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Is It Time to Trade Scott Kazmir?

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Scott Kazmir reacts after the first inning of a baseball game against the Chicago White Sox, Saturday, April 18, 2009, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

More photos » Mike Carlson - AP

9 months ago: Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Scott Kazmir reacts after the first inning of a baseball game against the Chicago White Sox, Saturday, April 18, 2009, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

Sky Kalkman raised this topic a while back, and given the circumstances, it seems like a decent topic of discussion, if not an overly pleasant one. Within the next few weeks teams are going to have to decide whether they want to add an extra piece or two for the second half or if they want to sell some parts. Given the Cleveland Indians early struggle, you could see Cliff Lee's name out there. Also expect the Seattle Mariners to shop Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn if they continue sliding. Otherwise, the pitching market is going to be pretty drab for teams like the Jays, Brewers, Phillies, and just about every other N.L. contender not named the Cubs or Braves.

Which is why it makes perfect sense to at least call around about Scott Kazmir.

 

Star-divide

The Brewers seem like the best fit for a number of reasons.

1. They’ve shown a propensity to make a deal for a starting pitcher.

2. They match up with the Rays system needs well.

3. They aren’t afraid to use 2 to get 1.

Kazmir makes a boat load of sense for them from a financial standpoint as well. They took on 9 million with CC Sabathia last season and he was in the final year of his deal. Kazmir costs 6 million. Remember that neither of those salaries would be paid in full by the Brewers, instead only the amount of money owed from that point on, so while we’re still talking less than their salaries, they would still be paying less for Kazmir than Sabathia. Kazmir is due 20 million over the next two seasons and then has a 13.5 million club option, the Brewers have a boatload of money coming off the books by the time that option kicks in:

Mike Cameron 10 mil (expires after 2009)

Jeff Suppan 12.5 mil (expires after 2010)

Prince Fielder 10.5 mil (expires after 2011)

Trevor Hoffman 6 mil (expires after 2009)

And so on.

Right now the Brewers rotation features Yovani Gallardo, David bush, Jeff Suppan, Braden Looper, and Manny Parra.  Yet somehow they’re only two back of the St. Louis Cardinals – another team that could be interested in Kazmir if he were to become available. How bad do the Brewers need an upgrade? Consider that most people around here cannot stand Kazmir because his FIP is 5.05 and last year it was 4.37. Last year, Suppan’s FIP was 5.51, this year it’s 6.15. Yeah, even if Kazmir keeps up his current level of performance he’s an entire run better per nine than Suppan. For a team that figures to contend all season, those runs add up.

So why should the Rays even consider this. Are they throwing in the playoff towel if they trade Kazmir in the middle of June? Not at all. Losing Kazmir would hurt, definitely, but the Rays could slide David Price or Mitch Talbot into the excess rotation spot. Sure, the negative PR hit might hurt attendance, but then again, Kazmir complaining about attendance might hurt attendance. The money due to Kazmir becomes free, allowing for extension talks, trade acquisitions of the Rays own, or even free agent signings. Wouldn’t you like to free up nearly 35 million with the upcoming arbitration class? Yeah, so would I.

Next, the Rays have a lack of hitting depth outside of Desmond Jennings, Matt Joyce, and Reid Brignac. There’s John Jaso, who may or may not stick at catcher, Tim Beckham – too far away to be considered legitimate depth at this point – and Reid Fronk. Otherwise, not so much. According to Baseball America, 9 of the Brewers’ top 10 prospects are of the hitting variety:

Alcides Escobar SS

Mat Gamel 3B/1B

Brett Lawrie C/INF

Angel Salome C

Lorenzo Cain OF

Cutter Dykstra OF

Taylor Green 3B

Cole Gillespie OF

Jonathan Lucroy C

Last year, the Brewers dealt their top overall prospect for CC Sabathia, but Kazmir isn’t Sabathia level anymore, so let’s lower our expectations a bit. If the Rays simply want a pure slugger in return, Gamel’s the guy. He hits for power, he walks, yeah he strikes out a bit too. As for a position, he won’t play third. Maybe first, maybe a corner outfield spot, and probably a little DH. Basically, Gamel is a slightly better hitting Aubrey Huff.

Aim high and ask for Gamel and Salome, if they say no, decide which you like more and pick and choose another one. Obviously I don’t know what the Brewers would say yes to, or what the Rays would agree to, but there’s a pretty big chance to land a 4-win player and another young catcher while freeing budget space and potentially avoiding a Kazmir meltdown.  Further, while I’m focusing on the Brewers, the Rays could conceivably do this same thing with the Cardinals, who have a similar player in Brett Wallace, or a number of other teams.

The point is, this might be the best time to trade Kazmir. His name value is still there and he’s healthy. I guess it just depends on how sure the Rays are about projecting his performance heading forward. The left-handed starter market is about to heat up, it’ll be interesting to see if the Rays decide to stoke the flames.

 

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Trading a 25yo SP who we control thru 2012

seems like not only a concession to this season, but the start of a rebuild

by Raymondo on May 12, 2009 7:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Please provide a link

including names and teams invokved

by Raymondo on May 12, 2009 7:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

then no proof

and completely false.

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who was he offered for?

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

WHOA

We offered Kaz for a one year rental of Matt Holliday?

This suprises me.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There was more to the deal.

I think Franklin Morales and Edwin Jackson were also involved.

Obviously it didn’t happen, maybe the Rays thought they could re-sign Holliday, or wanted to flip him themselves, dunno.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Aren't all of our SPs 25 or under with team control for an extensive period of time?

Kazmir is clearly not the Kazmir of old. Whether or not it is due to injury, overuse, mental instability, or the lack of quality weed in the area, he’s the biggest pitching trading chip we can afford to part with. There’s a logjam in the rotation. Garza and Shields aren’t going anywhere. Far too valuable. Niemann and Sonny are good, and are also placeholders for the crop of talent we have ready at AAA within the next year.

“Rebuild” insinuates we need whoever is traded to survive. We don’t. This is getting rid of a huge chunk of salary that is not absolutely essential to the team’s success. Kazmir should go for the exact same reason Crawford needs to go. Their salary is too much for the club, and they can be effectively replaced by younger talent quickly.

by ReasonableDoubt on May 12, 2009 8:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why not call up Davis?

I have zero faith in Talbot in the rotation outside a spot start.

by FreeZorilla on May 12, 2009 7:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Same here.

Miguel Cairo jokes aside, I haven’t seen anything out of him in any of his appearances, either his spot stuff late last year or spring training this year, that gives me any confidence that he’ll be successful in the major leagues. I’d rather leave Talbot to come up in September and show us what he’s learned.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 8:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doesn't really matter.

