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Winter Meeting Wrap-Up

With the winter meetings all finished up, the Rays stand in a rather different place now than they did five days ago.  Looking back at all the action and moves, what have we learned about the Rays' front-office during this past week?  And judging from their actions this week, what can we expect in the future?  Here's the long and the short of it:

 

 

2010 or Bust - With contracts for Crawford, Pena, and Burrell expiring after the 2010 season (and Balfour hitting free-agency), the Rays stand to lose a significant portion of their "core" of players after this season.  So although I initially pegged the Rays as not having much salary room this off-season, the $7M signing of Soriano appears to be saying that the front-office has decided to go all-in this year (for discussion on the rationale behind the trade, see here and here).  Since adding an additional win or two would significantly help the Rays' playoff odds, and there stands to be a big personnel change in 2011, they seem to be taking the calculated risk of spending a bit more money now and making a run at the playoffs.  If the Rays are out of the race in July, they can always trade CC or Pena then and the only thing they'll have lost in $7M for one year of Soriano.  Not a bad strategy, and not one that sacrifices the future beyond 2010 either.

Star-divide

Rays' FO = Quiet and Sneaky - "There will be no $7M closer showing up," Andrew Friedman, December 4th.  While the Rays' front office has always been very good at suppressing rumors and preventing leaks, the Soriano trade was quite the shocker considering how recently Friedman had stated this.  Was it a negotiating tactic?  Did their plans change that quickly?  Or does Friedman simply have a weird sense of humor, and he loves seeing us agonize over trying to deduce his strategy?  My guess is a little bit of all three.

Bradley? - Those Cubs don't know who they're dealing with.  They're trying every trick in the book to get the Rays to concede some ground, but it's not happening.  Simply put, they have no leverage; they're most likely going to have to suck it up and keep Bradley, trade him to a less-astute GM, or trade him to the Rays for pennies on the dollar.  It reminds me of a classic back-and-forth from the movie "Stardust":

"Captain Shakespeare: 200. 
Ferdy: 180. 
CS: 200. 
F: That's not negotiation! I'm changing my number! 185. 
CS: Did I hear 200? 
F: From you, you did. Yeah. 
CS: You said 200? 
F: If I did, you're a ventriloquist. Okay, 195. Final offer. 
CS: 195 it is. 
[they shake hands to seal the deal
CS: So, with sales tax, that's... let's see... 200. 
F: [resignedly] Brilliant. Put it in the back." (IMDB.com)

Yankees = Tough, Red Sox = TBD - The Yankees kept improving an already stacked team, adding Curtis Granderson while having to give up little of value (to them at least) in return.  This trade has already been analyzed ad nauseam by every major sports news outlet, so there's no need to get into it more, but the fact of the matter is that the Yankees are looking poised to enter 2010 with a team just as good, if not better, than their team last year.  The Red Sox are another matter, though; they've still got a good amount of holes to fill this off-season and although I don't like the idea of Beltre and/or Holliday signing with them, at this point the Sox look to be potentially vulnerable come 2010.  It's a long off-season, though, so we'll see what shakes up.

Aki Trade String - This is too much fun.  I present to you our franchise's most recent trade string, the Aki String:

Is that a thing of beauty or what?  Now let's see if Friedman can trade Gross for Soria and then Soria for Pujols, and we'll call it an off-season.

***

If anyone else has any thoughts on where the Rays stand currently, feel free to voice them in the comments.  This is simply my way of thinking through the current direction of the franchise in the aftermath of the Soriano deal and the winter meetings.

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I don't look at 2010 as a make or break season as so many do

As long as the rotation is in tact and it appears it will be, along with some core players Longoria, Zobrist, Upton and new ones like Jennings, Rodriguez and Joyce, i see no reason why this team won’t compete for years to come

by sternfan1 on Dec 12, 2009 7:49 AM EST reply actions  

I think they mean with this current group

The Rays have the pieces and will have the money to re-tool, but realistically this is probably the final season with both CC & Pena. This is not a “window is closing moment” for the Rays’ contending.

www.draysbay.com, www.beyondtheboxscore.com, Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Dec 12, 2009 8:30 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

This is what I was trying to get at

Maybe “go big or go home” would have been more appropriate. We’re going big in ’10, but still looking to be competitive in the future too.

"I never threw an illegal pitch. The trouble is, once in a while I toss one that ain't never been seen by this generation." - Satchel Paige

by Steve Slowinski on Dec 12, 2009 9:53 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

agreed

with so many picks in this years draft, and next year (assuming a lot of necessary things happen with CC,Pena, Balfour, Soriano we are probably looking at another 1-5 comp picks in ’11 ) this year is an all out year, but it is also going to be one that brightens the future of our franchise tremendously.. The Rays are going to be good-great for the foreseeable future, but this year is one that could be really special.

the ghost of stokes, camp, lugo strikes TB-sept 2009

by CubFanRaysaddict on Dec 12, 2009 8:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Agree

I am thinking the same. CC end Pena will be misted, but the group of players is really promising.

by hans k on Dec 12, 2009 2:47 PM EST up reply actions  

As many here know i follow the Indians, but anNOT a fan

I was in an argument with a poster on their forum this morning about how meaningless and pointless the save stat is. I’ll paste his reply below. Hard to believe this type of thinking is out there

Stern answer me this
by eriemarty, 12/12/09 8:36 ET

what is the roll of a closer ??

To save games..and thats how you measure him by the # that he has..

by sternfan1 on Dec 12, 2009 8:51 AM EST reply actions  

I miss Aki. =(((

Soriano should be really good though, looking forward to it. And yes, I understand why Aki was traded, and it’s awesome that he essentially netted Soriano in return, but I still miss him. I was remembering the last out of the ’08 ALCS this morning.

RJ may need to change the site’s tagline though with Stu flashing the cash on the 2010 team… Ball on a Relatively Small Budget, Compared to the Marlins, Twins, and A’s at Least

…not quite as catchy as the old one though.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Dec 12, 2009 9:40 AM EST reply actions  

PS... if you want to be seasonal, you could also go with the negotations between Bernie Mac and the little dude in Bad Santa

Marcus: How much?
Gin: Half.
Willie: No fucking way…
Marcus: Just back off, Will, I got this. I got this! Okay, 30%. That’s three of us. 30%, that’s fair.
Gin: Half.
Marcus: I meant 33%.
Gin: I meant half.
Marcus: And 1/3.
Gin: Half.
Marcus: 35%.
Gin: Half.
Marcus: 40%.
Gin: Half.
Marcus: 42%?
Gin: Half.
Marcus: Um… 45%.
Gin: [Thinks for a minute] Half.
Marcus: 48%?
Gin: [In British accent] Half.
Marcus: 49%?
Gin: Half.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Dec 12, 2009 9:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Willie: Well, whats one more point?

2008 Tampa Bay Rays: The Longest of Longshots

by Kenny845 on Dec 12, 2009 10:56 AM EST up reply actions  

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