Fun With Math and Wade Davis' Walk Rate
Per StatCorner, Wade Davis threw 37.4% balls in Triple-A this season and 37.1% balls in the majors. His unintentional walk rates were 8.8% and 7.9% respectively. I wanted to know whether or not we should expect that walk rate to creep up a bit, so I took every starting pitcher in the 37%-38% ball range - surprisingly a lot -- and produced a raw average*uBB%. That average was 7.98%.
I love when it happens like that.
*This simply means I didn't weight the pitchers based on pitches thrown. That probably changes the figure, but not overly much; I set the qualifying bar at 300 xOuts/PA.
Data used:
| Pitcher | Ball% | uBB% |
| Davis AAA | 37.4 | 8.8 |
| Davis MLB | 37.1 | 7.9 |
| Blanton | 37 | 6.5 |
| Penny | 37.1 | 6.8 |
| Holland | 37.1 | 7.7 |
| Looper | 37.1 | 6.7 |
| H. Bailey | 37.2 | 10.2 |
| Kazmir | 37.2 | 9.5 |
| Lester | 37.2 | 7.6 |
| Huff | 37.3 | 7 |
| Sowers | 37.3 | 9 |
| Bush | 37.3 | 7 |
| Wellemeyer | 37.3 | 9 |
| Hampton | 37.3 | 8.1 |
| Jackson | 37.3 | 7.4 |
| Harden | 37.3 | 10.2 |
| Price | 37.4 | 9.8 |
| E. Santana | 37.4 | 7.1 |
| Billingsley | 37.5 | 9.4 |
| Padilla | 37.6 | 8.2 |
| Ohlendorf | 37.6 | 7.2 |
| West | 37.7 | 7.2 |
| Guthrie | 37.8 | 6.8 |
| Pelfrey | 37.8 | 7 |
| Marquis | 37.8 | 7.9 |
| Porcello | 37.8 | 7.3 |
| Cook | 37.8 | 6.8 |
| Washburn | 37.8 | 8.3 |
| Cueto | 37.9 | 8 |
| C. Zambrano | 37.9 | 9.8 |
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Comments
I don't want you to feel bad when you see my 10 comments
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Oct 2, 2009 2:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Being on any list with Jason Marquis can’t be a good thing…
Mound Visit
by Mound Visit on Oct 2, 2009 6:15 PM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Or Guthrie
or blanton or Big Z.
J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.
by Some other guy who does not care on Oct 2, 2009 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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