I’m just thinking if they want to save service time.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

While I think Gamel can be a good hitter at the ML level

I would like to think we could get a major league player in return. Do you think it would make sense to hold onto Kaz for another year and then trade him for Joey Votto?

Votto could replace Pena who I doubt we’ll be able to resign and the Reds should also have Yonder Alonzo ready to slide in at 1st by then. Also, Harang is signed through 2010 with a club option for 2011 so they may be looking to add pitching depending on the price of that option.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 8:21 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

With Kazmir's scouting report right now, I think it would be tough to get Gamel right now.

He’s an elite hitting prospect. Plus his bat is big league ready and we have no where to put it. It would be another Joyce situation, except Gamel can’t play defense at all.

Tools Whore

by Tyler on May 12, 2009 8:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

DFA PTB, or we can just trade him for a struggling starting pitcher.

Oh wait.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with this. Also the Brewers need to have someone ready to go when they lose Prince.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 8:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I doubt you'll rape

the Brewers again

They gabe up two of their top prospects in the Sabathia deal, who albeit a rental, was the best SP in the game

by Raymondo on May 12, 2009 8:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They paid what they were willing to pay to get who they wanted to get, who got them to exactly where they wanted to be. That's concent in most states.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 8:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Votto for Kaz???

I have a feeling the Reds might not bite on that one

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hitting Catcher?

Can we get a catcher who can consistently hit? Navi had a great 1st half to last year, but since then hasn’t hit well at all.

Kazmir, on the other hand, doesn’t seem to want to be part of the Rays. He has run his mouth about the fans who do show up (I have been to two of his home starts (White Sox and Orioles)) and he was pretty vocal last year on Jim Rome’s radio show AND his tv show about the fans. With all of his control problems, he needs to worry about throwing 1st pitch strikes, not about who is or is not at the games and how “intense” we are.

To put it succinctly, the City of Tampa is part of the Rays in name only.

by GatorSphere on May 12, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think we're due for an Emo Kaz meme.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

How many catchers out there consistently hit?

These guys don’t grow on trees.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Two

Mauer and Martinez and Martinez is now a part time catcher

by Raymondo on May 12, 2009 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

McCann can hit and there are others, but teams don't trade them

OT: Is there a player that walks less then Bengie Molina. He has yet to walk in 115ABs. His OBP is lower then his BA and he still has on OPS over .800

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Giving up Kaz

seems like a pretty big concession to make. While his numbers may be up in the early going, can we count on Sonny, or Niemann (or Talbot/Davis) in the August – October run more so than Kaz?

He’s gone from being our ace, to a #2, maybe even #3 on our team, but he’s still a damn solid #3. I’d rather trot out those three (Shields, Garza and Kaz) as opposed to any other three.

Our minor leagues might need a bit of a boost or a guy we can call up should we need a bat, but I’d to give up a guy like Kaz.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 9:10 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sonnanstine was better than Kazmir last season.

And he’s cheaper, meaning if he starts posting FIPs in the 5s, moving him — either to the bullpen or wherever — doesn’t cost the team budget space.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

To me it seems like selling low at this point. If Kazmir is gone, then we are one injury away from being a complete mess on the mound.

Currently, we have enough bats. That isn’t the problem. Also, TWMI —> Kaz 4 Gamel str8 up

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

1/5

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I figured Price would be here sometime in the next 2 weeks, but if he is truly working on a new pitch

we won’t see him for a very long time. You’d have to think Price comes up before Davis, right?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Barring injury, yeah.

Davis’ role will likely be like Price’s last season.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideally

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Arms/Injuries

Isnt the goal to have more than 5-6 live starting arms at the MLB level? By giving up Kaz, we’d have 6, maybe 7 arms (Shields, Garza, Sonny, Niemann, Price, Talbot/Davis).

I’ll admit, I dont know a ton about our farm teams. Are Talbot or Davis MLB ready right now (or in 2 months)? I cant see us dealing a proven arm, albeit less effective currently when we may not have a way to fill the gap right now.

Perhaps if we dealt Kaz to a playoff ready team for a bat and a SP prospect.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Talbot is MLB ready.

Davis is close.
Price could be used if needed.
Hellickson is probably a year or two away.
I guess you could say non-prospects like Carlos Hernandez or even Lance Cormier could be used in a pinch too for a spot start.

Most teams don’t have four arms as good as ours, not long five-seven.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alright.....

Thanks for the info.

What would you move Kaz for, assuming his numbers about the same through the trade deadline. Do you move him for bats? prospects? What gives us the best bang without dumping him for 50 cents on the dollar?

Are we better served moving him now to free up money to bring back CC or do we wait until the offseason and move him

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideally a big bat that can morph into a 4-5 win player down the road.

Along with another piece, maybe two, depending on the quality.

Is that realistic? I don’t know.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you really think they will sign CC to another extension?

Honest question no sarcasm

I don’t see it happening

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not being an expert

like alot of people here, my personal thoughts are if he isnt gone by the trade deadline, he’s coming back.

I cant imagine the FO letting him walk for nothing. If we keep him, we have a very solid OF and top of the order, we let him walk for nothing, who knows. If we trade him, we’ll that depends on how much the Yankees want him.

If he walks, or we dont re-coup an OF in the process, who moves up? Jennings? I would think it’d have to be speed, otherwise the dynamic of our team changes drastically.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

FYI

That wasnt supposed to sound douchey (the expert part)

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too bad

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know you realized that he's already signed passed this year

But if we pretend he isn’t, we have to remember that someone like CC is very likely to be a Class A FA, which means that even if he’s not traded, the Rays would get 2 picks for them.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which would be a total different beast.

The Friedman office is yet to take the draft picks over prospects they like.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They haven't had the oppurtunity, either

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think thats a different situation

Because with CC hopefully we are in the middle of a playoff race.

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BTW I totally agree that if we are out of it

and we aren’t going to deal CC. He will be gone by next years trading deadline

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True

Think I’d rather trust our front office to find an impact as far as trade partners go versus going into the draft and hoping to get some production down the road out of CC’s picks.

But that’s all moot I suppose.

