Pitchers with the Greatest Injury Risk
This takes into account increase in pitch count, total pitch count, whether it was the first time over 2700 total pitches and percentage of sliders and curves thrown. It does not take into account prior injury history. Sonnanstine and Garza are both on the list.
about 3 years ago
Brickhaus
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What?
On Sonnanstine
I’d expect an ERA closer to 2007’s 5.85 vs. last year’s 4.38 despite the fact that his FIP/BABIP indicates he might’ve had some bad luck last year.
Reasoning
Was somewhat explained, whether or not you agree with it. The thought is that with such mediocre velocity, an extra year of scouting or even a small amount of less effectiveness means that hitters might catch up with him. Kind of like what happened to Brian Bannister last year.
It’s in line with the ‘conventional baseball wisdom.’ Even though I think Sonnanstine is a hair overrated here, I’d still feel more comfortable betting with the numbers folks on this one.
Vogt early, Vogt often.
Conversely
an extra year means he has now seen most of the batters a few time and should learn their weaknesses. Andy gets by on his smarts, the more he sees guys the better he knows how to handle them.
Anyway, as I was lying in the puddle, I think I may have found a way for us to get Bonds and Griffey, and we wouldn't have to give up that much.
~George Costanza~
That's not usually how it works
There are a lot more finesse righties who had one good year and flamed out than finesse righties who were able to build on their good year and continue to improve.
Vogt early, Vogt often.
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