DRaysBay: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Baby Boilers no more: Michigan State-Purdue Preview

Plate Discipline Results as a % of Total Pitches Seen

Piresults_medium

Star-divide

This chart looks at the plate discipline results of each player based on all pitches seen. Some observations:

*Ben Zobrist leads the league in ISO yet only 3% of the pitches he sees in the zone result in swinging strikes. For comparison Longo and Pena sit at 5.9 and 8.8% respectively.

*Longo seems to be having issues with pitch recognition. 13.8 % of the pitches he sees result in swings out of the zone while also taking 17.1% of pitches for called strikes.

*Carlos Pena whiffs on 16% of the pitches he sees. By comparison Longo whiffs on 12.5% and Zobrist on just 6.4%.

*Pena makes the "wrong choice" on the lowest percentage of pitches. 12.5% swings outside the zone and 12% swinging strikes accounts for 24.5% wrong decisions.  Barlett is second at 26.6%. Carl Crawford is the worst at 31.3% (14.3%/17%).

*10.5% of the pitches Carl Crawford sees result in contact outside the zone.

Zorilla leads the team with nearly 45% of the pitches he sees resulting in called balls. For reference, Navi only takes 51.4% total pitches.

Below is the table of data:

Zo Longo  Pena  BJ CC Barty Burrell  Aybar  Gross  Kapler  Navi 
O-Whiffs 3.4% 6.6% 7.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.4% 3.5% 4.1% 3.2% 3.8%
O-Contact 6.3% 7.2% 5.3% 4.1% 10.5% 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.8%
Balls 44.9% 35.9% 42.0% 39.1% 33.8% 36.3% 42.5% 42.0% 42.2% 39.5% 37.0%
Called Strikes 18.5% 17.1% 12.0% 19.9% 17.0% 15.5% 18.9% 19.1% 16.2% 16.2% 14.4%
Z-Contact 23.9% 27.3% 24.8% 27.0% 30.7% 34.1% 25.1% 25.7% 25.9% 29.8% 32.3%
Z-Whiffs 3.0% 5.9% 8.8% 5.9% 4.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.4% 4.4% 2.4% 2.7%

7 recs  |  Comment 24 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

That was my first impression...

But he swings at a lot, he just doesn’t miss many.

Funny thing is that Navi and Pena’s approach is very similar. They both swing at roughly the same percentage outside the zone and neither takes many strikes. The difference is Pena’s taking a huge hack and produces when he makes contact and Navi hits like Alfredo Griffin.

by tallyray on Jul 2, 2009 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Could you run a comparison with Barlett from 2008?

He seems to be a bit more selective. Also, is there a way of differentiating between out of zone in play contact and out of zone foul contact?

by tallyray on Jul 2, 2009 2:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd expect CC's percentage here to be abnormally high.

I can't wait until we trade him for a reliever.

by kericr on Jul 2, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wish

Also wish I had in zone/out of zone BA and SLG

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 2, 2009 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The thing that stands out at me the most is Pena

High balls called count, plus low called strikes are nice. Unusually low contact in-zone and lots of missed in-zone swings indicate a really gaping hole in his swing somewhere.

I can't wait until we trade him for a reliever.

by kericr on Jul 2, 2009 2:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Pena's hole is up

 I have no data to back this up, but it seems that he swings and misses at a lot of high strikes with that uppercut.

by zeng8r on Jul 2, 2009 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he could just figure this out, he'd be a well above average baseman.

The only thing that keeps him out of that territory is the batting average part of his OBP.

I can't wait until we trade him for a reliever.

by kericr on Jul 2, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rec'd

Nice work and good use of the graphs and tables. Easy to read.

I wonder what player sees the most pitches in and out of the zone. To get this just add the % of balls + O-Contact + O-Whiff. Correct?

by matthan on Jul 2, 2009 3:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yea thats available on Fangraphs

Top 3 bars on the chart are in the zone, bottom 3 are out so you can eyeball it. Zo and Pena are pretty close to fewest pitches in the zone while BJ and Bart see the most in the zone. I’d expect BJ to move towards Zo and Pena nwo that he is healthy and won’t be challenged as often.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 2, 2009 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is cool

What matthan said, this is an excellent presentation. I am impressed the Zobrist is seeing the highest % of balls.

Maybe I’m just an old fashioned BJ suck-off-er. (Good call Sandy)

by Lurch's Lobbyists on Jul 2, 2009 3:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I certainly do enjoy

seeing Pena’s 16% swing and miss documented. Good times

by Buc Wild on Jul 2, 2009 3:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

We also see one of Longoria's big problems...

He’s second to Crawford in swinging at balls outside the strike zone. I can only imagine the percentage that is low and away. That seems to be the one issue he still has to overcome.

Interesting that Pena and Zobrist are seeing the most bad pitches while Bartlett and Upton are being thrown a whole lot of strikes.

by tallyray on Jul 2, 2009 3:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've heard the Rays announcers comment that pitchers have recently started pitching Zobrist more carefully

This does nothing to further that argument, as it looks like they have tried to get him to chase pitches (unsuccessfully) all along.

by GomesSweetGomes on Jul 2, 2009 5:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

They may be referring to pitch types

From April to June
57% FB to 48% FB
12% CH to 19% CH
7% SL to 19% SL

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 2, 2009 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I must admit that this chart seems to match up very well with the eyeball test.

Upton – Looks at a lot of good pitches, but seldom ever swings at a bad one
Crawford – Swings at a few too many bad ones, and hits a lot of badballs.
Pena – Swings through a lot of pitches

Very good work.

by GomesSweetGomes on Jul 2, 2009 5:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Founded in 2005. DRaysBay is home to "Progressive statistical analysis and reasoned argument."
Start posting about the Rays »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Dsc00630_small
SIERA Quick Calculator

Recent FanPosts

Small
Zobrist as Pena's follow up?
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
Dsc00630_small
OTTOTD 2/5/10: Crazy Catch and Fans Abroad
4287_559112511892_1101386_33047121_2807872_n_small
Dioner Navarro Can't Hit?
52376727_small
OTTOTD 2/4/10: An Open Letter of Apology to Bulls Basketball Fans
Small
What would you give up for Adrian Gonzalez?
Remer_small
The Tale of Two Cities... and a Stadium... how to make this work?
Dsc00630_small
Green for Glitches
Small
Question about WAR and strand rates

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Biggest Fastball Velocity Losses
Rays alternate jersey
A move for Posey?
How Will Josh Freeman Fare in the Future?
Really Early Cairo Projections
The Holy Grail of Sabermetrics
MItch Lukevics on Matt Moore
Ken_Rosenthal: Gabe Gross in serious talks with A's.
Zach Quate, rhp, Rays Born: Sept. 12, 1987. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 190....
The Rays signed former #1 draft pick Matt Bush to a minor league deal w/spring training...

+ New FanShot All FanShots >


VPs of Baseball Operations

Roots_game_small R.J. Anderson

Raysring1_small Tommy Rancel

Zorilla_small FreeZorilla

Price_small Erik Hahmann

Editors

Mugshot__malcolm-x_small Andy Hellicksonstine

Ticket Account Executive

Rays_small Steve Slowinski

490f1289caa57andy_schleck_wins RZ