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One Pitch: James Shields Takes The Loss Vs. Felix Hernandez in 1-0 Duel

I hate wasting good starting pitching. I really hate wasting great starting pitching, and that's exactly what the Rays did tonight. Coming into this game James Shields said his arm was feeling much better after battling a "dead arm" for the first few weeks; he wasn't lying. While Shields does have a seven inning shutout victory against the Orioles, you could argue that tonight was the best James Shields we've seen in 2009.

Now, I could sit here and complain about the lack of offense, but that would be an injustice to Mr. Shields. Unlike previous starts where Shields worked off a four seam fastball around 50% of the time, he only used the fastball 31% tonight and did a masterful job of mixing in his changeup (22%) and a fantastic curveball (24%) which he actually threw more than his change.

Star-divide

Shields had magnificent break on his curveball. Overall, he has a swinging strike percentage of 11.7% on the night with over half of those swings and misses coming off the curveball. He threw 67% of his 102 pitches for strikes. Up until tonight, the curve has been the fourth pitch for him, but after the results from tonight we may see an increase in the amount of breaking balls for Shields.

Velocity wise he was around 91 mph on the fastball and even reached 93 at one point. For comparison, in his last start Shields averaged 89 mph on the fastball and maxed out at 91. This is a very good sign and hopefully the "dead arm" phase is over with and we can continue to get this type of effort from Shields. With his velocity up around 91-92, the separation in speed on his secondary pitches makes them much more effective. Tonight, Shields had about an eight mile different from four seam to changeup and a 15 mile difference on his curveball.

Unfortunately for Big Game James, it just wasn't his night. The Rays like the Mariners could only put four hits on the board and while the Mariners committed three errors in the field, the Rays could not capitalize off of Felix Hernandez. Hernandez ended up being just one pitch better than Shields and dominated the Rays lineup for seven innings of his own. On the night, Shields would be the loser even though his box score line reads like this:

Tampa Bay

IP

H

R

ER

BB

SO

HR

ERA

Shields (L, 2-2)

7.1

4

1

1

1

4

1

3.67

 

And one mistake.

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Nice Summary

And I agree it is best to ignore the offensive woes for a day, this was a great pitching performance by a kid who needed it. Brian Anderson made a great point that Shields noticed how suceptible the Mariners hitters were to the breaking pitch during Sonnanstine’s start and that may have factored into the increased breaking pitches.

by Doyouseeit? on Apr 23, 2009 10:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Yep

BA has been nailing observations like that. Kind of analysis that a pitcher can bring to the booth that a position player can’t. You’d think catchers could as well but I can’t stand KK or McCarver.

by FreeZorilla on Apr 23, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is true. It sucks it was wasted.

PTB is ready to explode though…

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 24, 2009 8:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

BP

They were saying on Sun Sports last night that the Rays did pregame BP indoors to break out of the high flyball %, does anybody have a confirmation or denial of that?

Sunny day, unfamiliar background, dome team. Zero runs. Felix was great, but this seems a bit exrteme as a pregame change.

by Doyouseeit? on Apr 24, 2009 10:44 AM EDT reply actions  

this game

pissed me off

"yesterdays a cancelled check, today is money on the line, tommarow is a promisary note" - unknown

"the trouble with me is that my ego just cant accept a loss" -Vince Lombardi

"i dont know any way to lead but by example" -Don Shula

"the only place that success comes before work is in the dictionary" -unknown

"the harder you work the harder it is for you to surrender" -vince lombardi

by dedman on Apr 24, 2009 1:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Was it really a masterpiece?

While Shields did have outstanding results, he still is not striking out hitters like he did last year. He was helped out by some outstanding defensive plays by Bartlett (that play in the hole on Ichiro was sick) and Longo. If Kapler was playing center there would have been a triple. Instead BJ tracked it down on the run for a flyout. I calculated his FIP yesterday as 4.29 <(13*1)+(3*1)-(2*4)/7.33 + 3.2)> While that is good, its not a masterpiece, its just the Mariners.

Sonny’s game the other night looked like this, (13*0 + 1*3 – 2*7)/6 +3.2 for a FIP of 1.32. As I stated before, if Sonny had BJ in the outfield we win that game and we praise his outing.

Felix had to overcome 3 errors for his 4 hit shutout. That is a masterpiece.

by FreeZorilla on Apr 24, 2009 4:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Compared to Shields' other starts, yeah.

And the Sonny game is hilarious, he really had two bad pitches, and if B.J. is playing — as you said — it’s pretty much irrelevant.

by R.J. Anderson on Apr 24, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Question on FIP

When a pitcher pitches well meaning he is at a negative # after factoring the home runs, adjusted walks and strikeouts, you are punishing him for pitching longer into the game by increasing the divisor. Is this something there is an explanation for?

by FreeZorilla on Apr 24, 2009 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

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