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Medicineball: The Story of the 2009 Tampa Bay Rays Draft

15 rounds are done as I begin to write this. We're entering territory where the names become more abstract and the school names more obscure. A few future major leaguers are still going to be drafted, but they will be few and far between. After each of the first five picks threads were posted with an assortment of links and tidbits. With the blunt of the storm behind us, let's analyze this draft thus far.

Something that 90% of the Rays picks share in common is an injury during their 2009 prep season. Don't believe me? Take a look:

LeVon Washington - torn labrum

Kenny Diekroeger - unspecified knee injury

Todd Glaesmann - broken ankle

Luke Bailey - Tommy John surgery

Brett Nommensen - wrist injury

Derek Dennis - rib cage sprain

Pierce Johnson - broken hand

That's more than a third of the team's picks thus far with injuries. It's common to see some nicks and sprains over a season of any sport, but rarely do they pop up in the scouting reports this often. In some cases, the injuries undoubtedly played a part in the player being available at that selection and I wouldn't be surprised if the Rays attempted to capitalize on the doubt in some of these players' minds. After all, another major injury and their stock could drop dramatically over the next two or three years.

Another trait shared is one that many Rays draftees have shared; so called quick twitch athletics. Think Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, etc. the "pure athlete" types that draft analysts talk about. The Rays are a bunch of tools whores when it comes to drafting, and boy has it worked out quite well.

Oh, and the final trait: there are some presumably difficult signs to be had here. Especially the top five picks minus Washington. I get the feeling that if one of the four go unsigned, in three years they'll be a top 10 pick. Such is the reality of drafting toolsy higher schoolers.

As for the players themselves...

Star-divide

(Player Name) (Level) (Position)  (Bats/Throws) (Age as of June, 1st 2009)

LeVon Washington HS CF L/R 17

Washington will wind up being the most written about. This is probably the first time in team history that the first round pick does not automatically become a top five prospect in the system. That speaks more towards the quality of the existing depth rather than the talent level of Washington. Fantastic speed and a good approach at the plate highlight Washington’s package. He’s still got some work to do defensively and on the basepaths. His ability to throw the ball may ultimately make the decision between center and second base. Best case scenario, he becomes Johnny Damon. Most likely would be Scott Podsednik. He’s going to sign.

Kenny Diekroeger  HS SS R/R 17

A Stanford commit with a 4.0 GPA, Diekroeger is a good defender at short who still needs some work on his actions there. If the Rays can sign him and the bat develops, he’s going to be a prized prospect. He outshined first round pick Mike Trout during workouts and showed a good ability to hit the ball all over the field. High upside here.

Todd Glaesmann HS CF R/R 17

One NL scout compared Glaesmann to Jayson Werth. That would be fantastic. Another comparison being thrown out there is Drew Stubbs, a former top 10 pick from the University of Texas. Glaesmann himself is committed to Texas A&M and could be a difficult signing. As with the other two picks to this point, Glaesmann has tools and quite a few issues to work out in the minor leagues.

Luke Bailey HS C R/R 18

If not for the injury, Bailey would’ve been gone long before this. A power arm behind the plate is met with a power bat at the plate. Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but there’s a lot of things that need work here. The potential is there, and he probably resembles Bengie Molina if he reaches the potential. An Auburn commit, could be a tough sign, but if he does, then he’s immediately the Rays best catching prospect.

Jeffrey Malm HS 1B L/L 18

Let’s place the tough sign tag on Malm too. He’s got a USC gig waiting for him if he goes. He hits, a lot. In fact, that’s his main tool since he’s restricted to first base or DH duties. Best first base prospect immediately if signed.

Devin Fuller JUCO RHSP 20

Good fastball but the breaking pitches need work. Gengler is comparing him to last year’s pick of Shane Dyer. Seems reasonable.

Cody Rogers JUCO CF L/R 20

Another potential Aggie. I’d be shocked if he chose against signing.

Brett Nommensen NCAA CF L/L 22

College seniors are usually the most boring of picks. Nommensen has an interesting quirk in his profile though. Last season he got on base 65.2% of the time. That’s just…wow. He did play against weak competition, but still.

Kevin James HS LHSP 18

Has control issues and didn’t dominate in high school. Winds up at Boston College if not the Rays system.

Derek Dennis HS SS R/R 18

Another toolsy prep shortstop.

Alexander Koronis NCAA RHRP 21

The second most written about draftee. Koronis was the University of Tampa closer this season. His fastball sits 89-91 with a slider.

Andrew Bellatti HS RHSP 17

Per Gengler, his favorite team is the Rays. I’m guessing that locks him in to sign.

