give up that much.
~George Costanza~
by Sandy Kazmir on
Jan 7, 2009 9:22 AM EST
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.260/.380/.480
Burrell’s AVG and SLG have been remarkably consistent. The challenge here isn’t measuring his talent, but translating it from Philly to TB.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on
Jan 7, 2009 9:42 AM EST
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.250/.400/.500
I’m not sold on someone who’s 32 being on the decline, this isn’t Tennis. And I think his year last year was below his standards. He puts up similar numbers due to a switch to the AL and because of the difficulty of the AL East, but I’d consider it a bounce-back year.
by kericr on
Jan 7, 2009 9:59 AM EST
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.230/.350/.450
But 110 RBI provides reprieve from critics
by Ben Tumbling on
Jan 7, 2009 10:02 AM EST
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It's fine as long as you aren't using it to argue a player's value.
Using it to illustrate the idiocy of the local media is fine, though.
by rglass44 on
Jan 7, 2009 10:33 AM EST
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.260/.380/..510
Surprisingly big year, as the transition to DH keeps him healthy and the ladies of the Bay area keep him happy. Also, he’s been really unlucky the last 2 years.
Year xBABIP BABIP
2005 .333 .299
2006 .291 .289
2007 .272 .288
2008 .270 .291
This is the new xBABIP from the Bendix piece. His luck rebounds as he smashes the LHP in the division and doubles off the Monstah.
by rglass44 on
Jan 7, 2009 10:32 AM EST
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Doesn't that data show he's been slightly LUCKY the past two years?
Or are the columns mis-labeled?
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on
Jan 7, 2009 11:02 AM EST
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.274/.381/.473
Vogt early, Vogt often.
by Brickhaus on
Jan 7, 2009 12:33 PM EST
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What?
So he’ll be near a career high in BA, but his BB% and IsoP would be career lows?
by rglass44 on
Jan 7, 2009 12:40 PM EST
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Yes
A lot of similar hitters have had that type of career path. When the power first starts to go, they overcompensate by trying to hit for contact more. Then within a couple of years all the batspeed is gone and they don’t hit much at all.
Vogt early, Vogt often.
by Brickhaus on
Jan 7, 2009 1:27 PM EST
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I was only talking about the logical explination behind the prediction, not so much the potential for it's accuracy.
by kericr on
Jan 7, 2009 3:10 PM EST
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Are you saying I'm a whiney fruit?
BAN
by rglass44 on
Jan 7, 2009 3:53 PM EST
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Well I mean, you went to school at Wake Forest...
by kericr on
Jan 7, 2009 4:01 PM EST
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Yeah I almost went to wake forest
until I looked down and realized I didnt have a vagina!
haha just kidding. I actually did have a running scholarship there in HS until my senior year when i got hit by a car and broke my foot. UF turned out fine enough though, where my dad ironically ran track.
by BossmanJunior333 on
Jan 7, 2009 6:14 PM EST
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I had a bunch of friends that ran track there.
Don’t worry you didn’t miss much, the program is the stain on the athletic department.
by rglass44 on
Jan 7, 2009 8:18 PM EST
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Should've ran faster.
But seriously though, that sucks.
by R.J. Anderson on
Jan 7, 2009 8:19 PM EST
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Another reason to get Barry Bonds for $400k
Anyway, as I was lying in the puddle, I think I may have found a way for us to get Bonds and Griffey, and we wouldn't have to give up that much.
~George Costanza~
by Sandy Kazmir on
Jan 7, 2009 1:33 PM EST
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Pat the Contact Bat?
The notion, stated above, that Burrell will become a contact hitter to make up for a stunning drop in power is hard to imagine. Are we talking about the same guy? To think this same guy would walk less seems ridiculous. What are the historical precedents for this provocative speculation?
by Thejeffg on
Jan 8, 2009 12:12 AM EST
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Where do you see stunning? Where do you see fewer walks? Why didn't you just reply to the post instead of starting a new thread?
But yeah, I’d like to know the similar player precedence too?
by kericr on
Jan 8, 2009 1:01 AM EST
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.245/.360/.470
I think the switch in leagues will bring his numbers down a bit. He’ll still be productive and well worth his contract.
The truth will set you free, but first it will piss you off.
by pocket8pin on
Jan 8, 2009 5:03 AM EST
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