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Tampa Bay Rays Continue To Buck Trends And Set New Ones; Market Exploitation 101

The "sign and trade" of Akinori Iwamura is another example of the Rays getting creative in order to acquire new talent.

More photos » by Jerry S. Mendoza - AP

The "sign and trade" of Akinori Iwamura is another example of the Rays getting creative in order to acquire new talent.

It is no secret that the Tampa Bay Rays are never going to be major spenders in the free agent market like their AL East Rivals, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. Instead, this team is built on, and will continue to be built on, things like: the amateur draft, international signings and development, shrewd free agent signings, and the occasional risky trade. In the Andrew Friedman era we've seen examples of nearly all of these scenarios; the drafting of Evan Longoria, the signing of Akinori Iwamura, the signing of Carlos Pena, and the Delmon Young/Scott Kazmir trades just to name a few.

Much to our collective chagrin, not all of the Rays moves are going to work as planned. For every Pena, there will be a Hee Sop Choi. For every Matt Garza and Ben Zobrist trade there will be deals like the ones involving Dioner Navarro and Edwin Jackson that don't exactly work as hoped. To be successful, the Rays not only need to follow the good process practice, but they must also excel in spotting market inefficiencies and exploiting them fully.

Star-divide

After the 2007 season the Rays made a conscious effort to improve their defense. They sought out cheap and effective defenders (Jason Bartlett, Gabe Gross) and built an American League Championship team around it. Defense has always been an important part of the game, but after seeing the Rays blueprint for success, many other teams went into 2009 looking for that same success.

Teams like the Mariners(trading Yuniesky Betancourt and replacing him with Jack Wilson as well as acquiring Franklin Gutierrez), Rangers (moving Michael Young for Elvis Andrus) and the Tigers (Adam Everett, Gerald Laird) all improved their defense and their win totals. In many ways because of the Rays success defense became the new version of Moneyball. This past off-season, teams shied away from offense only players and looked for a more readily available and cheap asset that can be found in a variety of places. However, defense isn't the only efficiency the Rays have tried to recently exploit.

In 2007, the Rays took a shot on a rehabbing Al Reyes and in return received a solid season from the oft-injured veteran. It was no surprise when Reyes flamed out in 2008, but he gave the Rays more production than any of us could've imagined. Also in 2007, the Rays traded for another oft-injured reliever in Grant Balfour, who had been placed on a few scrap heaps before landing with Tampa Bay. The Rays gambled on Seth McClung's potential in favor of Balfour's. In 2008, Balfour exceeded everyone's expectations and was a top three reliever in the American League; in 2009, he regressed to the top 15 or 20. Of course, there are names like Joe Nelson and Jason Isringhausen that didn't work out as well, however, the process was and still is good. We should all expect the Rays to continue dabbling in the injured reliever market in hopes of finding that next diamond in the rough.

The Rays were used to selecting at the top of the draft before 2009. Under the current regime we've added Evan Longoria, David Price and Tim Beckham at the top of the draft board. However, in 2009 the Rays were faced with a lower draft pick for the first time in franchise history. While it was never publicly acknowledged, the Rays seemed to target "toolsy," but injured players, especially in the beginning of the draft. With their first four picks they selected four injured prep stars. Once again, the plan didn't work perfectly as the projected easy sign, Levon Washington is set to play at a junior college and Kenny Diekroeger stayed committed to Stanford.  However, third round selection, Todd Glaesmann, is projected to be an above average center fielder or corner outfielder. Meanwhile fourth round pick, Luke Bailey, may be the most talented catcher in the draft. The Rays will have to wait a bit longer, especially in the case of Bailey, who already faces an uphill battle as a catching prospect, but if all goes well the Rays will have secured a few first round talents without handing out a seven figure bonus to any draft pick.

Yesterday, the Rays may have uncovered another market inefficiency by executing the first "sign and trade" that we've seen in recent baseball history; trading Akinori Iwamura to the Pirates for Jesse Chavez. As far as the trade goes, in a vacuum it's win for the Pirates. They get a three-win second basemen, who is signed for the 2010 season at well below market value. However, when you take the deal in context, Iwamura's days with the Rays were in the single digits no matter how you look at it and they were able to get something with everybody knowing that.

In actuality, it's a win-win for both parties. The Pirates get that three-win second basemen and the Rays are basically getting something for nothing. Once again, Aki is a fine player and worth every penny of the $4.85 million dollar salary, but the Rays have better and cheaper options in Ben Zobrist, Sean Rodriguez, Reid Brignac and Willy Aybar, who in total will make less than Iwamura in 2010. In return for a player that had as good of a chance as you or I playing for the Rays in 2010, they get a 26 year-old relief pitcher who projects to be at least an average middle reliever. Jesse Chavez is young, has had major league success and most importantly is cheap and controllable(with options).

