DRaysBay: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Once A Metro covering Red Bull New York!

American League Positional Value

I like how Fangraphs gives you convenient graphs showing how players have performed versus the league average over a long period of time, like so:

934_1b_season_full_8_20091006_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

Looks great, right?  Carlos is awesome compared to the league average over the last three years.  The problem comes in when you consider that he's a First Basemen.  Most of them should hit better than league average.  We can use positional adjustments to level the playing field, but I wanted to look at this in a different way.  My goal was to create a baseline for each position at the AL, NL, & MLB levels.  These baselines can be used at the player level, or as in this case, to see how a team stacked up at a position compared to the rest of the league. 

Star-divide

First off, here are the league average wOBA's for each position, by league, with the Rays:

Split AL NL MLB Rays
as C    0.320    0.314    0.317    0.281
as 1B    0.358    0.368    0.363    0.360
as 2B    0.341    0.330    0.335    0.338
as 3B    0.341    0.332    0.337    0.382
as SS    0.322    0.321    0.322    0.396
as LF    0.346    0.345    0.345    0.373
as CF    0.327    0.339    0.333    0.313
as RF    0.354    0.342    0.348    0.342
as DH    0.343    0.361    0.344    0.326

I should mention that nothing in this article has been park-adjusted, but you can see that 3B, SS, & LF grade out incredibly well compared to the rest of the AL.  Catcher not so much, with 1B, 2B, CF, & RF in various locations around the average.  Using the formula (wOBArays-wOBAal)/1.15*PArays I could convert this to wRAA to get this:

Split
as C
as 1B
as 2B
as 3B
as SS
as LF
as CF
as RF
as DH
 wRAAal 
-21.0
0.9
-1.7
25.5
42.7
16.7
-9.1
-6.7
-9.2

This converts those wOBA's to runs so that we can just focus on one number.  As you can see, the same thing has been borne out.  It's much easier to see that, at the plate, our catchers provided over 2 losses compared to the average AL team catcher.  With CF and DH providing the next lowest amount of runs (almost a win), and SS, 3B, and LF providing a ton of offensive value, relative to league average for that position.  As we know though, offense is only part of the game. 

From here, I decided to factor UZR in for all the players that manned each position.  This was a simple weighted average using the UZR*Innings added up for all players and divided by the total number of innings for the position.  Obviously, catcher and DH were omitted.  These positions will only be looked at with an eye for the offensive portion.  Here's the UZR for each position:

Split
as C
as 1B
as 2B
as 3B
as SS
as LF
as CF
as RF
as DH
UZR
-4.8
7.9
16.8
-4.6
15.8
9.4
8.6

Clearly, 3B & LF are a cut above.  CF, RF, and 2B are a notch down, but still worth close to a win with their defense.  1B and SS were the only positions manned by below-average defense over the course of 2009.  Bringing both sides together and dividing by 10 gives us a look at WAR*.  It would look something like this:

Split
as C
as 1B
as 2B
as 3B
as SS
as LF
as CF
as RF
as DH
WARal
-2.1
-0.4
0.6
4.5
3.8
3.2
0.0
0.2
-0.9

Our best position, relative to the rest of the AL was 3B, followed by SS, and LF.  Those were elite positions giving us a ton of value.  We managed to get a little over half a win out of 2B, while CF & RF were basically league average.  Those are the positives.  Negative values were earned by 1B, DH, and C.  If you add all that up you get 9 WAR, but what does that tell you?  Is 9 good?  Is it bad? 

To get an idea, I wanted to do this same exercise for every team in the AL.  This chart is what you would get (Click to enlarge):


Alwarchart_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

 

That may not be completely clear as there is a ton of stuff crammed in there, but I will attach a file at the end so that you can download the entire workbook.  The main thing to take out of this is to a) compare the Rays to the rest of the league across positions, and b) so that you can see which teams had great seasons and which ones got stuck with an awful performance.  Yankees SS and Twins C had the largest contributions at 4.9 WAR, while Twins 2B was almost the mirror opposite at -4.7 WAR.  Here is a table with how each team did at each position.  I will be following this up with charts for those that like pretty pictures over numbers.  These are sorted left-to-right by most team WAR to least team WAR.  