I think on both these guys (CC and Kaz) selling low is a mistake. Kaz may have peaked (hopefully not), but by opening up the trade market now, not sure it sends the right message to the team or the fans. I.E. if you suck for a year, even after you were great (not dominant), we’re looking to deal you.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not a question of whether he's coming back

The team has an option for 2010 anyway. I doubt they resign him long-term though, unless he gives a pretty decent hometown discount.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The only way he would get traded, in any scenario, is if we rape this shit out of a team

I’m talking like Nanking here. I have no problem putting out feelers for a scenario like this, but I don’t think we will make a deal just to make a deal

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn't implying you were, I was saying that in no way would the FO think that way

don’t be so defensive

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The only injuries that make us a complete mess are Shields or Garza

If Sonny or Niemann gets hurt price we will be just fine and does Kaz really keep our rotation from being a mess if that happens? I don’t think so

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really think you're selling low on Kaz

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

I wouldn’t be for trading him unless we can get something worth his percieved value

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

PV + rape fee

It’s smart by our FO to say he is out there to see if they can drum something up and get a team to give two bucks on a dollar. It’s similar to me dangling Greinke this last week in one of my fantasy leagues. You want to get a better idea of that perceived value and see if someone is seeing something you don’t.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think his value is as high as its going to get right now

Unless he goes out and rattles off several straight 2007-esque starts, in which case there’d be little point to moving him.

by PlayOnWords on May 12, 2009 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He doesn't have to be the best pitcher in the game to have value

Rotation slot by tRA+
His tRA+ is currently at 86. Can you he get much worse than that? That leaves him right at the barrier of a 4 or 5 pitcher. He doesn’t need to be an ace if Garza can keep doing his thing and Shields can get some Dome Cooking. Like I’ve been saying if you get a great deal take it, but don’t move him just to free up some cash.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just think his struggles will soon be overreported

And whatever name value he currently has will be scrubbed away.

by PlayOnWords on May 12, 2009 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

the Brewers won't bite

unless they can deal Suppan to the Rays in the same deal. Yes, Kazmir would be a definite upgrade on Soup. Unfortunately there are about 10 million reasons that Suppan won’t be taken out of the rotation if he’s still a Brewer and even though the cost is already sunk I doubt he’ll be released or sent down.

Put it this way, all throughout spring training Brewers fans were discussing this exact thing, except with substituting Mark DiFelice and Seth McClung for Jeff Suppan. Both, with the information we had at the time, would have been upgrades. It didn’t happen.

by morineko on May 12, 2009 9:47 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would think that throwing Swisher out there could also be a definite upgrade.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know I started this by mentioning specific prospect names as well as the Brewers.

But my intention wasn’t for this to be solely about the Brewers. I would like to discuss the other teams that would make sense as well.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 9:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I only brought them up because they're the team I follow

Kazmir would be of immediate use to all the NL West teams at this point (except, perhaps, for SF) but I’m not sure what players in those orgs would be of use to the Rays. LA could seriously use some pitching right now.

by morineko on May 12, 2009 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ethier or Kemp for Kaz would be too lopsided for them to do the deal. Otherwise they don't have much I want

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most likely if traded

he’d go to the NL

I’d like to grab some of the D-Backs young hitters

by Raymondo on May 12, 2009 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's a foolish idea, that thankfully the FO is smart enough not to entertain...

2 years ago kaz was seen as one of the top 2-3 lefties in the game, now at 25 he’s only worth a teams 2nd or 3rd best hitting prospect? no thanks, he will get his ace game back, that’s a guarantee.

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 9:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Two years ago he didn't have declining velocity and skills.

His age is irrelevant, there’s a good chance he’s never having a better season than 2007.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 9:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let me get this straight...

You guarantee Kaz will become an Ace again? I could understand if you said you THINK he MAY regain his ACE status, but just look at him bro. When he was an ACE, he was throwing about 5 mph harder with a top of the line slider. At this point he is a guy throwing consistently 88-89 with little COMMAND of his fastball, and an average slider and decent change up.

I’m worried his velocity is gone for good, which happens frequently for one reason or another. I dont know if I want to trade him now, because this is the lowest his value has ever been.

And speaking of foolish, you need to take your foot out of your mouth because the FO has entertained offers on Kazmir.

by td32 on May 12, 2009 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey TD switching gears for a sec

let’s say that his best years are behind him. How much do you put on Lou for running him out there for 130 pitches his first couple of seasons?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's tough to say....

Maybe he doesnt work out hard, maybe it’s cause he is frail, maybe it’s cause he has poor mechanics that have worn down his arm, maybe he is injured now, maybe it was overuse early in his career.

It could be any number of reasons. Alowing a young, small pitcher to go out and throw 130 pitches once or twice isnt going to do it. But young pitches are still getting used to throwing once every 5 days. Kaz has never been efficient, and has many high pitch innings. When you combine a lot of high workload games, with a couple 130 pitch gams, you never know what kind of impact that can have.

by td32 on May 12, 2009 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And the mary jew wanna.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 12, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Amongst other things, yes.

They thought Zambrano could be fixed, feared for his arm, and were a bit weary on his social life.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes, i guarantee it...

velocity leaves sometimes, but usually there’s a discernable reason. age, injury, new technique, whatever. kaz is coming off an injury plagued year, and if i had to guess i would say the loss of command has little, and everything to do, with his loss of velocity. lose your command, easiest way to get your mechanics in line is slow everything down some, get back into form, then speed it up again. as soon as kaz gets his command back in line, his speed will pick up too.

and no i do not need to take my foot out of mouth, b/c that’s not where it’s at. before you throw around any type of judgments, show me proof, or shut the hell up about it.

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, well.

This is the lowest percent of pitches in the strike zone that Kazmir has thrown in his majors career. So “slowing it down” isn’t helping his control at all. Plus, it’s causing him to get fewer whiffs. He is getting more first pitch strikes however.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Command

The command isn’t always gone. He’s pulled it together several times beyond the first inning this year. Hes pitching to more contact and keeping his pitch count down. Thats not to say he hasn’t had a few erratic starts as well. What are his strike zone #’s beyond the first?

by FreeZorilla on May 12, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not looking at data that has splits like that available.

That’s something that would have to be done by hand on a start-by-start basis.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alright...

Command and velocity have little to do with one another. There are plenty of guys that throw the piss out of the ball, and have no idea where it is going. Kaz is throwing 88-89 consistently, and has no idea where the ball is going. SO before we go on, dont associate those 2 things.

Secondly, what are you talking about with regards to mechanics? Slowing things down will slow down your velocity? As you hit all of your balance and trigger points, you can go as slow as you want….hell, some Japanese pitchers will pause completely. Mechanics can be an issue with Kaz, but as mentioned before, it has nothing to do with his command issues.

Thirdly, his velocity was down last season as well. So this is going on 2 seasons now.

by td32 on May 12, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you took that too literally. i don’t mean slowing down his wind and delivery, i mean slowing down his pitches. slowing down last year was due to injury i would have to guess. now unless he’s still hurt, there has to be another reason. the most likely reason seems to be him working on getting his command back before letting loose.

