Fun With Math and Wade Davis' Walk Rate
Per StatCorner, Wade Davis threw 37.4% balls in Triple-A this season and 37.1% balls in the majors. His unintentional walk rates were 8.8% and 7.9% respectively. I wanted to know whether or not we should expect that walk rate to creep up a bit, so I took every starting pitcher in the 37%-38% ball range - surprisingly a lot -- and produced a raw average*uBB%. That average was 7.98%.
I love when it happens like that.
*This simply means I didn't weight the pitchers based on pitches thrown. That probably changes the figure, but not overly much; I set the qualifying bar at 300 xOuts/PA.
Data used:
| Pitcher | Ball% | uBB% |
| Davis AAA | 37.4 | 8.8 |
| Davis MLB | 37.1 | 7.9 |
| Blanton | 37 | 6.5 |
| Penny | 37.1 | 6.8 |
| Holland | 37.1 | 7.7 |
| Looper | 37.1 | 6.7 |
| H. Bailey | 37.2 | 10.2 |
| Kazmir | 37.2 | 9.5 |
| Lester | 37.2 | 7.6 |
| Huff | 37.3 | 7 |
| Sowers | 37.3 | 9 |
| Bush | 37.3 | 7 |
| Wellemeyer | 37.3 | 9 |
| Hampton | 37.3 | 8.1 |
| Jackson | 37.3 | 7.4 |
| Harden | 37.3 | 10.2 |
| Price | 37.4 | 9.8 |
| E. Santana | 37.4 | 7.1 |
| Billingsley | 37.5 | 9.4 |
| Padilla | 37.6 | 8.2 |
| Ohlendorf | 37.6 | 7.2 |
| West | 37.7 | 7.2 |
| Guthrie | 37.8 | 6.8 |
| Pelfrey | 37.8 | 7 |
| Marquis | 37.8 | 7.9 |
| Porcello | 37.8 | 7.3 |
| Cook | 37.8 | 6.8 |
| Washburn | 37.8 | 8.3 |
| Cueto | 37.9 | 8 |
| C. Zambrano | 37.9 | 9.8 |
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Being on any list with Jason Marquis can’t be a good thing…
Mound Visit
by Mound Visit on Oct 2, 2009 6:15 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Or Guthrie
or blanton or Big Z.
J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.

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