Split Yanks Red
Sox
Rays Angels Rangers Jays Indians Twins Tigers Orioles A's White
Sox
M's Royals
C 1.0 0.6 -2.1 0.3 -1.3 -2.5 -0.3 4.9 -1.8 0.8 0.8 0.3 -2.0 1.4
1B 2.6 1.7 -0.4 0.9 -3.5 -0.3 0.1 1.4 2.8 -2.4 -3.5 0.2 0.2 -0.1
2B 1.7 2.8 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.7 -1.1 -4.7 0.2 0.5 -1.0 -1.6 -0.7 0.0
3B 1.2 1.2 4.5 3.8 2.1 0.9 -0.9 -0.4 0.5 -1.6 -1.8 -0.8 -1.1 -1.0
SS 4.9 -1.0 3.8 1.9 0.6 2.1 0.8 -0.8 -1.8 -1.2 -0.8 0.6 -3.4 -4.2
LF 0.9 2.1 3.2 0.5 0.9 0.1 -1.2 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -1.3 -3.9 0.5
CF 0.7 -1.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 -2.0 1.1 -0.2 1.2 0.4 0.9 -3.1 3.0 -1.5
RF 0.7 3.0 0.2 -1.3 0.3 -0.9 1.2 -1.0 -0.5 -0.3 0.7 -1.6 1.6 -3.0
DH 2.0 -0.1 -0.9 1.2 0.1 1.4 -0.3 0.8 -1.5 -0.3 0.1 0.8 -0.5 -2.7
Total 15.5 9.3 9.0 8.9 1.6 0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -4.4 -4.9 -6.5 -6.8 -10.5

 

You'll notice that the Yankees are the only team to not have a negative position and that the Rays were only .3 WAR out of 2nd place.  The Royals were the Royals.  I now want to take a magnified view of each position.  This should give you a great look at how each team did filling each position.  First off Catcher:

Catcher_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

As you can see, the Twins catchers were the best in the league, and it wasn't particularly close.  The Royals trotted out the second best catchers, remember we're only looking at offense here.  The Jays had the worst catchers in the AL, while the Rays took second in that honor barely beating out the Mariners

Next up is First Base:

1b_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

The Detroit Tigers featured the best first base in the league at 2.8 WAR with the Yankees nipping at their heels.  The Rays were 4th from the bottom getting -0.4 WAR out of first.  The worst first base in the league, however, was a tie between the A's and the Rangers at -3.5 WAR.

Moving along to Second Base:

2b_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

Finally, the Rays are in the positive, barely beating out the O's for 6th at 0.6 WAR.  The leader here was the Red Sox with 2.8 WAR, while the previously mentioned Twins 2B was a black hole at -4.7 WAR.  Kudos to the for spotting it early and getting J. J. Hardy.  He should allow them to slide some things around in that infield.  Something that I found interesting is that the best six teams in the league had the best second basemen.  Random variation is fun.

At last we get to Third Base:

3b_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

Our 3B was one of the best positions in the league at 4.5 WAR, but don't forget about the Angels at 3.8 WAR.  The A's and the O's were the worst, though, there is a solid cluster of teams around -1.0 WAR. 

Shortstop was another position that we did well in:

Ss_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

We came in second at short, trailing the Yankees by over a win, while the Royals were abysmal beating the Mariners to the bottom by almost a win.  Hmm, what's the common thread there?

Left field should treat us well, let's take a look:

Lf_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

The Rays were over a win better than the Red Sox in LF, while the Mariners might be in the market for a top-notch LF. 

Here's Center field:

Cf_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

You can see that the Rays broke even landing slightly in the bottom-half of the league.  The Mariners CF was almost 2 wins better than the Tigers, the next best team.  Meanwhile, the White Sox got nothing out of CF besides a -3.1.  The Jays were next to last, but of course this doesn't take into account contract size.  YET!!!

Here's your much-maligned RF:

Rf_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

As you can see, the Rays actually got positive RF play, on the whole, though it can't hold a candle to what the Red Sox got.  The Mariners barely beat out the Indians for second on the good side, while the other side of the coin shows the Royals getting -3.0 WAR out of their RF'ers.  The White Sox and Angels were the next worst at -1.6 & -1.3, respectively.

Lastly, we have the Designated Hitter:

Dh_medium

via i273.photobucket.com

The Rays ran the 3rd worst DH out over the course of 2009.  They Royals were about three times worse at -2.7 with the Tigers trying to chase them down at -1.5.  Meanwhile, the Yankees got two wins out of their DH and the Jays came in second at the position. 

You can download the totals workbook AL WAR TOTAL

I recommend it since you can play with the numbers, use the formulas, and see all the charts.  Also, you can see the MLB and NL charts.

Here is one for the RAYS

If you are a fan of another team, please e-mail me and I will send you the book, I just don't want to take the time to put 13 more links in here.  Alternatively, feel free to plug in your own data.  Once you have the wOBA, just plug in to the team sheet, table tab, column E.  You will also need the PA's for column J.  UZR, you should be able to figure on your own.  Please let me know if anyone decides to do this for the NL teams, it's actually pretty quick to do each team, and I'd love to see how it comes out.  

As always, let me know any questions either via e-mail or in the comments.  Please leave some if you liked the piece, didn't like it, have questions or opinions, or don't.  Thanks to Baseball-reference, The Book, Fangraphs and Sternfan1 for giving me the courage and strength to argue with people all day.