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is possible, but unlikely....

He wouldnt be up there intetianlly throwing 5 mph slower than he is capable, that’s just not the way it works. I would much rather him throwing 92-94 not knowing where it is going, then 88-90 not knowing where it is going.
 
I feel he is a mental case on the mound, thinking about mechanics and not confident with his stuff and command. He looks timid out there. But, as I mentioned previously, this is going on 2 seasons of below average velocity, and KAZ WILL NOT BE SUCCESSFUL throwing 88-90

by td32 on May 12, 2009 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well then that's good news,

i’d rather it be mental then physical. hook him up with Garza’s shrink, and get us the old Kaz back…

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Problm is, I think his command issues are partially mental..

And the other part is he never has had great command. I dont expect his velocity from early i his career to return.

by td32 on May 12, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Loss of velocity

due to innings pitched, or did he just lose it?

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You know what...

I just looked at Kaz’s innings total…in 2005, his rookie season, he threw 186 innings. That’s entirely too much. 144 the next year, then 206 in 2007.

Maybe he threw too much oo early in his career.

by td32 on May 12, 2009 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This thought actually crossed my mind at the end of last year.

Right now, I would feel a lot better about it if Price was dominating AAA and talking about how pissed he was to not make the ML roster out of spring training. Right now, I’m a little nervous about all of our starters outside the first two. I’m not sure I want to trade away any potential pitching – be it in the minors or sunning itself on “Remember when” beach.

by Deepdoodle on May 12, 2009 10:05 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

At one point last year I thought he could've been a great closer/relief ace

He could just let loose with the slider and fastball and dominate. But his 1st inning performances don’t inspire hope.

by PlayOnWords on May 12, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's the perfect type to go to the pen.

- High strikeouts
- High walks
- Has durability concerns
- Left-handed

I don’t really want to be paying him 33 million to relieve though.*

*Yes I’m not paying it, thanks Captain Obvious.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

An odd link in this thread to another guy I think could extend his career by years with a pen move – Ben Sheets.

by PlayOnWords on May 12, 2009 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

WHEN DID YOU GET 33 MILLION DOLLARS?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No.

End of discussion.

by Devil Ray on May 12, 2009 10:10 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would think the Met's would be interested

They need starting pitching bad and I think the fans would love the idea to get Kazmir back. The only problem would be I don’t think they really have much that we would want.

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 10:11 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Scott Kazmir has to be traded. He is looking more and more like a TJ surgery is in his near future.

Any team on the bubble including the Rangers, Cardinals, Reds, Brewers, Cubs, hell even the Blue Jays could be targets.

The Cards have Brett Wallace, who is blocked at 1st and mediocre at 3rd. As a Cards fan I do not want Kazmir’s bone chips or whatever on my team, but I’d love to get this discussion going in another direction.

Space.

It's a problem we face.

So we never go anywhere.

We just stay in one place.

by hazel on May 12, 2009 10:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

FWIW

Fielder does not come off the books after 2010. The Brewers locked down his salary for 2 years (2009, 2010), and he still has a year of arbitration left in 2011. The chances of him still being on the Brewers in 2011 seem pretty slim, though, as he will most likely be traded.

by tcyoung on May 12, 2009 10:29 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ah, thanks.

I didn’t even notice that when checking on Cots.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Teams that would want Starting Pitching for a playoff run

Phillies
Brewers
Cardinals
Reds(?)
Rangers
Mariners
Royals(?)

Of, those here are the ones who I feel have enough firepower to make a deal:

Brewers(Gamel, Escobar, than a lot of nothing)
Cardinals(SO MANY TOOLSY PROSPECTS)
Reds
Rangers(Just throw at a dartboard and you get something good)
Mariners
Royals

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd rather we not get any prospects

Unless we want to call in this season

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I still think we can get Halladay

Because it’s inevitable the Jays explode.

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You honestly think IF they were to tade him they would actually trade him in the division?

You be nuts, yo.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We wouldn't be calling in the season if we got prospects

We have the pitching depth to still be succesful without Kaz. If we got a top tier prospect hopefully we could extend this period of prosperity or bring on the next one sooner.

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

When was the last time two prospects fresh into the majors propelled a team to the WS?

Joyce doesn’t count because he has experience, same with Price.

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

False.

Do you want to play Uno now?

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

but i’m not hooking up my headset, but you can still serenade me <3

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

....Are you retarded?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The prospects we got in return wouldn't need to propel anything

I was thinking they wouldn’t even be in the majors this year.

Guys like Price and Davis…and Joyce among others down there would be the ones that could help us get there again

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

...Are you fucking serious?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If we got Joyce for Ejax

don’t you think Kazmir would command a little bit more

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

Is Edwin putting up a better season yet

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another problem

Edwins numbers look better to the average stupid GM that Kazmirs numbers. Edwin wins more games, he goes deeper into games, he throws significantly harder, and he throws more innings, and is far more durable.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is a huge difference

Rollins has started slow. If his speed declined dramatically then perhaps you’d have a comparison. Kazmir is throwing 5 MPH slower. You can’t project Kaz based upon 2007 because he is a fundamentally different pitcher.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If anything a good comp would be David Ortiz

Both him and Kaz have seen a major decline in skills.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, but that's irrelevant.

Pitcher age isn’t the same as hitter age.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course

Their declines surely took place for different reasons, but for both players it did happen and there is little evidence that either player will regain the form they used to be.

Kazmir lost like 5mph off his pitches. Does anyone have any evidence he can get that back? He has been in the league for awhile, does anyone have any evidence that his control will get any better (let alone have any command)?

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No and no.

Which is concerning.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No. I'd suggest a B-B+ hititng prospect and change.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So we're thinking something along the lines of a guy that is showing good stick in AA?

Do we have a position preference? 2B? 1B?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A catcher that can hit is at the top of everyone's list.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you have to cuss so durn much?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No way in hell do we trade with them

but nope. I think my new name would be Sylar Sucks, Buy The Show

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That makes no sense

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But Cajun can play SS

am I right?

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So can Longo

Doesn’t mean you want to use him their exclusively

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who's the source on that dream?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But where would Michael Young fit

Have you seen his numbers at 3rd? Eww

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fail

:(

ill play you later, but cajun isnt taht good at ss

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He can probably play SS.

Although if his arm really is weak he’ll move to second and become one of the better defenders there. Guy has range.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

1B

Pena wont be around much longer, who’s behind him that can step up? Seems that a 1B/OF prospect could be useful.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rhyne HUGhEs

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Our first base depth chart

Is basically:
Pena
Chris RIchard (non-factor)
Rhyne Hughes (a touch old for his league)
Michael Sheridan (contact hitter, not much else at this point)
And nada.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jaso could be a Connor Jackson type with a slight uptick in power

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So

wouldnt moving Kaz for a 1B make sense, whether it be a AAA prospect or MLB ready guy, seems that the depth there is non-existant.

