FanPost

Crawford and 2011 FA

As we all know, 2010 is the last guaranteed year that CC will be in a Rays uniform and the likely scenario is that he won't be back due to depth/money.  But where would he be potentially signed? Let's due a mini-analysis about the Rays vs the 29 other available teams in MLB. This will be done in a vacuum so to make it realistic. The odds of injuries, attendance changes, money issues, playoffs, bizarre contracts, etc will all be largely negated.

Rays

vs.

Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles, White Sox, Tigers, Twins, Royals, Indians, Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics, Phillies, Mets, Marlins, Braves, Nationals, Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, Brewers, Pirates, Astros, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Padres, Diamondbacks.

So first, we'll leave the Rays out of this and consider that he'll only sign with a ready-contender for 2011 and not in the future like 2013 and beyond. So lets eliminate the Blue Jays, Royals, Indians, Nationals, Reds, Pirates, Astros, Padres.

Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles, White Sox, Tigers, Twins, Royals, Indians, Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics, Phillies, Mets, Marlins, Braves, Nationals, Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, Brewers, Pirates, Astros, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Padres, Diamondbacks.

Next, it'd have to be with a club that could afford his potential FA price tag.  Based on the last winter FA signings of LFs Jason Bay and Matt Holliday, we can expect a deal about in their range. Holliday's 7/119 is not gonna happen, so Bay is probably closer at 4/66.  Let's assume a 5/80 deal, for about $16M a year.  A high price contract like this will eliminate the Orioles, Twins, Marlins, Brewers, Dodgers(as it stands now with the owners).

Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles, White Sox, Tigers, Twins, Royals, Indians, Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics, Phillies, Mets, Marlins, Braves, Nationals, Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, Brewers, Pirates, Astros, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Padres, Diamondbacks.

Now, which teams remaining have the LF spot open? Well, then this eliminates the Mets, Cardinals, Cubs are all locked into long/big money at LF.

Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles, White Sox, Tigers, Twins, Royals, Indians, Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics, Phillies, Mets, Marlins, Braves, Nationals, Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, Brewers, Pirates, Astros, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Padres, Diamondbacks.

So, lets look at the remaining teams-Yankees, Red Sox, White Sox, Tigers, Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics, Phillies, Braves, Rockies, Giants, Diamondbacks.

The Phillies are likely out of it, with Werth a bigger priority to retain and they have Ibanez another year.

Athletics could be in the race, but not a very likely spot now.

The Angels currently have Juan Rivera in LF, but will be a FA in 2012, it is possible he could be moved to another OF spot or DH and they can sign Crawford if they have enough money.

The White Sox will have a spot in LF, and have money coming off the books to afford a 5/80 deal-a team to watch out for.

Braves even though in need of offense, have Cabera, Diaz, and Heyward that can be ready to play, plus have a lot of money commited already to other players.

Red Sox are always a big target for potential FAs, but with Ellsbury currently on the team and with some OF prospects already, it's not a very likely possibility for him, unless they make a trade for A-Gon.

Tigers have a ton of expiring contracts and need a good LF, could be a place for him

Rangers have a need, but it is unlikely to be signed as they just came out of a sale and will likely need the money elsewhere.

Mariners-He's a player that fits that system perfectly, speed, defense, with a good bat, and they could have the money and place for him to play-could definitely be a possibility.

Rockies don't have money likely and they have other options-don't expect them to sign

Giants are in need of offense, and have a place for Crawford, would be on the watch for them to try for him.

Diamondbacks have an outfield position available, but with Chris Young already signed and Upton soon starting Arb, they may need all the money they can save for other players, especially with pitching.

And the big one...

The Yankees...

Everything done this past year sets up to have a chance to sign Crawford.  They have the available money, need, place, and talent.  With all the deals only signed at 1 year and Granderson locked into Center at worse, a very scary possibility.  Only way it wouldn't happen is if someone else got moved to LF instead.

 

Overall-the Yankees, Mariners, Giants, White Sox and Tigers are the best fits currently as things stand.

This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.

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