I don't expect this sort of deal to become the norm in baseball because the system is not set up for many of these trade opportunities like the NBA. However, the Rays surveyed their limited options, and were able to trade a player who they had no use for and still get a Major League ready chip in return. They also save themselves the money it would've cause to buy out Iwamura's option.

Chavez may turn out to be nothing more than an average reliever and that's alright. He is under team control for five years and could fill a variety of roles for the Rays. If the worst case scenario plays out and Chavez is deemed a "bust," then all the Rays would have lost is time and patience. The deal from a talent prospective isn't extremely impressive, but the Rays finding yet another way to acquire useful talent without using a lot of resources is very.

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impressive.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 9:21 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Opening an academy in Brazil is also something new in Baseball

Can’t wait to see Rays camps popping up in other random countries churning out prospects.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 9:31 AM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Good article, Tommy.

At the very least, Chavez will be a 6th inning guy with ability. Not just filler. I think Thayer/Corms/Chavez is a real nice front end of the pen.

Lead singer, songwriter, and caterer for the band Suicide Phoenix. We play sitar-based anthems on real estate law. Available for weddings, birthdays (13+, please), and LAN parties.

by PlayOnWords on Nov 4, 2009 9:40 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Interesting thing I noticed

The Rays used relievers on consecutive days more than any other AL team. Chavez led the Pirates in consecutive appearances. Once again, it seems they are trying to squeeze the most out of the pieces they have.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 9:50 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Is there a general rule as to how often a relief pitcher can be used?

Is it based on innings pitched, batters faced, pitch count?

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 4, 2009 9:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Somewhere, Dusty Baker haz a frown.

Lead singer, songwriter, and caterer for the band Suicide Phoenix. We play sitar-based anthems on real estate law. Available for weddings, birthdays (13+, please), and LAN parties.

by PlayOnWords on Nov 4, 2009 9:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Of course all arms are created differently, however

It’s rare to see a RP used more than 3 days in a row and also most dont throw 25+ pitches in an appearance barring a long relief app. I often think bullpens aren’t used enough and I don’t mean trotting a different pitcher for each batter like Maddon did. I do think he left his starter in too long in some situations when he should’ve started off an inning with fresh relief pitcher and we’ve had posts backing that theory.

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by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 10:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know, I'm not really a numbers guy

I remember this time that Percival got a save.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 10:19 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My nickname for him was Sandypaper

bc my name was sandy and he was rough and gruff, sometimes I pretended to be him by playing catch with friends and throwing wildly all over the place. They eventually got tired of chasing the ball, so it wasn’t all fun, but that’s what grit is all about.

You can either die the hero or live long enough to become the villain

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 10:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That is discouraged in some parts of the world.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 4, 2009 10:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Joe's decision making seemed erratic almost the entire season. Like he didn't trust himself.

Pressure of expectations, I suppose.

Lead singer, songwriter, and caterer for the band Suicide Phoenix. We play sitar-based anthems on real estate law. Available for weddings, birthdays (13+, please), and LAN parties.

by PlayOnWords on Nov 4, 2009 10:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's a pretty cool thing to have a front office who have the stones to not only seek out the market inefficiencies

but who understand their place in the grand scheme of things and are willing to take the “flier” picks and trades. That’s what they have to do to remain competitive. A key to any business strategy is undertanding your place on the totem pole and using that to your advantage. Regardless of the outcome here, this is good example of the FO working outside the box.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 4, 2009 9:40 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I like the trade but I don't like losing Aki.

He was a damn fine baseball player but I am happy to have a guy back who would be under the Rays control until 2014.

In the name of Shinji Mori, we shall win!

by thebaddancingraysfan on Nov 4, 2009 11:25 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, they got something for nothing, but Chavez seems like filler to me

6 k/9 and 3 bb/9 in the NL Central isn’t anything great. And I know we weren’t going to get anything great for Iwamura. I’m glad we made the trade, and I’m not disappointed because my expectations were we’d get a player of Chavez’s caliber. I just don’t think he’s really anything special.

Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com

by Imperialism32 on Nov 4, 2009 11:26 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I honestly didn't think we'd get anything close to MLB ready

I expected an A ball arm or catcher.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 11:34 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

He can build on this!

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Nov 4, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

At the risk of sounding like Raymondo

I think we do need another really good bullpen arm. Not advocating signing an expensive guy, but I do think the pen needs more help than just fliers on guys like Chavez(hoping an average arm turns into a good or better one)

Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com

by Imperialism32 on Nov 4, 2009 11:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

You said good, not POWER

Raymondo sound-a-like fail

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Nov 4, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Definitely I think Chavez is ok

But he’s not the missing piece of the puzzle. Im hoping he can surprise us all and be more, but my expectations aren’t great. Kiko Calero would make me feel better given our payroll situation.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 11:48 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

What I like is that guys have to know we are doing an open audition for a Major League job with ML pay in ST

Work your ass off all winter, come to camp and impress, and you will be able to afford haircuts and a decent suit. I like my relievers hungry.