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm the worst person to talk to about first base prospects.

Because I follow the idea that just about any hitter can play first.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously?

For someone who takes defense as seriously as you do, doesn’t it seem obvious that there are completely different skill sets involved in playing 1B versus almost any other position? I’m not saying that there aren’t a ton of guys who couldn’t be converted, but you need to look at the player’s skills to see if it’s actually feasible to convert him to 1B.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait wait wait

Why is it that after a full offseason of people telling me Brignac is as good of a defender as Bartlett, he’s suddenly “probably a 2B”?

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well aren't you the little douchebag dictator.

If the reports about his arm being weak are true he’s a 2B. If not, he’s a SS until Beck.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That one fanpost suggested he had a weak arm.

And the Rays are having him crosstrain at 2B, so I’m guessing there’s either something to it, or they just think Bartlett’s a more long-term fit than Iwamura. Either way, I guess he’s going to be sliding to second.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would think we would be looking at quality over quantity with an emphasis on an on the cusp player?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Probably.

That’s why I said Gamel. He’s a ~4 win player and he’s only 23 (or maybe he’s 24 now, I don’t recall)

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know that's why I said Gamel a few weeks ago

It’s hard to find a better fit than him, honestly. If we start looking at similar guys what about Travis Snider?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You mad.

I doubt the Jays would deal Snider.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not to us

I believe it’s pronounce Menage a Trois

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

~4 win hitter

Obviously haven’t seen enough of him to know for sure, but by most accounts he’s about as bad with the glove as Ryan Braun, and not as quick as Braun either (and thus less likely to be a successful OF conversion).

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

*I haven't

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 12, 2009 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jason Donald? Maybe not SS but possible 2B next year.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't say we would.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Teagarden, Vallejo, and Kiker?

An everyday C, a SS/Util guy that Texas will have no room for and a mid rotation at best, bullpen arm at worse lefty.

I am having a hard time valuing Kaz at this point. He has been so up and down the last few years that it is hard to judge what his real value will be. That would at least be an interesting starting point. Holland, Smaok, Andrus and Feliz are pretty close to untouchable.

Man, that is a deep system. Exclude the top 4 of a system and still be able to make a strong package…

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Teagarden is interesting.

I don’t know a ton about Vallejo/Kiker.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Isn't Teagarden defense first with a mighty platoon split?

Fuck, though, I’d love to have any talented young catchers (that’s meant in general, not as a knock on Navarro).

Think the Rangers could be woo’d out of Max Ramirez?

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, Teagarden's a defensive wizard.

Not sure about the platoon split, I’d have to check.

Is Max Ramirez sticking at catcher?

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah so far...

he made huge strides at C over the winter. The problem is right now all the time playing without a break has caught up to him. He has been really pressing at the plate.

Him hitting isn’t the problem, but I would like to see more of him behind the dish before I would deal for him as a centerpiece backstop.

Teagarden is a hard guy to really place. He has bad last year in AAA, but he was also hurt. He was great in the Majors, but there is no way he reproduces that. Now he is the backup catcher only getting 2 starts or so a week, so it is hard to tell which guy you are getting. Regardless, his skills behind the dish are gold glove worthy and the pitcher all are impressed with his ability to call and control a game.

Kiker is a smallish lefthy with good velocity and control, but here recently has been walking a few to many for my tastes.

Vallejo is a guy that kinda falls into the Figigns speed role that can play SS and Texas is grooming him to be a Util guy because of Andrus.

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ohh yeah...

I also forgot that Max Ramirez also sat the bench fro Ven during the WBC. So i guess the slow start isn’t that big of a suprise

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks.

Vallejo seems to profile as a 2B type that could play SS, although it would never be his primary position.

Kiker looks like a pen arm waiting to happen. What type of velocity are we talking though, 92-94 or?

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

91-93+

he has a little sink in his FB but not enough to make him a true ground ball guy.

Vallejo has the defensive ability to play SS, his problem is he really has no place to play SS in the Rangers minors. Lemon at AA, Arais in AAA and Andrus at the MLB level killed his chance to get reps at SS. He really profiles better as an average to slightly above average defensive SS with OK Avg and OBP skills. Nothing special, but a guy that can be a long time starter. Lemon profiles to be the eventual power/OBP guy you are looking for as a 2B. Texas is trying to see if he can stay as a SS, just for the increased value it would bring.

Needless to say, Texas could make an interesting package for Kaz.

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trade Kaz for Edwin Jackson

Only logical step. Then trade Joyce for Kazmir’s glove, as that’s all Joyce is worth.

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 11:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Have you fucking seen Joyce's line in AAA?

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah but Joyce isn't working on a new batting stance.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Technically no

But I thought one of the main reasons for his demotion was so he can learn to hit lefties. He had an extreme split going. In reality the detriment of Joyce facing lefties all the time should be greater than Price throwing a few extra changeups.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of Joyce

Why aren’t the Rays bringing him up?

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It just doesn't make sense to me.

I think we would be far better off if we got rid of Gross and Kapler, call up Joyce and Thayer (or Izzy since we know that is what will happen). Zobrist and Aybar are good enough super utility guys to spell the regulars given Maddon’s propensity to rest. The extra pen arm will help the major workload that our bullpen has seen so far. We wouldn’t be able to keep that many arms in the pen for the course of the season, but it would help with the workload right now and keep the guys fresher at the end of the season.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope so

But I think we need an extra bullpen arm for the time being. We are working our guys far too much.

I’ll even be okay with getting rid of Kapler and just bringing up Thayer/Izzy. Kapler is expendable given Zobrist.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Kapler could be swapped pretty easy.

Not a big salary, and with Zobrist around, yeah.

Plus veteran presence!

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Grit.

Kapler is a Land Baron.

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kapler is a suck shack

He’s bringing down the property values of everyone on his block. So far, this has been a categorical mistake. I would be open to cutting bait on him and bringing up an Izzy or Thayer. You raise a great point matt, Cormier already has 25 IP. We’ll need him to have an arm later in the year.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agree

Crapler is from Suckcinatti…

by davidsmarch on May 12, 2009 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm in favor of getting rid of Kapler at the halfway point, if we can't find a suitable trading partner for Gross.

