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Around SBN: Dallas Cowboys: Unknown Quantities

Grant Balfour Signs For $2.05M and Avoids Arbitration

Per Marc Topkin's Twitter.

Sometimes it feels like Grant Balfour is the most polarizing figure in the bullpen. I know, I know. Dan Wheeler is present, but most of that angst stems from Wheeler's pay relative to the team's payroll, not because he's an entirely useless pitcher - he gets righties out quite well, actually. Balfour has the tendency to either walk or strike the guy out. Simple enough, right? But last season he also ran into some poor luck in stranding runners, which lead to a bloated ERA.

Balfour has some things going for him that should endear him to most. First and foremost being that he lights up radar guns. The Rays bullpen held one of the lowest average fastball velocities last season. So even with a decreased amount of heat, Balfour was the only cat playing with gasoline instead of flint. He also brings respectable strikeout rates with those flames. Look at Mike MacDougal's career K/9 and tell me he throws hard. It just doesn't fit. Balfour doesn't have that problem, but he does walk guys, which any generic announcer worth his weight in candy grams will tell you is a cardinal sin out of the bullpen.

True in some cases, but the strikeouts make Balfour's infidelity to the zone worthwhile. J.P. Howell, whom everyone should love dearly, actually walked more on a per nine basis than Balfour, yet he avoids the scorn - and rightfully so - unlike his Australian pen mate. Balfour still missed more than his share of bats, but a 79.1% contact rate was the highest of his career. At this point, the hope is for a bounce back to his older ways, if not, he's still a decent reliever - a 3.77 FIP this year is almost identical to his career totals - however the best reliever in a good bullpen he is not.

As for the money, don't worry about it. $2M is more than a 50% reduction on what he was worth last season in free agent dollars. As someone in their final year of arbitration, he should be making closer to 80% of his worth.  

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And then there were 5

Matt Garza
Jason Bartlett
B.J Upton
J.P Howell
Kelly Shopach

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

1.6 or so?

and it will keep rising, he will be a well paid reliever from now on

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Balfour still remains underrated to me.

Over the past two seasons he’s been an above average RP and in ‘08 he was a legit top 3 relief ace. We’ve talked a lot about fuego and ice, but don’t forget the thunder.

www.draysbay.com, www.beyondtheboxscore.com, Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Dec 13, 2009 1:38 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

i didn't

hes their side kick

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 1:44 PM EST up reply actions  

he can still bring it

he may get lost in the shuffle of new acquisitions and Howell, but he’ll remind everyone this year of why we can be thankful to have him.

by raysfaninminnesota on Dec 13, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

He's underrated because people think of him as a one-year fluke.

Yes, he had one great year, but he’s not awful otherwise. I was never a fan of Dohmann over Balfour.

by R.J. Anderson on Dec 13, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Imagine if Balfour had a few more saves under his belt

He could ask for 3/30 like Fernando Rodney.

www.draysbay.com, www.beyondtheboxscore.com, Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Dec 13, 2009 2:07 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

He would have made more in Boston as a SU

Because he was offered arb and he couldn’t make less than 80% of the previous year ($10 mil in ‘09). Also Wagner is old, he just wanted the 400 saves he won’t play more than one more season. you’re point is valid just not with Wagner.

the ghost of stokes, camp, lugo strikes TB-sept 2009

by CubFanRaysaddict on Dec 13, 2009 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I think BJ will

I can see Garza signing before any hearing

BJ is the only one I think will have a hearing

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't get why he would.

Don’t the arbiters place reliance on stats that do him poorly? Like avg, HR, RBI…?

Mira Sorvino...Paul Walker...T-Pain...Fall 2010...HEADSTONE MAFIA, A LOVE STORY OF REVENGE. "5/5 stars!!!" - DRB User "Andy Hellicksonstine"

by PlayOnWords on Dec 13, 2009 2:36 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I just think he will ask for more than the Rays will pay

which means hearing time

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

ok, I feel better about Navarro

John Buck just got 2 mil from the Jays

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 1:55 PM EST reply actions  

Pudge and Kendall show why the Royals and Nats will always suck

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Dec 13, 2009 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

lol its true

--Gerald Wallace is the best player the Bobcats will have..... EVER
--Someone should slap Larry Brown and bring him back to reality..

by raysfan81 on Dec 13, 2009 6:04 PM EST up reply actions  

also the highest curve % at 13.1

--Gerald Wallace is the best player the Bobcats will have..... EVER
--Someone should slap Larry Brown and bring him back to reality..

by raysfan81 on Dec 13, 2009 6:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Perhaps a bit nitpicky

but your salary speculation post in late Nov is coming up a bit short so far, except in the guess on Navarro – which I agreed with at the time. But the 4 arbs signed are up about $800 K vs your Nov estimates.

With the acquisitions of Shoppach and Soriano since, $70MM is looking like the payroll number. Not that that’s a bad thing – the money should be there to easily support that, though the bottom line might take a little hit.

Of course, a competitve team in a hopefully improved economy could generate enough fans to offset the increase, and should the Rays return to the playoffs everybody’s happy and the cash will be flowing in. Wonder if the numbers play significantly into a CC extension? Gotta think so, though playing the wait and see game could be risky.

by nyyfaninlaaland on Dec 13, 2009 8:27 PM EST reply actions  

No it seemed you were just thrashing numbers out

it was in the context of the overall team salary for 2010, kind of a guesstimate thing. In a post in later Nov.

No biggie – I just remember commenting at the time I thought your arb estimates were a bit low. You had Balf at $1.5, Cormier at .7, Choate at .5. But hey, you had Navi at 2.3, so you weren’t always under. Think you were looking at 4 for Barty, 2 each for BJ and Garza, 1.4 for Howell. And of course Shoppach wasn’t there yet. I think the point was about available money in the budget if any if there wasn’t to be an increase.

The other numbers I found low were Price – I think you had him at 1.0, but I think his bonus prorated (and is in fact paid out near the prorate) to $1.95 in ‘10. And you had Niemann at the .4 min, though his ’09 salary was 650 K – with him under control, but after his season, I’d expect that to hold steady. His signing bonus prorate made for a higher number in ’09, but that contract expired.

Hey, not a big deal. With the addition of Shoppach’s ‘09 salary and the deals in the books, the Rays are just about at last years’ payroll, with the 5 arb case increases plus 2 spots to be filled.

by nyyfaninlaaland on Dec 13, 2009 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Look at me

I’m both, never wrong, and fabulous all at the same time.

I'm a writer.

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Dec 14, 2009 8:43 AM EST up reply actions  

That's what I took as the rough intent

without going back to look, it came at a time when trading CC and/or Bartlett was in the air, and the thinking was the Rays were going to hold the line on payroll. My comments that it could be more were just added fuel to the budget pressure cooker. Seems the FO is much more flexible on its approach than they talk – no real surprise there.

Of course, this FO has rarely stuck to its pronouncements about salary plans – and why should they? Sending the message money is tight is obviously a better market setting strategy than saying you’re ready to spend like a drunken sailor. And surprises like the Soriano trade than make a bigger splash – and the Tampa market may need splashes to keep the financial momentum moving forward.

by nyyfaninlaaland on Dec 14, 2009 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

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