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Bill James on the Rays in Gold Mind 2009

Baseball analyst legend and Red Sox front office employee Bill James has a new edition of his popular Gold Mind series coming out extremely soon. The folks at ACTA Sports were kind enough to send me an excerpt, detailing five of the factoids covered in the book. Two of them seem meaningful -- Evan Longoria's pull tendencies and Scott Kazmir's shrinkage in slider usage -- both have been covered here this off-season, but the other three items are interesting, if not a wee bit trivial. 

Remember, if you like what you see to purchase Gold Mind here.

Star-divide

  • "Matt Garza may well have been the Rays best pitcher in 2008—but the Rays, who went 22-11 with Shields on the mound, 20-12 with Sonnanstine and 19-8 with Kazmir, had a losing record with Garza. When Garza was good, he was very, very good, posting a 0.64 ERA in games that he won—the best in the majors."

  • Last year Carlos Pena had *nine* bases-loaded walks. "If that sounds impossibly, insanely high, that’s because it is. It’s a full 50% more than anyone has had in a single season any time in the last 20 years, except for one year when D’Angelo Jimenez had seven."

  • "Scott Kazmir threw one-half as many sliders last year (9.6%) as he did in 2007 (18.8%) and one-third as many as he threw in 2006 (28.6%).

  • "Over half of the fly balls Evan Longoria pulled to left field were home runs last year—22 of 43. No other qualified major league batter can say the same thing."

  • "Tampa Bay in 2008 scored only 71 first-inning runs, one of the lowest totals in the majors. They were outscored in the first inning 83-71, and were behind more often than they were ahead after one inning. They were still behind more often than they were ahead after five innings; after five innings they were ahead 68 times, behind 73. Akinori Iwamura, although he had a fine year, did very poorly when leading off the game, hitting .243 with few walks when leading off the first inning. "The Rays had a great year because they dominated the late innings—both offensively and defensively. While many teams score more runs in the first inning than any other, Tampa Bay scored 85, 89 and 96 runs in the 6th, 7th and 8th innings."

  • Again, thanks to the kind people at ACTA Sports, here's what you can expect from the full copy.

ACTA Sports

  • The 96 Families of Hitters (groups hitters with the others most like themselves)
  • Trammell (a comparison with Ozzie Smith based on Win Shares/Loss Shares)
  • Gems (the first real definition of what it means to say, "He threw a gem today")
  • Know When to Walk Away, Know When to Run (the value of a stolen base varies by type of team you have)
  • Catcher Pride Points (13 things catchers can take pride in, and who have been the best at them in baseball history)
  • Triple Crowns (greatest, weakest, shoulda-been triple crown seasons)
  • U-Scores (ten unusual statistical events and who has the most of them; hello, Barry)
  • Clutch Hitter of the Year (spoiler alert: just Manny being Manny)
  • Comment 22 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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    Or you could just get SRQ to buy you one

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 12:12 PM EDT reply actions  

    Bartlett lead off vs. Lefties

    I’m not changing my position on this until I see it fail.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Only against lefties

    1 Bartlett SS .378 OBP vs. lefties over career
    2 Upton CF .415
    3 Burrell DH .410
    4 Pena 1B .310
    5 Longoria 3B .321
    6 Crawford LF .314
    7 Navarro C .351
    8 Kapler RF .344
    9 Iwamura 2B .360

    If Craw starts working walks I would leave him in the top half, but having him after Burrell means that either Pat K’d and guys are still on or the bases are clean for Craw to start up another rally. Additionally, having him ahead of Navi limits the DP because you can have Craw steal against GB pitchers. This gives you a second leadoff at the bottom in Aki and though it is righty heavy at the top you still split the lefties up throughout.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

    I flipped Longo and Bat so that may read weird, but either way it works out about the same.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

    I know this is silly and not at all statistical

    but I updated my video game with this lineup

    1. BJ
    2. CC
    3. Longo
    4. Pena
    5. Pat the Bat
    6. Gabes
    7. Navi
    8. Bartlett
    9. Aki

    And I felt I could really mash up through Burrell, and even some with the Gabes, but I felt like the last three were a little too weak, compared to the power of the first 5 or 6.

    This was the lineup, give or take, which I saw discussed.

    by plasticman on Mar 24, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Yeah only the one season of data

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Bartlett?

    Love Bartlett as a player and I hope he’s in TB forever. However, I want my studs up as many times as humanly possible near the top of the order. Another words, 2 – out, 2 – on who do you want to come up to bat BJ or Jason?

    by ConnorManning on Mar 24, 2009 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

    I'm not sure you start too many games with 2 on and 2 out.

    I get what you’re saying, but I want Beej getting more opportunities to bat with men in scoring position. Bartlett is very good at getting on and getting over. In 2007 Bill James Handbook had him ahead of Crawford as far as manufacturing runs, top 5 overall I believe. He is a smart baserunner that can swipe a bag as well. We are going to strike out a ton this year with Upton, Longo, Pena, and Burrell. All of those guys are capable of hitting long flyballs so if Barty can get himself over to 3rd he should be able to get in and get us early leads. Just my opinion.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

    I've been called worse

    by better.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 24, 2009 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

    D’Angelo Jimenez had 7 bases-loaded walks one year?

    What were pitchers thinking?

    "I never threw an illegal pitch. The trouble is, once in a while I toss one that ain't never been seen by this generation." - Satchel Paige

    by Steve Slowinski on Mar 24, 2009 4:06 PM EDT reply actions  

    i remember watching some of those bases-loaded walks.

    and seeing carlos take some VERY VERY CLOSE pitches. and i’d linger in that fraction of a second in a 3-2 count when you wait for a motion from the HP ump to show a strike. those were some tense moments! seriously, some of those pitches he took were SSSOOOO CLOSE!

    by yeseggs on Mar 24, 2009 9:15 PM EDT reply actions  

    Yeah he won't be getting that many calls this year.

    Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

    -Al Lopez

    by Sandy Kazmir on Mar 25, 2009 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

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