But, simply discarding of Gross is a mistake. The man’s played well. No, he hasn’t been tearing the lid off the ball, bu this defense is impeccable and he’s had good at-bats. Is Joyce an upgrade bat-wise? Probably, but they still want to give him more ABs against lefties. Yeah, he’s torn them up lately, but it’s an awfully small sample size.

The other reason they won’t simply get rid of the Gabe platoon is depth purposes. If Perez were healthy, getting rid of Kap wouldn’t be much of a problem. However, without Perez, we don’t have a lot of viable outfielders who aren’t defensively challenged. Zobrist has yet to prove he can play an adequate outfield (loved his terrible route the other day against Red Sox).

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kapler replacement wise, there's Ruggiano.

Assuming the Rays don’t make Zobrist into a COF full-time.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really wish Ruggs was up right now instead of Kap.

I don’t think you can slam Friedman for the processes behind Kapler – good track record, good platoon partner for Gross, good defense, reasonable price – but I’m sure he wishes he’d just pocketed the 1 million and let Ruggs play instead.

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is this because of his 3 homer game?

Ruggs showed me nothing at the ML level that showed he could stick.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

96 plate appearances.

Even if you find the strikeouts damming, I don’t think you can say 96 is enough.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

As RJ put it, 96 plate appearances.

Even without the three homers, I was a big fan of his. Maybe he’s a Quad-A player, but he’d be cheaper than Kapler and do all of the same things.

It’s largely irrelevent, though. Kapler’s here and as annoying as he is, he should do better.

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kapler is pissing me off.

He doesn’t do well hitting lately and whenever he goes after a ball in the field I have to close my eyes in fear he fucks up because he looks like he will.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I feel like Kapler is the ultimate test of subjective versus objective defensive value.

He looks ridiculous out there, yet he rates well. If I were simply judging him on looks I wouldn’t think much of him at all.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just do it a little more smoothly?

Like B.J. and C.C. I am never worried they overrun the ball or dance around and miss it.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

According to Td's analysis

Its better to have a guy throw mid 90’s and not know where its going than a guy throwing 89 and not know where its going.

I hate to say it, but it is very possible that Edwin is a better pitcher than Kaz going forward.

There is something really really really wrong with kazmir

by matthan on May 12, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I do not disagree

Worse, I think is that we actually have a use for Edwin this year… if we traded Kaz, we probably could keep Edwin in the rotation, and move up Wade Davis or Price.

by plasticman on May 12, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With the Brewers

Gamel and Hoffman for Kaz

You need a piece for this year. You can’t totally trade for prospects. We have too good of a team to get all prospects. Hoffman will help shore up the back end of pen. I’d hate to get another aging reliever, but I have a boatload more confidence in him than Percy or Izzy.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 11:46 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Him Izzy and Percy would make one hell of a 35+ softball team

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

How's about something along the lines of Kaz and Fernando Perez for Jay Bruce and Francisco Cordero

Cordero would be paid with Kaz’s money. The Reds would be better served paying that money to a top of rotation starter and they get a better version of Willy Taveras.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That probably wouldn't get Bruce.

And you know how I feel about closers being paid that much…

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I apologize for not taking your feelings into the equation of a baseball discussion

I agree, though, just trying to throw out some random names. How many relievers did we guess at this off-season and ended up hitting on Shouse and I think Nellie.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't want to

But we wouldn’t need him if we got Jay freaking Bruce. Resign Upton and then rock out with a Bruce, Upton, and Joyce outfield.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most likely not funny

so we won’t miss out on much.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lols

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like Bruce a lot

never thought I would utter that phrase in this life

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Benedict Baldelli went apeshit that last time we played him.

Somebody needs to check him for roids

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What about Votto

Or who could we get from the Royals?

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe a chance at Votto.

They have a 1b prospect (forget his name he was their pick last year) and I heard they were going to move Votto to the OF.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This.

And Bron Bron has flowing locks.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bron has never been good

And this is from a 2004 Red Sox fan bandwagoner

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But his hair is awesome.

And you would be a Sox bandwagoner.

Swav or Die.

by SRQman on May 12, 2009 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

GTFO SERIOUSLY FUCKING LEAVE

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trannies dude

thats gay

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can't decide between the larry Fitzgerald jersey

or the Marco Scutaro

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Being a Red Sox bandwagoner is like the Herp

it never goes away.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not as much as you

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

THE PEANUTS

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

After the Hamilton for Volquez swap you have to think they may do it again.

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yonder Alonzo.

I mentioned Votto above.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe I'm alone in my opinion that no way the Reds trade Votto for Kaz

If they would though it couldn’t get more perfect for us

by Sveet on May 12, 2009 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it makes sense for them with Alonzo a year or less away. Kaz would help them more than Votto in LF.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have not read any of the comments yet. However...

The point that tends to get missed in reactions to stories like this is that nobody’s wants to give away or get rid of Scott Kazmir. He’s a good player with a good contract. He will return quality assets. The point is that what you’ll get in return for Kazmir will be more helpful to the team now and/or in the long run. Potential assets include: win-now players to fill holes, good cheap players under multiple years of team control, salary relief to spend elsewhere, an opening to plug in players currently without a chance to play.

Continue…

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on May 12, 2009 12:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

you should have read the posts first

so freaking lazy

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

When does Nick Markakis contract end?

We could use a pretty boy like him

by Sylar on May 12, 2009 12:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He just signed a 6 year deal, IIRC.

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What does this mean?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm hardly the devil

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your avatar looks like a seal juggling a cube

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kaz for Bryce Harper

oh wait…

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Did anyone consider Josh Vitters?

I know he was in the package for Peavy…

"If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base."
~Dave Barry

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on May 12, 2009 12:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hart's had one good year.

And the Astros aren’t contenders.

by R.J. Anderson on May 12, 2009 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think the 'Stros have to be contenders

They seem like a team that always thinks they are better than what they are. Plus isnt Kazmir from around there? I think it would be a good fit.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The deal

Crawford, Kazmir, and Perez

for

Bruce, Alonzo and Cordero

If we had to I’d throw in Jennings instead of Perez

by matthan on May 12, 2009 1:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That's fucking retarded.

Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.

by P Brady on May 12, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jay Bruce is going to be one of the best players in baseball plus the team control. Alonzo would be perfect replacement for Pena.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dollars and Sense

Jay Bruce of
1 year/$0.4175M (2009)

    * 1 year/$0.4175M (2009)
          o re-signed by Cincinnati 2/21/09
    * 1 year (2008)
          o re-signed 12/5/07 (minor-league contract)
          o contract purchased by Cincinnati 5/27/08
    * drafted 2005 (1-12) (West Brook HS, Beaumont, Tex.)
    * $1.8M signing bonus
    * agent: Sosnick-Cobbe
    * ML service: 0.125

Francisco Cordero rhp
4 years/$46M (2008-11), plus 2012 club option

    * 4 years/$46M (2008-11), plus 2012 club option
          o signed by Cincinnati as a free agent 11/28/07
          o $0.5M signing bonus
          o 08:$8.5M, 09:$12M, 10:$12M, 11:$12M, 12:$12M club option ($1M buyout)
          o full no-trade clause 2008-09, limited no-trade clause thereafter
    * 2 years/$8.5M (2005-06), plus 2007 club option
          o signed 2-year extension 7/04
          o $0.25M signing bonus
          o 05:$3.75M, 06:$4M, 07:$5M club option ($0.5M buyout)
          o 2007 option may increase to $6M based on GF in 06
          o award bonus: $50,000 for All Star selection
          o Milwaukee exercised $5.4M 2007 club option 10/06
    * 1 year/$2M (2004)
          o avoided arbitration 1 /04
          o may earn $0.15M in performance bonuses
    * 1 year/$0.9M (2003), avoided arbitration ($1.175M-$0.775M)
    * agent: Bean Stringfellow
    * ML service: 9.046

Couldn’t find Alonzo, I’m assuming he plays for the min.

Scott Kazmir lhp
3 years/$28.5M (2009-11), plus 2012 club option

    * 3 years/$28.5M (2009-11), plus 2012 club option
          o signed extension with Tampa Bay 5/14/08
          o 09:$6M, 10:$8M, 11:$12M, 12:$13.5M club option ($2.5M buyout)
          o $0.8M bonus if traded (for first trade only)
          o perks: use of luxury suite for 5 home games per season
          o Kazmir to donate to club charity $75,000 each in 2009 and 2010, and $100,000 each in 2011 and 2012 (if option is exercised)
    * 1 year/$3.785M (2008)
          o re-signed 1/18/08 (avoided arbitration)
          o award bonus: $25,000 for All Star selection
    * 1 year/$0.4243M (2007), re-signed 3/07
    * 1 year/$0.3717M (2006)
    * 1 year/$0.316M (2005)
    * drafted 2002 (1-15)
    * signed 8/02, $2.15M signing bonus
    * agent: Brian Peters
    * ML service: 4.042

Carl Crawford of
4 years/$15.25M (2005-08), plus 2009-10 club options

    * 4 years/$15.25M (2005-08), plus 2009-10 club options
          o signed extension 4/05, replacing 1 year/$0.37M deal for 2005 which included a $20,000 bonus for reaching 500 PAs
          o $0.5M signing bonus
          o 05:$0.5M, 06:$2.5M, 07:$4M, 08:$5.25M, 09:$8.25M club option ($2.5M buyout), 10:$10M club option ($1.25M buyout)
          o 2010 salary may increase to $11.5M with escalators
          o $5.75M deferred, without interest ($1.25M in 2006, $2M in 2007, $2.5M in 2008)
          o $3.25M of 2009 option deferred without interest (or entire $2.5M buyout deferred without interest)
          o $4M of 2010 option deferred without interest
          o 2010 option may increase up to additional $1.5M based on rank in MVP vote ($0.6M each for 1st-4th, $0.3M each for 5th-10th)
          o award bonus: $25,000 each for Gold Glove, Silver Slugger or LCS MVP; $50,000 each for WS MVP, Rookie of Year; $50,000 for All Star ($25,000 for selection); $0.1M for MVP ($50,000 for 2nd-4th in vote, $25,000 for 5th-10th)
          o assignment bonus: $0.8M if traded in 2005-06; $0.6M if traded 2007-08; $0.5M if traded 2009-10
          o Tampa Bay exercised 2009 option 4/1/08
    * 1 year/$0.32M (2004)
    * 1 year/$0.3M (2003)
    * agent: Brian Peters
    * ML service: 6.072

Fernando Perez of
1 year/$0.4028M (2009)

    * 1 year/$0.4028M (2009)
          o re-signed by Tampa Bay 2/25/09
    * 1 year (2008)
          o contract purchased 11/20/07
          o re-signed 2/15/08
    * drafted 2004 (7-195) (Columbia)
    * $0.16M signing bonus
    * ML service: 0.028

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cordero looks costly

Either way replace Cordero with someone else. If anything he was just a fill in. Jay Bruce is going to be an absolute megastud. Bruce and Longoria will be the two best players in baseball over the next 10 years.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just don’t see the Reds even contemplating Bruce for CC or Kazmir straight up. Wouldn’t happen in a zillion years. Package the two and we get their interest, but then we’d be giving up too much. Alonzo would fill that gap.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seems like the Rays need

an offensive catcher that is close to major league ready and a 1B that’s a year or so out…

Given that, I’d try to get Max Ramirez and/or Justin Smoak from the Rangers. I don’t know if Kaz would net both, but given the Rangers excess of power bats and lack of major league ready pitching I think there may be a fit.

by AFBlue82 on May 12, 2009 1:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Texas would laugh at anything short of

Price, Garza or Shields in discussions for Smoak. In the post steroid era, true power bats that can play defense at a cost controlled level are going to very pricey.

Would I make a deal for him with those guys, NO. But is that what Texas will ask for. YES.

Kaz might net Max Ramirez in a package deal with another prospect or two, but go ahead and give up on Smoak. Smaok has pretty much blown past everyone else in that class offensively, and looks to be the best true 1B prospect in the minors now. What was Houston thinking?

Why would Texas trade both Max Ramirez and Justin Smoak for Kaz, when they can deal those 2 combined for a younger cost controlled arm.

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I said getting both would be ideal

But I followed that up by saying I wasn’t sure what a Kaz deal would bring back. Again, I honestly don’t know what a deal for Kazmir would look like. I do think that some on here (including you) are unfairly judging his trade value based on analyzing his every pitch and every start. GMs recognize the name and associate it with “ace”. They see the stuff. And, they see a 25yr old pitcher with several seasons of solid pitching production.

To your question about why the Rangers would do that deal, I’d say that the Rangers have a need for major league ready pitching. Sure, there are younger, cost-controlled options out there…but how many of them have had the success of Kazmir? The Rangers have young prospects of their own they could throw into the fire, but why not go with a guy that is proven?

Again, I’m not saying Kazmir SHOULD net one or both of Smoak and Ramirez, but I don’t think the Rangers would laugh at the Rays FO if they called about either or both.

by AFBlue82 on May 12, 2009 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think what you are leaving out

is the ability of the GM’s or their staff to do any scouting of their own. I could be wrong, but I dont think many GM’s do trades off name recognition. Some names have pop to them, but I’m thinking that they look at the players production and prospects before making a decision. I bet they have people on payroll like us (well, like you guys, not me) that analyze numbers, stats and trends.

