Matt Garza is Consistent, If Nothing Else
by R.J. Anderson on Sep 17, 2009 12:21 PM EDT
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Print| Year | IP | FIP | tRA (FG) |
| 2008 | 184.2 | 4.14 | 4.37 |
| 2009 | 185 | 4.16 | 4.37 |
Some thoughts:
- He's obviously going to top the innings total barring an unforeseen injury.
- What I find most impressive about the stability from last and this year is how his numbers have maintained despite an increased home run per fly ball rate. Last year he was close to 8%, this year just above 10%. I don't know what his home run rate will be next year, but I do know that his xFIP is lower this season.
- That's because he's generating more strikeouts and allowing less contact. He's also walking more, but the trade-off works.
- Oh thank heavens he's not Delmon Young.
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Wait I thought he was supposed to blow out his arm this year
Oh you mean you can’t predict injuries?
www.draysbay.com
by Tommy Rancel on Sep 17, 2009 12:53 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Wouldn't you think that to label a stat
it would universally be compiled the same way?
So with a vast difference, who do you believe?
Is the difference this large common, or are most closer?
Most I've seen appear close.
But don’t quote me on that.
SC uses gameday’s batted ball data and FG uses Baseball Info Solutions data. Which one is more reliable? Honestly I don’t know. Worst case: assume the real tRA is somewhere in the middle.
by R.J. Anderson on Sep 17, 2009 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Thats what I do with MILB BB data, I jsut average out minorleaguesplits with statcorner
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More so than who is right, is the margin consistent, is one more relatively conservative than the other?
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I'm not sure it matters with tRA, I know it does with wOBA,
but statcorner also park adjusts stats differently.
Tools Whore
fwiw--E-Jack having his lunch handed to him today in DET
And he’s having a rough second half
Before today his tRA was 4.75.
I’m excited to hear his champions at the end of the season if it’s hovering around 5.00
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