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think we should put the great farm system to work

I know somebody mentioned Soria, I think he’d be an awesome guy to trade for.

Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com

by Imperialism32 on Nov 4, 2009 11:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

bartlett doesnt really make a whole lotta sense for the royals...

hopefully dayton wouldnt trade for a guy at his peak value.

What prospects would you guys be willing to part with for Soria?…and make sure you look at his contract first.

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Nov 5, 2009 1:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Umm, you're a Royals fan?

You have any faith in Dayton to do the right thing?

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 5, 2009 8:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We don't trade prospects for closers.

We also don’t give up draft picks for closers.

by R.J. Anderson on Nov 5, 2009 10:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Calero

Vikings 4 the superbowl

by RaysOfHope on Nov 4, 2009 2:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd say it's a Win-Win-Win.

Econ: http://www.homebodyabroad.blogspot.com/
Movies: http://miltonsmovies.blogspot.com/

by B Ray on Nov 4, 2009 11:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Who knows, maybe Aki helps

the Pirates reach their Pythagorian win expectations? That would be a real accomplishment for them.

Econ: http://www.homebodyabroad.blogspot.com/
Movies: http://miltonsmovies.blogspot.com/

by B Ray on Nov 4, 2009 12:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Better fit for the Rays, yes...but better players?

…but the Rays have better and cheaper options in Ben Zobrist, Sean Rodriguez, Reid Brignac and Willy Aybar…

How many of these guys are actually expected to be better players then Aki in 2010? Zobrist…anyone else?

by kevinjc on Nov 4, 2009 1:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

going to miss aki, but it had to be done

Zobrist is a much better player

Vikings 4 the superbowl

by RaysOfHope on Nov 4, 2009 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You have to evaluate the marginal utlity versus marginal cost.

Given the playing time, I don’t think Aki is a win better than those guys.

by R.J. Anderson on Nov 4, 2009 2:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not really.

Cormier’s a groundball guy who lives off location. Chavez is more of a raw stuff guy.

by R.J. Anderson on Nov 4, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chavez is more like Balfour when we acquired him

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by Brickhaus on Nov 4, 2009 9:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree..

and that is why the others are better fits for the Rays

by kevinjc on Nov 4, 2009 3:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Umm what?

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 3:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

aki

Piss poor move on Rays part. No way this is a win win as read here. Aki will be sorely missed as we will discover in the latter days of the 2010 campaign. The Rays GM has already made several bad moves and I suspect this is the beginning of an onload, lets play the future stars initiative. Tampa Bay fans deserve better and will respond by ignoring tickets.

by deweya on Nov 4, 2009 2:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

are you serious?

Sure Aki is a great guy and a good player, but Ben Zobrist and Co. can easily exceed his numbers at a much lower cost

Vikings 4 the superbowl

by RaysOfHope on Nov 4, 2009 2:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Andrew Friedman is one of the three best GM in baseball.

The Rays FO is in that same boat.

You are an incredibly poor baseball analyst. Please do some reading before commenting further.

by R.J. Anderson on Nov 4, 2009 2:48 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

FTFM

Tampa Bay fans deserve better and will respond by ignoring tickets. you.

Sign lady must die.

by EminenceFront on Nov 4, 2009 2:52 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

They already ignore tickets, I don't think the huge component of Japanese Tampa-ites is going to boycott games

You’re also going to see Carl Crawford traded some time this season. Get used to it, because this is the only way we can compete. Getting anything for Aki is a win.

I'm not really a NUMBERS guy!!

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Nov 4, 2009 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

im actually kinda of wanting CC to be traded this offseason

i think Desmond Jennings is going to be better than him at a MUCH lower price and it will allow us to get more assets back for CC, hopefully a fulltime catcher

Vikings 4 the superbowl

by RaysOfHope on Nov 4, 2009 2:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

....he beat Joe Louis' ass.

Mira Sorvino...Paul Walker...T-Pain...Fall 2010...HEADSTONE MAFIA, A LOVE STORY OF REVENGE. "5/5 stars!!!" - DRB User "Andy Hellicksonstine"

by PlayOnWords on Nov 4, 2009 6:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I knew you had it in you

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 6:20 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

GOING GREEN IN 3,2,1....

I'm a Brett Favre honk so FUCK YOU!

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Nov 4, 2009 6:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaand rec'd

2009 Rays Baseball: Welp.....we'll try again in 2010
2009 FSU Football: Bobby Bowden.........it's time to go
Christian Ponder has superpowers

by JMB on Nov 4, 2009 10:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I've seen both 4.25 and 4.85 used

It was based on a set number of plate appearances.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Nov 4, 2009 2:51 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

hmm, either way its a good move for the pirates

i liked Chavez for pittsburgh last year

Vikings 4 the superbowl

by RaysOfHope on Nov 4, 2009 2:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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