Scouting Reports on B.J. Upton Spread Quickly
Funny how this works:
| wFB/C | FB% | |
| April | -1.85 | 69.3 |
| May | -0.97 | 66.6 |
| June | 10.69 | 54.8 |
| 30 Days | 1.54 | 65.9 |
In case you are unfamiliar with the wFB/C metric, it's best described as a results-based metric per 100 pitches of that type. So, a -1.85 value means Upton accumulated -1.85 runs over 100 fastballs. That's not very good. A 10.69 value means he's blasting every fastball thrown his way. You can find this metric on FanGraphs.
The most interesting thing I take away, besides that Upton is making those who throw him fastballs pay now, is just how quickly the strategy is shifting. We've talked about this a lot, pitchers were going go throw him fastballs until he hit them for power. He's starting to, and just like that guys are now throwing less. We're what, seven days into the month and the philosophy for how to get Upton out has shifted dramatically.
Obviously there's a bit of a small sample size issue here, which is why I included the last 30 days to show that this is not a relatively new development. B.J. is starting to hit fastballs and hit them well. Over that same time-frame his .362 wOBA is higher than Evan Longoria while their strikeout percentages are just about equal. Upton's offensive game is on the way up. Let's just hope teams like the Angels and Nationals are slow to adjust.
Whore note: I wrote about B.J.'s defense along with the insanely talented Justin Upton's improved defense on FanGraphs this morning.
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Anyone notice Jason Hammel this year? His home/road split is rediculous.
Home games wpa:
-.398 -.311 -.275 -.208 -.078
Road Games
-.304 .018 .029 .158 .197 .353
Until Next Time,
The Sports Chief
by Top Gun Numba 1 on Jun 8, 2009 12:31 PM EDT reply actions
Will you pretty please go over to The Heater and drop the bait that BJ has been better than Even the last 30 days?
I want to see the gold that comes from the comment.
Jeter Sucks.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Jun 8, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions
No, we're too busy jerking off to Edwin Jackson, I thought you would have noticed.
"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."
Aneury Rodriguez is the new Matt Joyce
Until Next Time,
The Sports Chief
by Top Gun Numba 1 on Jun 8, 2009 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Black Jesus is back
The way we went the other way with that double yesterday was vintage Beej. When he is crushing the inside fastball and going the other way with the outside breaking ball, the man can rake.
This is a pretty small sample size and could be influenced too easily by too many factors
BJ is certainly hitting better though. Can someone post the FB% for say CC and Pena for May and June. If they both saw a drop in FB% then perhaps it is more due to the types of pitchers we are facing rather than pitch selection?
.
Pena
Month wFB/c FB%
Mar/Apr 1.41 61.6
May .67 58.7
June -2.41 56.2
Last 30 -.26 59.7
Crawford
Mar/Apr -.16 64.6
May .93 67.1
June 3.09 60.0
Last 30 1.30 68.1
Rays Win!
Jesus christ i can't spell
looks like FB% has indeed declined for CC and Pena in June. This isn’t enough to account for Beej’s more severe decline, but it does soften the impact of those number a little.
I think both can be explained by the injuries
With Longo and Burrell not playing this month, guys have been able to give more breaking stuff to Craw and Pena, respectively. As I posted yesterday, Pena’s OPS has dropped nearly 150 points since PTB got hurt. He has gotten less FB and more junk. With Longo slowing of late and then missing some games, there is more incentive to attack Craw out of the zone with bendy stuff.
Rays Win!
It would be a better comeback if I wasn't one of the 98% of apathetic Seattlites who could care less about the NBA
by .Taylor on Jun 8, 2009 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions
At least you have the SeaHawks and Huskies to look forward to
Doesn’t Drew Bledsoe have another year of eligibility. So does Jerramy Stevens I think.
Rays Win!
Just wait until the Lightning move to Canada.
Sigh.
by R.J. Anderson on Jun 8, 2009 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions
LeCavalier is a beast. At least you have an NHL team.
by .Taylor on Jun 8, 2009 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions
I find it amusing that the Super Bowl titlte probably means less to me
Than a World Series run (obvious) and Stanley Cup title.
by R.J. Anderson on Jun 8, 2009 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions
God I hate you
Bucs win a title in 04. Rays in the World Series last year. Magic in the Finals this year.
GOD
by .Taylor on Jun 8, 2009 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Correction
Vinny might will get traded.
RD over and out.
by ReasonableDoubt on Jun 8, 2009 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions
No it doesn't
Vinny is my favorite player. Like when Jerry Rice left the Niners I could no longer root for them. I would rather see the Lightning lose and build around Vinny than to trade Vinny and maybe win with some other guys.
Rays Win!
I don't think Vinny goes...
The ownership would never see the end of it. It’s suicide for OK.
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Jun 8, 2009 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm sure Vinny is looking forward to another 3 losing seasons with the Tampa Bay Lightning
"Where we all wait in earnest with pudding in hand for the Upton comet to sail through the roofed skies, so that we may meet Him."
Victor Hedman and the surging Steven Stamkos beg to differ.
Losing Boyle ruined us each of the last 2 seasons. It’s like the children’s story about the king who lost his kingdom for the want of a nail. If some fuckass had hung that skate hook right in Danny B’s locker who knows where he would be right now. Getting reloaded on defense is a must, but then you have to worry about replacing MSL in 2-3 years. I say we just sim the next 2 seasons and play for #1 overall.
Rays Win!
For fantasy, he probably is overrated.
But uh…
Upton has a boatload of talent, but it’s starting to become clearer that he is too much of a head case. There are plenty of professional athletes whose mental midget syndrome drastically puts a damper on their production, and Bossman Junior is a prime example of this. My guess is he is suffering from chronic jealousy because of his younger brother Justin, whose emergence is one of the better stories in the MLB this season. Maybe he should take notes.
Maybe his jealous nature tore his labrum?
by R.J. Anderson on Jun 8, 2009 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions
I know. I made a fan-shot to expose this garbage to the masses....
He is citing BA, HRs and RBIs as his most important stats…although it is for fantasy
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Jun 8, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Come on join our party, dress yourself to kill.
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Jun 8, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions
This seems credible
How bout Justin swinging too hard and doing something to his shoulder last night. Grimacing in pain, it sounds rather familiar.
Rays Win!
It's Fantasy...
And as RJ said, he was grossly overrated coming into the season. He was being taken in the second/third round. I understand the disappointment.
I understand that.
But my beef is just what RJ picked up on.
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Jun 8, 2009 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions
I've never heard of the site before.
But maybe it’s heavy satire.
by R.J. Anderson on Jun 8, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions
No ConnorManning
to thank evan for not being “a pussy” anymore?
by BJ the Bossman on Jun 8, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Man oh man
Good Upton
CC
Longo
Pena (who HAS to get better and hits homers either way)
PTB
Zobrist
Bartlett
Joyce
Nvarro
cut me a very large piece of that!
Rotation: 1. James Shields 2. Matt Garza 3. David Price 4. Jeff Niemann 5. Andy Sonnanstine...... Coming Soon: Wade Davis......Scott Kazmir?

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