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The Offensive Relief and Relieving Offense

Prior to tonight's game:

The Rays were third in wOBA.

Had a pretty high team BABIP in .321.

Owned a middle of the pack OBP and a high SLG.

Averaged higher than 5 runs per game.

Even so, it sure doesn't feel like it on some nights. Some more tidbits.

The team was second in infield flyballs hit (25%), and have hit more flyballs than any other team in the league. Eventually, that's going to regress. Teams simply do not go through an entire season hitting 50% flyballs. Heck, 40% qualifies as a high most seasons. Once the team starts hitting more grounders, you'll see more balls finding holes. The BABIP is actually pretty incredible when you realize that literally 50% of the balls in play are going in the air, and that homeruns do not count as "hits" when calculating BABIP.

Star-divide

Onto the bullpen.

Cormier fell on the sword and threw 55 pitches. That likely means he's not going to be pitching for a few days - with Kazmir, Shields, and Garza to go in this series, you have to expect the Rays won't need him. Cormier threw three pitches about an equal number of times; his cutter, slider, and curve - although it's important to note that the sliders are probably confused cutters; not that there's anything wrong with that. This is the closest Cormier has come to a high-leveraged outing this season and he did well enough that he should be considered for one in the future. If nothing else, he shouldn't be on the hot seat if/when there's a purge.

Remember that talk about regression we had concerning Grant Balfour and his swinging strikes and strikes in general? Well, tonight may have been step one towards that. 15 pitches, 9 strikes, that's 60%. Prior to the outing Balfour had thrown about 45% balls, he should be closer to 38%. As for swinging strikes, 6.1% on the season, and 27% (!!!) tonight.

Good start, now keep doing it.

Last thing.

I'm guessing this is the game that starts the attendance talk again as well.

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All right

Now adding on:

Batters:

1) B.J has got to stop striking out and has to get on base, otherwise his leadoff value is decreasing- 2 walks tonight is a good thing.
2) Crawford had an rbi but still didn’t record a hit and has to stop striking out also.
3) PTB has his discipline down but also has to stop the k’s and needs to hit more.
4) Pena-we love you, you have the power down and are now hitting for a .281 avg.
5) Willy- what happened to you, last year you seemed to be the best bench player in baseball, now you suck???
6) Navi- you are average, and really makes this offense that much more boring.
7) Jesus (Zobrist)- again not clutch
8) MVB- We love you so much, thanks for being with us.
9) Kapler- Epic Fail Aki- thnx for being clutchish type.

Pitchers:

1) Niemann- Nice rebound from that horrible first game
2) Cormier- You are great for us this year, and i hope we keep you.
3) Balfour- As some might agree, you are still one of the best in the pen.

"Yeah, I am not the old annoying guy next door. Heck, I don't even know who i am"

by 4QB on Apr 16, 2009 11:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Upton is in a slump...

And his OBP is .368. So how is his leadoff value decreasing? K’s are overrated(unless there is an man on 3rd and less then 2 outs).

by td32 on Apr 17, 2009 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

I might have a post or a shot on the gabes

as soon as i can. Unless, someone else wants to take it, you can go ahead!!

"Yeah, I am not the old annoying guy next door. Heck, I don't even know who i am"

by 4QB on Apr 16, 2009 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Plate discipline is the key

Navarro and Crawford have zero. This is how you beat teams, get into their bullpen early. Allowing SP (Burnett, Pettitte, Danks) to go 7+ IP won’t cut it

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 7:17 AM EDT reply actions  

Those stats you give are

a big reason why i’m not a proponent of Pythagorean theory, which i believe has much to do with RS v RA

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 7:30 AM EDT reply actions  

i think you understood my point

two year ago the Indian had 20 games where they scored double digit runs, yet most of the time they struggled

that’s what i see happening here

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 9:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wasn't being serious.

I know it has it’s flaws, but due to the way run scoring is non-linear it can be a better model than actual record for predicting wins going forward.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

Also

That’s why people have developed more robust methods for judging team strength.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Missing Longo really hurts the offense

Aybar just isn’t very good. Yes he is a good bench player. But bench players aren’t exactly good. Kapler just isn’t very good. He is totally lost at the plate. I don’t think hes had one good swing all year. So yesterday after Pena we had an absolute joke of a line up. Gross is gross.

BJ is doing fine. I wish his power would come back though.

by matthan on Apr 17, 2009 8:17 AM EDT reply actions  

Take out Sunday and Monday

and all but Pena and Longo are hitting

Keep an eye on Sadler

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ya I think those two big games on Sunday and Monday

are boosting up our offensive averages.

This reminds me of our slide before the all-star break last year. We can’t get a hit with RISP.

by Sveet on Apr 17, 2009 8:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gross may not be hitting well but he's been on base 9 times in 22 PA. Thats good.