Sure Kaz has been solid for a few years, but sports are a “what have you done for me lately” endeavour. The Gm’s may see that sparkling past, but this year and beyond is unkown and not looking to rosy right now.

They might think "Ace’ when hearing Kaz, but again, GM’s do more than just look at the names, i would think (although I’m sure we could argue against that). GM’s, scouting departments, coaches analyze as much as we do, they get paid to do it. They dont have jobs if they just show up and do whatever the hell they want to.

Just my .02

by Buc Wild on May 12, 2009 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No one yet? Really?

The time is NOW, front office!

by ReasonableDoubt on May 12, 2009 1:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kazmir

Trading Kazmir is not an option at this point.
I was for trading him in the off season instead of Jackson, and we see how that’s turning out.
But you don’t trade a guy when he’s down, as his value is diminished.

If he begins to get it going, then I’d send him off ASAP.

by Valrico Gold on May 12, 2009 2:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

FTR

I was called crazy when I advocated this during the offseason and reiterated the fact that I had heard absolutely nothing on his medical status during the offseason. It became abundantly clear to everyone down the stretch last year his arm angle had changed to compensate for some injury.

I think his trade value has already dropped. The book is out on him and you would get at best mid-level prospects for him from some NL west team.

Secondly …. My suggestion is …. Cleveland will be looking to deal Cliff Lee. Kaz and Neimann and Wheeler (Tribe get some bullpen value plus a servicable 4th or 5th starter in Kaz and a wild card in Neimann) to the Tribe for Cliff Lee and Bring up Price and Davis. One of the two call ups goes to the rotation the other to the pen.

This would be my ideal scenario and if you can’t re-sign Lee he will be a Type A free agent that I don’t believe you have given up much value for in getting a rental. Then you also get the two picks in return.

Or you could see if he would want to stay with the Rays and play here and what it would take to get that done.

by PewterPirate55 on May 12, 2009 2:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Look how far Kaz has fallin

He would be part of a major package in order to get Cliff freaking Lee.

by matthan on May 12, 2009 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideally they move Kaz to the NL for a young power hitter

Catcher would be ideal, but not many fit the profile. We are going to need a 1B & 2B in the next year or two with the DH as a flex position.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on May 12, 2009 2:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've always thought Texas with their catchers and maybe a Chris Davis

would make sense. Kaz has pitched well in that stadium.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on May 12, 2009 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thats a lot of strikeouts

Davis 47% K Rate so far this year. Swinging out of the zone 33%. I understand these are a little higher than should be expected.

by FreeZorilla on May 12, 2009 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I wouldn't be thrilled with Chris Davis.

If we’re going to get a big bat/1B/DH type, he’s gotta be someone who can put up Pena-like numbers, should we really not re-sign him in a few years. Davis is a fine player, but I’m not sure he’s that good. In fact, I’m pretty positive.

by Suttree on May 12, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

His defense is elite

FWIW

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 12, 2009 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why would Texas trade Salty for Kaz

when they could do the same type of deal for Buchholz and not add salary? If Texas is on the upswing in talent, why trade a young productive starter making the league min for Kaz and his contract?

Teagarden is a possibility, but Salty has pretty much entrenched himself as the Texas everyday starting C.I am fairly sure at this point Salty is off the table. His defense has dramatically improved, and his offense is slowly living up to his potential. The kid turned 24 on the 4th of May, I think he still has plenty of room to grow. Why close one hole to open another.

Teagarden and a mid tier arm and one of Texas MINF (Lemon, Arias, Vallejo) for Kaz would be a good guess.

by laxtonto on May 12, 2009 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

as hard as good pitching in texas has been hard to come by...

I could see Salty being a main piece in a deal for Kaz. Because they have Teagarden and a very potent offense, they could afford to trade Salty if they are one of the teams that believe they’re getting a 25 year old lefty who still has room to grow and already has shown the type of talent he possesses (all matters in what is perceived…Detroit still thought they were getting a “live arm with upside” in E-Jax…the Rays will need some GM to think Kaz still has Cy Young potential)

by raysfaninminnesota on May 12, 2009 8:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Players worth considering a trade for

In hypothetical terms, the Rays should consider trading Scott Kazmir, but the only motivation they’ll have to actually seriously consider it will depend on who’s available in return (duh). At this point it doesn’t have to be .50 on the dollar (maybe by the end of the season it may have to be) but a young All Star lefty under control for three seasons at a reasonable rate does have appeal and there probably will be some GM out there willing to take a chance. So the question is, and was already posed, but not answered too much, who is worth considering a trade for? Here are a few to consider (some of them might need more put into a deal)

Texas: Salty, Smoak
Cardinals: Colby Rasmus, Jason Motte
Brewers: Gamel
Reds: Votto, Bruce
Dodgers: Kemp, Ethier
Marlins: Maybin, Lindstrom
Houston: Pence

Of this list, who would you prefer? Who would be the most likely? Is there anyone else worth considering? Kemp, Votto, Salty could be interesting—but if the Rays could pull off Rasmus and Motte for the pen, that might be the right move. Whatcha think?

by raysfaninminnesota on May 12, 2009 9:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ahhh, when in doubt reach for a half-ass comment

not saying you can get the best player in the planet for kazmir…not even close. Also, as I said, it probably will take more from the Rays to get some if not all of those players. But if the Rays can get Matt Joyce for E-Jax, I’m just saying there will be a market for Kazmir. if any of those players could be had in a deal, it’s worth exploring.

by raysfaninminnesota on May 13, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Despite the fact his AAA numbers and ML debut look good

Joyce might not be what many here hope.

And Kaz’s salary reduces his value when compared to Jackson, even if it’s reasonable compared to his historical numbers.

Funny, all are concerned about Kaz’s future, yet want a big return in trade. If you’re looking to deal with an idiot GM, Houston’s your best shot. But what do you want from them?

I’d stick with him and hope for improvement. But I’d certainly shop him and hope for a good deal. Also think the message to the average fan in Tampa is a bad one, at a critical juncture in solidifying the Rays market development. Another contending season is a very important goal for 2009, or the team could be viewed as a fluke. Trading Kaz for prospects might make sense, but to the casual fan – and perhaps the local media – how will it play?

by nyyfaninlaaland on May 13, 2009 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Despite the fact his AAA numbers and ML debut look good"

So, despite performing in Triple AAA, performing well in 200 ABs in the majors, and having solid scouting reports, Joyce is suddenly not going to be an above average player?

by Suttree on May 13, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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