Hunter Hill JUCO RHSP 20

Texas State transfer, I can’t imagine him choosing school over pro baseball. We’ll see.

Zach Quate NCAA RHRP 21

Another college reliever, Quate allowed 23 hits and struck 48 out. Yeah, that’s nice.

Pierce Johnson HS RHSP 18

Gengler was lobbying for this pick a few days ago. Johnson suffered a broken hand, but has good stuff. Fastball in the 92-93 range.

---

There are a few more interesting names leaking through, like Alexander Diaz, but for now let’s put a wrap on the extensive draft coverage. Tomorrow there will be an open thread and I’m going to make a FanPost for draftee signing news and notes.

Otherwise, be sure to check out RaysProspects.com for more expansive draft coverage.

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I was dissapointed with the drafting of LeVon Washington. I just looked at him and thought, 'he looks like one lazy mofo.'

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on Jun 10, 2009 4:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Wouldn't we be willing to overpay a bit to make sure we lock up some of these high schoolers?

If we project them to be studs then we should sign them. Sure not every one will end up like Jacoby Ellsbury but I’d rather overpay 5 with one turning out to be Jacoby Ellsbury than not sign them.

by matthan on Jun 10, 2009 5:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I imagine they will...

I really don’t think the organization would waste that many picks if they didn’t have a feeling they could sign some.

Question on the draft rules though, if they don’t sign the 2nd rounder do they get a second rounder next year (like the first round) or is that just a first round thing?

by tallyray on Jun 10, 2009 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Per BA
Teams that fail to sign a first-round pick no longer receive an extra pick after the first round as compensation, but instead a virtually identical pick the following year; for example, a team that fails to sign the No. 5 pick one year will receive the No. 6 pick the next, rather than one in the 30s or 40s. The same compensation also now exists for unsigned second-round picks, while a team that fails to sign a third-round pick will receive a sandwich pick between the third and fourth rounds.

http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/draft/news/262720.html

by R.J. Anderson on Jun 10, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice find

These seems a lot more equitable

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 10, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for that...

I think this is more reason to draft a high upside guy early if there isn’t anyone else that you really like.

Worst thing that happens is the Rays get an extra second next year. Not a bad deal.

by tallyray on Jun 10, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Klaw

“Other good drafts, focusing mostly on the top few rounds where odds are kids will sign Texas, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Toronto, Colorado (if they sign Matzek), San Francisco.”

by jsess813 on Jun 10, 2009 7:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Okay, I'm in love with our 29th round pick.

Gabe Cohen:

Built like an Adonis, Cohen flashes a strong arm, power and above-average speed. He has tinkered with his stance so often, though, he has never truly found a niche at bat. An occasional long home run is often followed by prolonged slumps.

Tools Whore

by Tyler on Jun 10, 2009 11:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Rays went crazy for the HS kids.

17 of 1st 30 picks. 8 from round 16 on. Talk about high risk, high reward strategy. Like the Marines, apparently they’re looking for a few good men. A bit harder to sign the HS’ers in later rounds – either they’re going to shell out over slot bucks left and right, or they picked a bunch of kids who don’t care about going to college.

by nyyfaninlaaland on Jun 11, 2009 3:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Diekroeger conundrum

Round 2 pick Kenny Diekroeger may be more of a freak intellectually than athletically, believe it or not, and both of his parents have Stanford MBAs. So the chances of him somehow pursuing his education are near 100%. Assuming that he’ll both pursue baseball and get a degree, what are his options? How does MLB define the completion of a player’s junior year of a four year college, when Diekroeger would next be eligible to enter the draft if he doesn’t sign now? Is it based on calendar days, credits earned, or something else? Would a red shirt year delay the completion of a junior year as defined by MLB? I’m sure that the Rays thought this all through before taking him. What do they plan to say and offer in order to sign Diekroeger?

by Stanford Fan on Jun 11, 2009 11:24 AM EDT reply actions  

Couldn't they just give him an honorary Doctoral from some University? I imagine UT would play along, they're not a bad school

except for all the gay dudes. I think Shaq has a couple of Honorary Doctoral’s, how smart is he?

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 11, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't doubt it

I have no problem whatsoever with gay people, just don’t be flamboyant. I found a lot of the latter from UT people.

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 11, 2009 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

draft eligibility

My understanding is college players are eligible for the draft either after their junior season or when they are within 45 days of their 21st birthday (for example, Tim Lincecum was drafted by the Indians as a sophomore-eligible – obviously, he did not sign). I’m fairly certain credit hours play no part in the equation; some guys graduate early, many never graduate.

baseball is played on a calculator in your grandmother's basement, not on the field

by RATW on Jun 11, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

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