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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

B.J. Upton Has 3 Hits In Rays 8-6 Victory; Dioner Navarro 2 RBI

Don't call it a comeback just yet, but B.J. Upton continued to show signs of improvement today from his perch atop the Rays lineup. After falling behind (bad) 0-1 in his first at-bat, Upton worked the count even at 2-2 before grounding out to Melvin Mora. This is the rolling over of the ball that we talked about yesterday. Upton would come to the plate in the third inning and again fall behind 0-1 after fouling the first pitch off. However, on the fourth pitch of the AB he laced a line drive single to centerfield, but would be stranded.

Upton worked a seven pitch at bat in the fifth inning that ended in him turning in a low inside fastball and placing a line drive down the left field line. He was nearly thrown out at second base as the throw beat him to the bag, but an off balance Brian Roberts and a nifty slide to the back side of the bag helped him reach base safely. Upton would go 2-3 off of the O's starter Brad Bergesen, who is not an over powering right hander. He would look overmatched in his next plate appearance against the hard throwing Chris Ray, who struck Upton out on five pitches, all fastballs ranging from 94-96. Upton took two hard cuts and missed both times. This is the timing problem that has been killing Upton.

Star-divide

In a similar situation in the 8th inning, Upton would struggle against another hard throwing right hander in Bob McCrory. With runners on second and third and one out, Upton swung on a first pitch fastball. He made contact, but again a ground ball out to third base. Akinori Iwamura would be thrown out at home as he was running on contact and Upton would reach on a fielder's choice.

The Rays bats exploded for four runs in the ninth inning including a two out RBI single for Upton. Facing McCrory for the second time, B.J. worked another even 2-2 count and took a middle in fastball at 96 mph right back up the middle scoring Jason Bartlett, who had another three hit night including his career high tying 5th home run of the season. All in all it wasn't quite 2007 B.J. Upton; however he did see 27 pitches and went 3-6 with a double and an RBI. Its baby steps; let's try and put back to back games together.

The other regression case we've been talking about is Dioner Navarro. No, Navi hasn't quite turned around his season, but like Upton there are signs of life in his bat. Navi went 1-3 last night with two RBI and two sacrifice outs. In the sixth inning he hit a sac-fly to give the Rays a two run cushion. In the ninth inning he nearly knocked out McCrory on a sharp hit up the middle plating Willy Aybar. In his last 28 plate appearances, he is hitting .292 with an OBP of .333. One thing that still sticks out is Navi's unwillingness to walk. He has just two free passes in 114 plate appearances and is swinging at 27% of pitches out of the zone. Take a page out of Carl Crawford's book, Navi; the walk is your friend.  

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Obviously, Navarro's walk rate is terrible, but I still feel like his plate discipline has improved.

It seems like he’s been swinging mostly at pitches that he can hit. The line drive two nights that went straight into Adam Jones’ glove comes to mind, and he made solid contact on the flyball last night. It seems like he’s under more control than he was at the beginning of the year at the plate.

That’s just a subjective opinion. Eventually he’s gonna have to take a walk.

by Suttree on May 14, 2009 10:14 AM EDT reply actions  

I like navi, but even when going good

he’s so fearful of getting two strikes on him. He’s generally swinging after strike one

by Raymondo on May 14, 2009 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know

Just saying, you know? 4-6 looks better, does more for confidence, than 3-6. I’m really tired of everyone I know getting on BJs case.

by PlayOnWords on May 14, 2009 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

But Navi's walk rate is deceptive because...

walking the ninth (or weakest) batter in the lineup is universally discouraged. His strikeout rate has been unusually high all year and it almost seems that he will have to start hitting before pitchers will work carefully enough agasint him to walk him.

Another subjective opinion.

by Doyouseeit? on May 14, 2009 10:23 AM EDT reply actions  

B.J.'s line drive rate is up to 16%.

That BABIP is starting to creep towards .300 as well.

by R.J. Anderson on May 14, 2009 10:30 AM EDT reply actions  

I'd guess you're right

i never saw one that high

btw, thanks for the site,a ‘know it all’ in the Indians forum said it wasn’t available

by Raymondo on May 14, 2009 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, thanks RJ!

I’m that “know it all” he’s referring to.

Wasn’t aware Fangraphs carried the BABIP for minor leaguers … so I appreciate it.

As for the formula … math isn’t my strong suit!

by FallsTribeFan on May 14, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

What Indians forum would that be?

Well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.

by Jay on May 14, 2009 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

CusterGotOffEasy.com

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 14, 2009 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Get up, come on, get down with the regression.

Get up, come on, get down with the regression.
You fucker get up, come on, get down with the regression.
Open up your hate and let it flow into meeeeeee!

by Suttree on May 14, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

See if you can find a video so I can gif it.

I looked in all my usual spots to steal appropriate video, and no luck.

Also Percival’s hissy fit.

by ReasonableDoubt on May 14, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Apparently

Kaz traded the girls behind the dugout a baseball for the cotton candy. Must have found some good weed in Baltimore

by BJ the Bossman on May 14, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Someone told him it was edible weed.

AC/DC + Tampa Bay Rays = Big Balls on a Budget

by Orlando Rays on May 14, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

THE

Bossman is on his way back. The more fastballs he turns on the more antsy in my pantsy i get. Its nice to actually see his timing slowly coming back. As for Carl, for some reason I have a bad feeling about this injury. Dont know if anyone else read the SPTimes today but he said he felt like he hurt it worse when he swung. I think I would cry if after all this good stuff CC had done he goes and hurts himself on such a nice play.
And Batrick needs to quit munching so much box. Larry David will be the first to tell you that itll give you a stiff neck.

by BJ the Bossman on May 14, 2009 11:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Nice post Tommy.

But I’m not sure I would call his single to center in the third a line drive. It looked liked he made poor contact and it ‘blooped’ in between the shortstop and CF. Nonetheless, an encouraging day.

by RaysTheRoof on May 14, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions  

I though the same, however I guess the speed it went classified it as a line drive.

This is where we see imperfections in the the line drive/fly ball rates.

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on May 14, 2009 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

He should have pounded the rock

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 14, 2009 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

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