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Matt Garza is Consistent, If Nothing Else

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Matt Garza throws in the second inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers Saturday, Aug. 22, 2009, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

More photos » by Mike Carlson - AP

3 months ago: Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Matt Garza throws in the second inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers Saturday, Aug. 22, 2009, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Mike Carlson)

Year IP FIP tRA (FG)
2008 184.2 4.14 4.37
2009 185 4.16 4.37

Some thoughts:

  • He's obviously going to top the innings total barring an unforeseen injury.
  • What I find most impressive about the stability from last and this year is how his numbers have maintained despite an increased home run per fly ball rate. Last year he was close to 8%, this year just above 10%. I don't know what his home run rate will be next year, but I do know that his xFIP is lower this season.
  • That's because he's generating more strikeouts and allowing less contact. He's also walking more, but the trade-off works.
  • Oh thank heavens he's not Delmon Young.

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

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Just a guess...

I think it’s scaled differently there.

by rglass44 on Sep 17, 2009 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wouldn't you think that to label a stat

it would universally be compiled the same way?

by sternfan1 on Sep 17, 2009 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So with a vast difference, who do you believe?

Is the difference this large common, or are most closer?

by sternfan1 on Sep 17, 2009 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most I've seen appear close.

But don’t quote me on that.

SC uses gameday’s batted ball data and FG uses Baseball Info Solutions data. Which one is more reliable? Honestly I don’t know. Worst case: assume the real tRA is somewhere in the middle.

by R.J. Anderson on Sep 17, 2009 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure it matters with tRA, I know it does with wOBA,

but statcorner also park adjusts stats differently.

Tools Whore

by Tyler on Sep 17, 2009 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Before today his tRA was 4.75.

I’m excited to hear his champions at the end of the season if it’s hovering around 5.00

by Suttree on Sep 17, 2009 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ITS BETTER THAN A MINOR LEAGUER

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 17, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

12 wins

www.draysbay.com

by Tommy Rancel on Sep 17, 2009 3:55 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

FG.

His statcorner tRA is 4.64.

by Suttree on Sep 17, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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