* I know that what I am calculating is not WAR, per se, since it is above average, not replacement.  I will use this term so that I don't need to add another acronym to the too crowded landscape.  Think of it like WAR, but not precisely.

1 recs  |  Comment 11 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

RF is a direct Zo effect

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Nov 19, 2009 3:06 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

How was 2B that low?

If Zorilla had the second highest WAR in the league and much of that was derived from his defense at 2B. Did Aki suck that bad when he was manning the position?

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Nov 19, 2009 3:11 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Only played half the games at 2B

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Nov 19, 2009 3:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

2B was pretty awful without Zo,

Aki and Willy combined for a .313 wOBA (looking at it quickly with the numbers on FG, vs. everything here was done on B-ref) at the plate. That translates to -16.6 wRAA. Factor in -.3 UZR from the others and you’re looking at a position that could have been -1.7 wins (not regressing the remaining PA’s to league average). Zobrist pretty much saved 2B and RF as well, though it’s hard to see that with these numbers.

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 19, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Man, it is amazing that the Twins 2B was sooooo bad it completely cancels out Joe Mauer

That really takes some doing. I think we should all go try out for Twins 2B next year. I know you mentioned they picked up JJ Hardy but still, they probably need a backup right?

I don’t think calling it WAA instead of WAR would be that bad… not really a new acronym, per se, as it’s easy to infer the meaning if you know what WAR is.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Nov 19, 2009 4:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

King Felix

I thought it would be interesting to see which teams needs would best match with the Ray`s most likely trade options. The Mariner`s had horrible production from left field and shortstop respectively. Not sure what it would take to pull the only guy on the squad that I`d be remotely interested in but it is food for thought.

by Barnese and Bailey Circus on Nov 19, 2009 10:58 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Imagine an OF of Craw, F-Gut, & Ich

My word. Only problem is it doesn’t get Craw onto some grass. King Felix would be a welcome addition in my mind.

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 20, 2009 9:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Founded in 2005. DRaysBay is home to "Progressive statistical analysis and reasoned argument."
Start posting about the Rays »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Cbs_fantasy_baseball_promo

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Desmond_small
Upton hit me in the head and a racist(!) fan.
52376727_small
DRB First Annual Fantasy Baseball Keeper League (poll added)
Avatarpic-l_small
A purely speculative analysis on a BJ Upton contract extension

Recent FanPosts

Mushroomray_small
Self-Serving FanPost for the Hypothetical Baseball Classic
Dsci0639_small
CC #28 on active player list for career batting avg.
Favicon1_small
The Rays know How to Handle Young Pitchers
Small
Velocity for Benoit....
Barrybonds-1_small
My projected 2011 Rays Lineup
4287_559112511892_1101386_33047121_2807872_n_small
Rays Infield = Best of Modern Era
Zorilla_small
Easy Hellickson
Zorilla_small
Fun With Spring Training Stats: Bulls vs. Rays
Jamesshields_small
Deadspin Previews the 2010 Rays

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

It's a slow news day and there's no game, so enjoy this video put together by the people at 12 Angry Mascots.  Fernando Perez is the man.

Recent FanShots

HD radio game broadcasts
Morgan Ensberg's Baseball IQ Blog
Sidd Finch
Is Sonny on a one-time option where he can be sent down and brought down...
Interview with Chaz Scoggins. Red Sox Official Scorer
Christina Kahrl is not impressed with the Blalock...
Fox Sports Florida releases 2010 Rays Schedule
"I don't know if there is any way of saying this without getting myself in...
Maddon considers batting Upton seventh
Jake McGee Does anyone know why McGee did not make his scheduled...

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

SBNation.com Recent Stories

From foreground left, San Francisco Giants pitchers Joe Martinez, Matt Cain and Brian Wilson run in the outfield during baseball spring training at Scottsdale Stadium in Scottsdale, Ariz., Thursday, Feb. 18, 2010. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: San Francisco Giants, No Thunder In The Lumber

Milwaukee Brewers' Casey McGehee signs autographs before a spring training baseball game against the Cleveland Indians on Monday, March 15, 2010, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) +6 updates

Spring Training News & Notes 3/16: Catching Up With Everyone

New York Yankees' Robinson Cano follows through on his 200th career hit during a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium, Sunday, Sept. 27, 2009, in New York. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens) link

Is Robinson Cano A Good Choice To Hit Behind A-Rod?

More from SBNation.com >


Baseball Operations

Big_pun--300x300_small Tommy Rancel

Zorilla_small FreeZorilla

Price_small Erik Hahmann

Pro Scouting

Rays_small Steve Slowinski

121271_rays_twins_spring_baseball_small Andy Hellicksonstine

Player Development

52376727_small rglass44

Picture-2_small RZ