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Around SBN: Bracketology 2012: Duke Finally Steps Up To The No. 1 Line

Allow me to Introduce Myself

For all of you that are followers of DRaysBay, you've probably seen my username floating around in comment sections and on the occasional FanPost.  My actual name, though, is Steve Slowinski and I'm going to be helping Tommy and RJ out on the weekends with a post or two.  Also, once the season gets closer, I'm planning on writing a series of articles focusing mainly on attendance, which I've already posted a few FanPosts about in the past (available here and here).  I hope to use many of the same statistical principles that this site uses for baseball stats and apply them to attendance figures to evaluate how the Rays are currently drawing.  Some examples of stuff I hope to do:

Star-divide

  • Look at how much the day of the week and quality of opponent influence attendance, isolating these variables from each other if possible
  • Isolate how other variables might affect attendance, like day/night games, holidays, give-aways and promotions, and whatever else comes to mind.
  • Create attendance estimates for each game, which will probably take some time to get refined and actually accurate.
  • Historical comparisons of the Rays and other teams

That may seem like a lot of time dedicated to attendance, but I'm going to try not to make it overwhelming and hopefully the results will be rather interesting.  The Rays' attendance this year is vitally important to them being able to field a competitive team and to lock players like Price and Upton up long term, which I think we all realize.  Hopefully it won't end up being something to worry about, but if the pundits do end up chiming in again this year about how our attendance sucks, I'm hoping to be able to use this work to shove their arguments back down their throats.  We've had a lot of rough years of attendance due to our franchise having no history of winning, but things have definitely changed.  And as RJ pointed out, hey, at least we've never been as bad as these guys.

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I'm tired of hearing from it in raw form.

There’s a lot of good work that can be done on it.

by R.J. Anderson on Mar 14, 2009 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I'm tired as well about the same old arguments that get tossed out there

But this should give us a chance to objectively answer how well the Rays are drawing. And we can do more than that…we can potentially do stuff like see how we draw in comparison with the Yankees and Red Sox if we control for regional population. And then from there…ahh man, I’m getting ahead of myself. Anyway, it should be pretty cool.

"I never threw an illegal pitch. The trouble is, once in a while I toss one that ain't never been seen by this generation." - Satchel Paige

by Steve Slowinski on Mar 14, 2009 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm really looking forward to this.

Love the idea. Maybe you could include some of how the Rays affect away attendance. I could see them being a nice draw this year, due to some interesting personalities and abundance of young exciting talent.

I live in NY and saw they are a Gold game for the Mets. High ticket price bracket.

by davelrogers on Mar 14, 2009 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cool man...thanks

I’ll be sure to add that to my list….sounds like that’d fit in perfectly.

"I never threw an illegal pitch. The trouble is, once in a while I toss one that ain't never been seen by this generation." - Satchel Paige

by Steve Slowinski on Mar 14, 2009 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also to that point....

Entering Saturday’s game in Sarasota, the Rays were ranked fourth among all big-league teams in road attendance this spring, with an average of 7,406 showing up to watch them play away from Port Charlotte.
That number trailed the Cubs (8,018), Yankees (7,625) and Diamondbacks (7,423) but was just ahead of the Red Sox (7,161).
Saturday’s game drew a crowd of 6,949, which lowered the Rays’ average but was the largest at Ed Smith Stadium this year.

-TBO

by davelrogers on Mar 15, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rays need to give away April and May

games. It really isn’t about how you’re playing then anyway. Fans start thinking baseball in June and getting them there early on the cheap, they may come back at full till

by Raymondo on Mar 14, 2009 6:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Not speaking of prime games

but tea,s like Jays, O’s, M’s, Rangers, Royals will do

by Raymondo on Mar 14, 2009 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

You people get excited over charts and graphs and statistical analysis.

If we ever do put together that DRaysBay tailgate, it’ll be one hell of a party.

by ReasonableDoubt on Mar 14, 2009 8:51 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

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