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Rays Bullpen Splits

 

Last night, I spent a lot of time looking at the baseball reference splits page, and became a little obsessed.  It’s a great site, with the downside being that there is no tRA or FIP data on this stie.

 

Some info I found interesting, in a numbers can tell a narrative way, are the: home/away; leverage, bases occupied, and times facing opponent splits. 

 

I took a look at the most obvious pitching split (vs RH/LH hitting) for our bullpen, just to have a Manager-like reference sheet for the rest of the season.    tOPS+ is just a measure of how that split matches up against his typical OPS.  The smaller the number the better for a pitcher.  100 is the benchmark.

 

Star-divide

Lance Cormier – RHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 1.49     OPS - .885        tOPS+:  103

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 1.18     OPS - .816        tOPS +:  96

 

So-so RH releiver, who has outplayed his career numbers this year. Which has lead him a some higher leverage situations this year.  The good news is that he historically pitches better in high leverage spots. 

 

I looked at his Staring/Relieving split differentials, and they are massive, mainly due to his ineffectiveness after his first time facing a batter.  His tOPS+ goes from 89 after seeing a batter once, to 111, and then 189 the next two plate attempts.  His career OPS looks subpar, but he’s been much better as a reliever.

 

Grant Balfour – RHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 4.80     OPS - .594        tOPS+:  94

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 3.63     OPS - .624        tOPS+:  105

 

He is what you expect against righties, but also pretty dreamy against left handed hitting.  I didn’t expect his career numbers to be this strong.  Also, he used to throw a changeup pretty often with the Twins though I’ve never seen it.  

 

Randol Choate – LHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 0.80     OPS - .741        tOPS+:  109

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 2.68     OPS - .669        tOPS+:  89

 

For someone I thought was a pure Loogy, Choate has seen a lot of RH hitting in his career and he is not awful. He walks a ton of righties, but when they make contact they are not crushing him.  Of our entire bullpen, I should say, I am most pleasantly surprised by his splits.       

 

 

James P. Howell – LHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 2.26     OPS - .725        tOPS+:   103

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 2.00     OPS - .685        tOPS+:   92

 

Rightly, lefty, the drummer from Def Leopard, bring it on.

 

Here, the problem with using career numbers is that you would think Grant Balfour is a superior pitcher by looking at the data.  Let us employ another set of splits:

 

As starter:     SO/BB – 1.84     OPS - .825      tOPS+:   130

As reliever:   SO/BB – 2.63     OPS - .571       tOPS+:   60

By the way:  His high leverage tOPS+ is 83.  He gets better as things get hairier.

 

As with most starters, his problem was with seeing batters the second and third time through the order.  But with some experience and a move to the pen, he has been lights out against both sides of the plate. 

 

This begs the question:  If he had started in the pen, and put up these kind of numbers, with all the pitches he has, would he have been given a(nother) shot in the rotation?  If he wasn’t so blatantly valuable in our bullpen, I would love to see him to start a game, just to see how it would pan out.

 

 

Brian Shouse – LHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 0.68     OPS - .865        tOPS+:  140

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 4.78     OPS - .595        tOPS+:    64

 

This is what I don’t get.  He has always been a relief pitcher but he has faced righties and lefties about the same amount despite his glaring R/L split.   Crazy effective against Larry’s as we know, blah against Rogers.  Maddon has kept him in 31 times against righties this year and he has been awful (vs. 42 for lefties.)  We should all wish for this to be discontinued with a quickness.

 

 

Dan Wheeler – RHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 3.91     OPS - .629        tOPS+:  76

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 1.75     OPS - .840        tOPS +: 133

 

The slider kills righties. Without it he is meh against lefties.  His splits are worse than I thought given how he is used.  This year has been really dramatic in difference. To be used with serious caution against strong left handed hitting, especially at Tropicana.

 

Jeff Bennett - RHP

 

Vs RHB:     SO/BB – 2.06     OPS - .699        tOPS+:  83

Vs LHB:     SO/BB – 1.10     OPS - .864        tOPS +:  126

 

ROOGY.   Not great last night.  Saving a spot for Sonny. 

 

Troy Percival - RHP

 

Not Much to say.  Just goto 1:58 of the following clip re: Baby D and see my feelings on Troy.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9Sv7YGAcyw

 

Not much on the agenda tomorrow, so the plan is to see how these numbers hold up independent of fielding, and follow up.

 

 

2 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

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Not to you

its not Randol, Randy

Duemig is alive, NOT FOR LONG though....

by Some other guy who does not care on Aug 6, 2009 12:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My fault

NVM

Duemig is alive, NOT FOR LONG though....

by Some other guy who does not care on Aug 6, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

interesting numbers

thanks for posting these (also change the title from bullpin to bullpen)

Kaz/Shields/Garza/Sonny/Price/Davis/Hellickson-necessitate a drool cup or a 7 man rotation

by CubFanRaysaddict on Aug 6, 2009 2:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd like to see what Jon Brett has to say about all this

But he probably can’t talk with Percival’s cock rammed so far down his throat…

by ZBW on Aug 6, 2009 4:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Post on pen coming tomorrow am

Signing non elite rp’s for millions is dumb, who knew!

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Aug 6, 2009 7:36 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I'm looking for a good page with splits data.

Ideally I could list out every pitcher in sortable statistic order vs either RH or LH hitters.

I’ld like to look over pitchers with good reverse splits. I’d like to see specifically what they throw.

"What the hell is a Labradoddle?"

by davelrogers on Aug 6, 2009 9:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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