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Around SBN: PHOTOS: Mike Moser's Dunk Face Is Spectacular

Scouting Reports on B.J. Upton Spread Quickly

Funny how this works:

wFB/C FB%
April -1.85 69.3
May -0.97 66.6
June 10.69 54.8
30 Days 1.54 65.9

 

In case you are unfamiliar with the wFB/C metric, it's best described as a results-based metric per 100 pitches of that type. So, a -1.85 value means Upton accumulated -1.85 runs over 100 fastballs. That's not very good. A 10.69 value means he's blasting every fastball thrown his way. You can find this metric on FanGraphs.

The most interesting thing I take away, besides that Upton is making those who throw him fastballs pay now, is just how quickly the strategy is shifting. We've talked about this a lot, pitchers were going go throw him fastballs until he hit them for power. He's starting to, and just like that guys are now throwing less. We're what, seven days into the month and the philosophy for how to get Upton out has shifted dramatically.

Obviously there's a bit of a small sample size issue here, which is why I included the last 30 days to show that this is not a relatively new development. B.J. is starting to hit fastballs and hit them well. Over that same time-frame his .362 wOBA is higher than Evan Longoria while their strikeout percentages are just about equal. Upton's offensive game is on the way up. Let's just hope teams like the Angels and Nationals are slow to adjust.

Whore note: I wrote about B.J.'s defense along with the insanely talented Justin Upton's improved defense on FanGraphs this morning.

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Good news indeed.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jun 8, 2009 12:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Anyone notice Jason Hammel this year? His home/road split is rediculous.

Home games wpa:
-.398 -.311 -.275 -.208 -.078

Road Games
-.304 .018 .029 .158 .197 .353

Until Next Time,
The Sports Chief

by Top Gun Numba 1 on Jun 8, 2009 12:31 PM EDT reply actions  

No, we're too busy jerking off to Edwin Jackson, I thought you would have noticed.

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on Jun 8, 2009 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Black Jesus is back

The way we went the other way with that double yesterday was vintage Beej. When he is crushing the inside fastball and going the other way with the outside breaking ball, the man can rake.

by BJ the Bossman on Jun 8, 2009 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

This is a pretty small sample size and could be influenced too easily by too many factors

BJ is certainly hitting better though. Can someone post the FB% for say CC and Pena for May and June. If they both saw a drop in FB% then perhaps it is more due to the types of pitchers we are facing rather than pitch selection?

by matthan on Jun 8, 2009 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

.

Pena
Month wFB/c FB%
Mar/Apr 1.41 61.6
May .67 58.7
June -2.41 56.2
Last 30 -.26 59.7

Crawford
Mar/Apr -.16 64.6
May .93 67.1
June 3.09 60.0
Last 30 1.30 68.1

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 8, 2009 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jesus christ i can't spell

looks like FB% has indeed declined for CC and Pena in June. This isn’t enough to account for Beej’s more severe decline, but it does soften the impact of those number a little.

by RaysTheRoof on Jun 8, 2009 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think both can be explained by the injuries

With Longo and Burrell not playing this month, guys have been able to give more breaking stuff to Craw and Pena, respectively. As I posted yesterday, Pena’s OPS has dropped nearly 150 points since PTB got hurt. He has gotten less FB and more junk. With Longo slowing of late and then missing some games, there is more incentive to attack Craw out of the zone with bendy stuff.

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 8, 2009 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Correction

Vinny might will get traded.

RD over and out.

by ReasonableDoubt on Jun 8, 2009 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

No it doesn't

Vinny is my favorite player. Like when Jerry Rice left the Niners I could no longer root for them. I would rather see the Lightning lose and build around Vinny than to trade Vinny and maybe win with some other guys.

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 8, 2009 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm sure Vinny is looking forward to another 3 losing seasons with the Tampa Bay Lightning

"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."

by kericr on Jun 8, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Victor Hedman and the surging Steven Stamkos beg to differ.

Losing Boyle ruined us each of the last 2 seasons. It’s like the children’s story about the king who lost his kingdom for the want of a nail. If some fuckass had hung that skate hook right in Danny B’s locker who knows where he would be right now. Getting reloaded on defense is a must, but then you have to worry about replacing MSL in 2-3 years. I say we just sim the next 2 seasons and play for #1 overall.

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 8, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

For fantasy, he probably is overrated.

But uh…

Upton has a boatload of talent, but it’s starting to become clearer that he is too much of a head case. There are plenty of professional athletes whose mental midget syndrome drastically puts a damper on their production, and Bossman Junior is a prime example of this. My guess is he is suffering from chronic jealousy because of his younger brother Justin, whose emergence is one of the better stories in the MLB this season. Maybe he should take notes.

Maybe his jealous nature tore his labrum?

by R.J. Anderson on Jun 8, 2009 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

This seems credible

How bout Justin swinging too hard and doing something to his shoulder last night. Grimacing in pain, it sounds rather familiar.

Rays Win!

by Sandy Kazmir on Jun 8, 2009 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's Fantasy...

And as RJ said, he was grossly overrated coming into the season. He was being taken in the second/third round. I understand the disappointment.

by tallyray on Jun 8, 2009 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I understand that.

But my beef is just what RJ picked up on.

Sign lady must die.

by EminenceFront on Jun 8, 2009 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Man oh man

Good Upton
CC
Longo
Pena (who HAS to get better and hits homers either way)
PTB
Zobrist
Bartlett
Joyce
Nvarro

cut me a very large piece of that!

Rotation: 1. James Shields 2. Matt Garza 3. David Price 4. Jeff Niemann 5. Andy Sonnanstine...... Coming Soon: Wade Davis......Scott Kazmir?

by joeybw on Jun 8, 2009 5:50 PM EDT reply actions  

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