I have no idea why Zobrist is cutting into his playing time. Gross is the better hitter and fielder.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Apr 17, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I was a little surprised by the attendance

but not much. We just don’t have the fan base to fill the place up every night. Seems like most people I know went to at least one of the yankees games and are going to one of the chisox games this weekend, but no one I knew was going to yesterdays game. I am still disappointed we didn’t have at least 15k though

by Sveet on Apr 17, 2009 8:27 AM EDT reply actions  

i haven't checked but i'll bet

it was the lowest in MLB yesterday

Awful, and if Silverman and Sternberg take exception who can blame them?

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 8:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

HORRIBLE attendance

Has to be concerning…As much as the game was disturbing, the front office can’t be happy with the attendance either.

Put Tampa Bay back on our road uniforms!!

by joedobr on Apr 17, 2009 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Embarassing

I knew we should have dealt Crawford and D. Young for Lincecum 2 yrs ago…. Oh well’ too me CC needs to pick it up or just be a pinch runner. And why the hell is this Kapler guy still here? He is garbage!!!! I say call up Joyce or Jennings ASAP cuz Gross and Zobrist aren’t ready to play yet either….

by Rays Genius on Apr 17, 2009 8:45 AM EDT reply actions  

With 7+ years in the league

Crawford is what he is, a low OBP player, who when he wants to can steal bases, and settle in around 750 OPS

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 8:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

What are you talking about?

Crawford’s OPS, steals by year:
03 .671, 55
04 .781, 59
05 .800, 46
06 .830, 58
07 .820, 50
08 .718, 25

So since his first full year he has had under 45 steals once and under an .800 OPS twice, and he is a player who “when he wants to can steal bases, and settle in around 750 OPS.” Quit talking out of your ass and inciting the locals. Your negativity during bad times and absence during good times is what has gotten you banned in the past.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

His career OPS is .763

with a career OBP of .329

His star has definitely dimmed a little. There was a time when it was thought he could be a 20-50 guy with over a .350 OBP.

He had a pretty bad year last year compared to expectations. Lets hope thats all it was and not a longer trend

by Sveet on Apr 17, 2009 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

He came up at 20.

He had over 200 games before his 22nd birthday. Since his age 22 season he has an OPS of .792. Spare me about what he was supposed to become and how he hasn’t fulfilled expectations. WHile that may be true, he is still a very valuable weapon that is more than likely improving with last year being an outlier.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like CC don't get me wrong

but I didn’t say anything that wasn’t true.

I still believe he is one of the most overrated players in baseball.

by Sveet on Apr 17, 2009 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

How?

You were still way off base. Who’s the next player on your list? I guess whoever is slumping in the next loss.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

you're out of control

it’s a long season, chill out

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry if it was harsh.

I just get frustrated when you encourage stuff like this:

I knew we should have dealt Crawford and D. Young for Lincecum 2 yrs ago…. Oh well’ too me CC needs to pick it up or just be a pinch runner. And why the hell is this Kapler guy still here? He is garbage!!!! I say call up Joyce or Jennings ASAP cuz Gross and Zobrist aren’t ready to play yet either….

You can and do bring good commentary to the table, but sometimes the negativity is a bit irksome.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Please, always know this

i love this team, but try to analyze it fairly, which this site has really allowed me to learn to do

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know.

I just said don’t entice them. Don’t encourage them. Whatever. I’m over it. I am just a HUGE homer.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly why i refrain from GDT

which i find rather childish

And why say i’m here only in ‘bad times’?

I believe i’ve been on daily since my return

I enjoy a good debate, with stats/facts behind it

And look below,Crawford is a career 329 OBP with a 760 OPS

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

What about the steals?

What about the fact that he was over .800 3 of the last 4 years?

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

did i say he doesn't steal bases?

i like CC, jst don’t see him as a star. like Longo, Pena and Upton (has a chance)

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Crawford has been worth over 3.6 wins per year since his first full season.

Since his age 22 season he has been worth 4 wins. That is generally top 40 in baseball. WHile he may not be a star, he is damn close.

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

BTW

Have you seen what Lincecum has done this year? GASP

by rglass44 on Apr 17, 2009 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Verducci Effect

in the house.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 17, 2009 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Really?!?

CC should be a pinch runner? Cut Gross, Zobrist, and Kapler?

Come on man

by Sveet on Apr 17, 2009 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

every team site has them

most are frustrated fans, some are trolls

actually it creates excitement and interest(sans the trolls)

by Raymondo on Apr 17, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Last year's awesome team might lead more people to look for more Rays coverage online

Which is what is provided here, but with a larger fanbase (for draysbay) comes more sptimes and official rays message board comments. It is what it is.

I could be wrong though

by staplemaniac on Apr 17, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

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