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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

[My] main nit would be that Cameron probably didn't emphasize strongly enough just how ludicrous Evan Longoria's contract is. Assuming the Rays exercise their 2015 option, for instance, the guy will be making $11 m. Those currently making more include Vicente Padilla, Oliver Perez, Eric Byrnes, Jeff Suppan and Carlos Silva. At least he'll get a fat raise to $11.5 m if they exercise the 2016 option...

over 2 years ago Newest_tiny R.J. Anderson 84 comments 0 recs  | 

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I love how people are just finding out about this now

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Having looked at Pavano's contract.

Raymondo’s idea to acquire him isn’t a bad one.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 3:26 PM EDT reply actions  

It hasn't been a bad idea from the start

He has peripherals very close to Shields. His hit-rate is high, but look who is playing behind him. Trumpeting up the injury concerns could get them to kick in cash or reduce the asking price.

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting...

I hadn’t seen him say we should acquire him (just make derisive jokes about which of our pitchers he’s been better than), but I imagine he could be had for cheap.

by rglass44 on Jul 21, 2009 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Define cheap

Talbot? I would think they’d want a decent arm back.

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

CHRIS DISALVO

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 21, 2009 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

No idea, but it can't be much.

He’s on a 1 year deal where the money is no issue outside the performance bonuses (based on starts and innings).

by rglass44 on Jul 21, 2009 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

He has via email.

I didn’t realize that most of his money is tied into incentives he won’t reach.

• starts: $0.1M each for 18, 20, 22; $0.2M each for 24, 26, 28; $0.25M for 30; $0.3M for 32; $0.35M each for 33, 34; $0.4M for 35
• innings: $0.1M each for 130, 140, 150; $0.15M each for 160, 170; $0.2M for 180; $0.25M each for 190, 200, 210; $0.3M for 215; $0.4M for 225; $0.5M for 235

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crossing out the ones he's unlikely to reach.
• starts: $0.1M each for 18, 20, 22; $0.2M each for 24, 26, 28; $0.25M for 30; $0.3M for 32; $0.35M each for 33, 34; $0.4M for 35
• innings: $0.1M each for 130, 140, 150; $0.15M each for 160, 170; $0.2M for 180; $0.25M each for 190, 200, 210; $0.3M for 215; $0.4M for 225; $0.5M for 235

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Would you do Wheeler for Pavano?

Would they?

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

None.

But they also have every reason to deal Pavano for something.

1. FA at year’s end, but not good enough to get a comp pick.
2. Not a candidate for an extension.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

He fills the same need as when he came here.

A guy to build around that isn’t closer-expensive. Their bullpen is a mess, still.

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why would they?

Wheeler has another yr left. pavano is cheaper

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 21, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

hmmm

I think they may be a good one.

by rglass44 on Jul 21, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just saw.

Meh then. He’s not much different than Wheeler.

by rglass44 on Jul 21, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

is this debate over Carl Pavano the starter?

why in the hell would we want to trade for a starter who isn’t either Halladay (basically an ace) and an top prospect with front of the line starter potential (if we decide to move C.C.). We don’t need to make a deal just to make a deal. Adding a guy like Pavano and no matter who he would replace in the rotation (and I’d even add Davis and Sonny in AAA) isn’t going to make enough of a difference to warrent whomever we give up unless it is 10 bats.

by Dbullsfan on Jul 21, 2009 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Did you read the thread?

The whole point is that Pavano wouldn’t cost much to acquire or pay. He’s not going to be a Type-B FA and he’s not someone the Indians (or Rays) should extend. He is an upgrade over Niemann for the next few weeks.

It’s not going to happen, but the cost makes it a lot more realistic than Halladay.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

at what cost though

there are other teams with a more pressing need for another starter. Basically what I’m trying to say is that in a bubble acquiring Pavano would make since, however it reality what makes him so attractive is going to raise his price on the market and whatever that price ends up being it will outweigh how much his worth is over Niemann. At least IMO. If we can get him for Elliot Johnson than hell yea do it, but thats not going to happen.

by Dbullsfan on Jul 21, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

1. Injury history.

2. 5.13 ERA.
3. Free agent to be.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

those just help my arguement for why we shouldn't give up much for him

maybe I am overestimating his value but if his numbers are near Shields’ like SK said than I imagine teams like the Mets, Phillies, Yankees will be willing to give up more than just a EJ type player.

by Dbullsfan on Jul 21, 2009 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

...What?

“my argument for why we shouldn’t give up much for him”

Nobody, but nobody, is arguing we SHOULD.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just don't understand why we would even be looking at SP options

we don’t need new pitchers. We need guys like Kaz, Price, Garza, and in a smaller since because he has done well Shields too pitch to what we expected. Are we going to trade for anyone that has a better chance of outperforming Davis the 2nd half. If we aren’t happy with Niemann than call up Wade ( OT: I did read somewhere that he may start Thursday if Kaz can’t go because of forearm tightness)

by Dbullsfan on Jul 21, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm writing about Pavano for FG.

I brought him up because Raymondo has mentioned him.

It snowballed, but we’re not serious about going after him.

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Yankees should make a play for him

They could use a good 5th starter

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dammit, I missed on Aybar/Hernandez.

tboraysZorilla cleans up for #Rays tonight: Upton 8, Bartlett 6, Longo 5, Zobrist 9, Burrell DH, Aybar 3, Kapler 7, Dillon 4, Navi 2, Niemann 1

by R.J. Anderson on Jul 21, 2009 5:08 PM EDT reply actions  

The all righty lineup is nasty

Dilldog with 2 dingers
I’m calling it

I can't help that I make some things look easier than they really are.

by Sandy Kazmir on Jul 21, 2009 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

is there a reason C.C. and Pena aren't starting

I understand giving them days off against lefties but why at the same time, especially with Niemann pitching, he may need all the offense we can get not too mention throwing a line-up without 2 of your all-stars will just put more pressure on him to perform.

by Dbullsfan on Jul 21, 2009 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully Niemann doesn't walk too many w Navi behind th plate

Another night w/ 2 or less walks for the price/hernadez duo
4th overall

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Jul 21, 2009 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

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