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James Shields Takes Control As Rays Take 3 of 4 From Red Sox

A day after the Rays' starting pitcher Jeff Niemann failed to get into the fourth inning, The Rays were in serious jeopardy of a similar situation on Sunday. However, James Shields is an ace for a reason and Jeff Niemann is not. After registering the leadoff out, Shields got himself into a bit of trouble: Dustin Pedroia singled, David Ortiz walked, Kevin Youkilis singled to load the bases, and Boston finally scored on a J.D. Drew single to right field. At this point, the game could've gotten way out of hand, but Shields remained in control. He would Jason Bay to strikeout swinging (one of 10 swinging strikes he would get on the day), and ended the threat by getting Mike Lowell to fly out. Three hits, a walk, 30 pitches, but only one run given up.

Over the course of the next 6.1 innings, Shields would throw just 72 pitches and allowed just three hits and one run (J.P. Howell allowed the run to score). For Shields this is the typical Shieldsian starts we've become accustom to. He gets into trouble early, but typically limits the damage and keeps his team in the game. More importantly, he gets them deep into the game and saves the bullpen which is something Niemann couldn't do Saturday. James has failed to pitch into the seventh inning once this season (season opener) and has pitched at least seven innings in four of six starts.

Star-divide

Since revealing he was pitching with a dead arm for the first three starts of the season, Shields has been much better over his past three outings. Including today, he has pitched 21.1 innings since April 23rd and has given up six earned runs (2.55 ERA). He has also picked up his K's and is around 6.0 K/9 over the stretch.

Despite the increase in strikeouts over the past two weeks, Shields entered the game with a K/9 of 4.54 on the season. This is partly due to a lack of swinging strikes. Entering Sunday's game he had a swing strike percentage of 7.9% on the season. That number was 9.6% in 2008 and 10.6% in 2007. Obviously less swinging strikes are going to lead to less K's. Today, Shields got his swinging strike on. As mentioned above he got 10 swinging strikes overall (~10.0%), and all six of his strikeouts ended with a swinging strike including several on his change up.

Speaking of the change up, Shields went to his bread and butter pitch around 27% this afternoon. This is up from 23.2% on the season and may be a sign that he needs to be throwing it more. Along with the change up, Shields featured a four seam fastball 36% of the time. He also threw in a few two seamers and lot fewer cutters. According to pitch f/x, he threw just three cutters which is way off the 14% he's been averaging. After watching Andy Sonnanstine struggle with the cutter, I'm starting to like the pitch less and less unless you're name is Mariano Rivera.

When the Rays needed him the most, Shields delivered. The Red Sox could've easily taken firm control of the game in the first inning and possibly earned a split after losing the first two games of the series. However, Shields stepped up his game along with Carl Crawford. The two took control of the game and handed the Rays their second series victory against the Red Sox and their second series victory overall.

Once again, a "Big Game" for Shields.

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I am hoping this boston series at home serves the same function as the boston series from last season almost a year earlier to the day.

5 dollar foot loooooong

by HAHAHA OH WOW on May 3, 2009 7:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Please Shields. Stop giving up runs in the first inning. Figure out why you're not ready to pitch at the start of the game and fix it.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 3, 2009 7:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Seriously? He gave up one run until another soft-tosser got hammered by Youk...

7+ innings and those numbers vs the Sox are not just OK, they are exceptional.

by Doyouseeit? on May 4, 2009 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Results based analysis is great, isn't it?

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 4, 2009 1:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

7.1 innings, 6 strike outs, 2 walks, 65 strikes to 37 balls.

If the bases loaded jam had occured in the third inning, would you care?

by Suttree on May 4, 2009 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

It's more to the point that it seems like his first inning is never going to be lights out

If there is some way to correct for that, then how much better would he be?

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 4, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

If he had a bases-loaded jam in the 3rd inning in 4 out of his 6 games,

…and if last year his 3rd innings were markedly worse then any other inning he pitched in, yes I would. Of course, if it were the 3rd inning and not the first, it would appear considerably more odd.

He hasn’t been great in the 1st inning since his rookie year in 2006 and statistically he probably wasn’t very good there either. He wasn’t great in 2007, lots of walks, few Ks, but managed to escape giving up a lot of runs. In 2008 that wasn’t the case; those fielding outs turned to hits; more then likely in 2007 he was remarkably lucky in the first inning. And so far in 6 starts he’s given up runs in the first inning in 4 of them.

I’ve criticized his 1st innings in his last 3 games pitched, not his entire performance. He’s been sharp overall in those three games, but he’s been slop in the 1st inning. This is the last time I’m going to respond to people who respond to my criticisms of a shitty Shields 1st inning with a ‘he did good the entire game’. I’m tired of responding to this argument, it’s moot against my point.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on May 4, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

But did you even watch the whole game?

he did good bro

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 4, 2009 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's what I'm saying.

He pitched like an ace. He had a rough first inning, it’s happened before… and every time it happens, he has an ace like outing.

This has been happening for three years. Is it really going to just blow up and become a problem now?

by Suttree on May 4, 2009 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think you understand what I'm saying

did you even watch the whole game, he did good

Do what you love to do and give it your very best. Whether it's business or baseball, or the theater, or any field. If you don't love what you're doing and you can't give it your best, get out of it. Life is too short. You'll be an old man before you know it.

-Al Lopez

by Sandy Kazmir on May 4, 2009 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

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