The 2010 Rays ZiPS Projections

You'll be reading about these projections a lot in the coming months.

over 2 years ago R.J. Anderson 13 comments 0 recs |

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There's about a million things I want to say about this, but to start with

I’ve got 940 K’s from Pena, Longo, Bartlett, Craw, Zob, Beej, PtB, & Joyce.

Pretty crazy that Ruggs and Navi have basically the same projected OPS.

Sean Rod and Matty Joyce are not expected to do much, not sure if ZiPS is just not favorable for those with short track-
records

I like where BenZo’s SLG is at, but I think his OBP will be higher, I think that HR (16) figure is kind of a cop-out. I could see him hitting more, but not less.

Between Bartlett, Zobie, Sean Rod, Joyce, Upton, and Burrell, we have to be one of the harder teams to project after getting so many “from norm” seasons last year. Pena and Longo are going to get theirs, but I can see these other guys putting up all kinds of different seasons ranging from mediocre to amazing.

Just my quick thoughts on a quicker glance at this. I prefer Chone for offense, but these are great as well.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Oct 31, 2009 3:51 PM EDT reply actions

ZO IS A GLORIFIED JOE DILLON AT THE PLATE

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Oct 31, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions

Agreed.

BenZo’s numbers are a little low. With 500 AB’s, he hit 27 HRs in 2009. With a little regression and 100 more PAs, I think it’s silly to predict less than 20 HRs.

Cats here: http://www.homebodyabroad.blogspot.com/
Movies here: http://miltonsmovies.blogspot.com/

by BWoodrum on Nov 1, 2009 9:31 AM EST up reply actions

So we should probably be trading Bartlett...

Officially now the head of the Lobstein bandwagon.

by P Brady on Oct 31, 2009 3:56 PM EDT reply actions

Ya think?

Try explaining that to these animals.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Oct 31, 2009 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions

SALARY DUMP... GIVING UP... DOESN'T CARE ABOUT FANS... LIES TO US...

by Doug09 on Oct 31, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions

FIP using a constant of 3.2

Shields 3.90
Garza 4.10
Davis 4.13
Price* 4.79
Niemann 4.67
Hellickson 4.55
Hernandez* 4.77
Cromer* 4.82
Talbot 4.68
Sonnanstine 4.57
Rollins 5.33
McGee* 5.30
Houser* 6.47

Howell* 3.66
Springer 3.89
Bradford 4.11
Balfour 3.84
Cormier 4.31
Abreu 4.03
Wheeler 4.54
Nelson 4.80
Shouse* 4.36
Isringhausen 4.50
Thayer 4.47
Choate* 4.58
Percival 4.92
Bateman 4.78
Bennett 5.21
Childers 4.95
Morlan 5.41
DePaula 5.92

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Oct 31, 2009 4:20 PM EDT reply actions

Someone tell ZiPS that we cut Houser

Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com

by Imperialism32 on Oct 31, 2009 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions

They've got Longo hitting 526 homers in his career!

That’d be good for 18th, 4 spots and 22 dingers behind Mike Schmidt.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Oct 31, 2009 4:26 PM EDT reply actions

HIT MORE LONGO

STRIKE OUT LESS- OR WE WILL TRADE YOU FOR A RELIEVER

T-Jack is back, J.J has went back to sucking, Bates won't blitz, Raheem's bored.

by 4QB on Oct 31, 2009 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions

The projected 600+ Doubles is pretty amazing too

That’s about Top-10 all time, and I think that he could easily beat those estimates if he stays healthy too.

by Transplanted on Oct 31, 2009 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions

Agreed

I think at some point that we have to re-realize for the 100th time just how good Longo is. To compare it to the Magic, it’s like we have crazy depth, but if Dwight gets hurt, then it doesn’t matter.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 1, 2009 4:51 AM EDT up reply actions