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Around SBN: Africa Cup Of Nations Semifinal: Black Stars Ripe For Upset?

Notes on Heath Phillips and Jason Bartlett



Per Baseball America, the Rays have signed Heath Phillips, age 27,  to a minor league deal. The big left-hander made a brief stop in Durham in 2008, before signing with the Royals AAA-affiliate this past year. Phillips has generated over 50% ground balls each of the past two seasons, while improving i his K% from 13.6% to 17.3%. Working exclusively as a starter (25 starts) with the Royals, Phillips posted a FIP of 3.80. His whiff rate also climbed to a career best 10.6%.

Harry Pavlidis did some pitch f/x analysis of Phillips after the 2008 season which can be found at Beyond the Boxscore. He features 4 pitches (fastball, curve, change, and slider) which he throws to hitters of both handedness a la J.P. Howell. His fastball tops out in the high 80's.

The 6'3" Phillips has seen his weight balloon  from 205 to 280 in recent years, He has been pitching in the Dominican Winter League for Leones Del Escogido. Phillips will probably be a candidate to round out the Durham rotation alongside Jeremy Hellickson, Andy Sonnanstine, Carlos Hernandez, and Jason Cromer with an outside possibility of some bullpen work in Tampa Bay at some point.  

Per John Sickels:

   Listed at 6-3, 280, and he looks it.. . .scouts would likely hate his conditioning level. 5.47 with a 90/39 K/BB in 125 innings this year, 154 hits allowed. He pitched well in this contest, throwing eight shutout innings with seven hits and five strikeouts. Fastball was 85-88 MPH, but he mixed in a slider, a softer curveball, and a decent changeup, keeping the hitters off-balance. His stuff sinks well and he collects grounders. His data shows a very sharp home/road split, 3.11 ERA with 46/15 K/BB in 67 innings in Omaha, 8.18 ERA with 44/24 K/BB in 58 innings on the road, 85 hits allowed. He is likely just a Triple-A inning-eater for the next ten years, but teams will always have room for guys like that.

 

As for Jason Bartlett:

Star-divide

I get it. DRB has probably not celebrated the 2009 campaign put together by Jason Bartlett to the extent it deserved. Such is life when you need to sell assets at the high point. Nonetheless, by all appearances Bartlett will be back with the Rays in 2010 at a very attractive price tag of $4 million. Was his 2009 fluky to some degree? Sure, but there were several encouraging signs beyond the inflated LD% and BABIP. So here's to you Jason Bartlett:

Power Increase: Per hittrackeronline.com, Jason Bartlett hit the 5 longest home runs of his career in 2009, topping out at 428. Sure home runs can be lucky, and rates can be inflated, but to hit the 5 longest balls in your career isn't lucking out on short porches.

BB%: - 9.8%, the highest of his career. For comparison the 2008 MVB campaign featured a 4.5% BB%. This number climbed steadily all season, some credit due to pitcher respect.

Improved Plate Discipline: His O-Swing% dropped from 26.3% to 20.9% year-over-year. He also was more selective in the zone. Interestingly enough, his contact rate was a career low 82.4%, down both in and out of the zone. Who else had his lowest career contact % in 2009 despite good discipline? Ben Zobrist. This leads me to believe that indeed Jason Bartlett changed his approach at the plate in 2009 with good results.

It would be unfair to argue that Bartlett will repeat 2009. His BABIP and line drive % are way to high. However, if he can maintain his discipline, and less slappy ways, another very good season could certainly be in the cards for MVB.

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Who told these guys not to swing hard in the first place?

Heath Phillips sounds like a good guy to sit down and have a beer and 7 or 8 hamburgers with. Wormburners FTW!

Be peaceful, be courteous, obey the law, respect everyone; but if someone puts his hand on you, send him to the cemetery.

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Feb 3, 2010 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

Fake Bunts FTW

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2010 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

What's the potential that (in addition to his adjusted swing) that he might just be a high-BABIP guy?

I mean, .360 is pretty far-fetched, but maybe .340 or .350?

If ‘07 doesn’t start so low, maybe he gets a career .345 to .350 BABIP?

on Twitter @CubsStats23

by BWoodrum on Feb 3, 2010 12:58 PM EST reply actions  

He's a LD hitter.

Last year was just excessive. He’s never been a bad player, and has made some nice improvements to his offensive game. I hope the discipline sticks. Really very similar approach change to Zobie.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2010 1:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I point you towards this, good sir

http://www.draysbay.com/2010/1/8/1238972/xbabip-adjusted-lines-for-rays

Even if you strip out his luck he was about a 3 WAR player. Well worth 4M.

Be peaceful, be courteous, obey the law, respect everyone; but if someone puts his hand on you, send him to the cemetery.

by Andy Hellicksonstine on Feb 3, 2010 1:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I suppose the Zobrist-Bartlett swing less, make less contact, walk more is the Anti-Navi

Navi swung at a career high 28.4% pitches out of the zone, and a career high 49.5% overall. He proceeded to walk a career low and make a lot ton crappy contact (2nd highest contact rt of career)

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2010 1:27 PM EST reply actions  

One more note on Phillips

In Spring of 2008, Phillips was on the hill for the Yanks in Spring Training when he bonked Longoria in the chest with a pitch in the 1st inning. He was ejected. The following inning was Shelly Duncan’s infamous spiking of Aki followed by some Gomes’ Brawlfense.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2010 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

Listed at 6-3, 280, and he looks it.....He is likely just a Triple-A inning-eater

I guess innings is just a verbal synonym for donuts.

I miss George Steinbrenner. He was the man responsible for keeping the Yankees competitive.

by kericr on Feb 3, 2010 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

When the Rays are openly telling you they aren't interested in long-term talks...

That says quite a bit about how legitimate they feel his “improvements” are.

by R.J. Anderson on Feb 3, 2010 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

When they don't hesistate at giving him four millions dollars when they could play reid brignac instead

that says quite a but about how legitimate they feel his improvements are. Long term contracts to older shortstops aren’t a good idea. That doesn’t mean he hasn’t actually improved his approach at the plate and will be a better hitter going forward for the next couple years. If they thought he hadn’t improved he would of been traded and Brignac would be starting.

by RaysTheRoof on Feb 3, 2010 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

You are correct my friend

a long term deal in his case would probably see a $8-10 mm dollar year guaranteed in there somewhere, that we don’t need

by sternfan1 on Feb 3, 2010 6:15 PM EST up reply actions  

It means that Bartlett - $4M wasn't < Brignac + $4M + return on Bartlett

Plus, if they’re going all in for 2010, and they are, then Bartlett makes more sense than Brignac.

by R.J. Anderson on Feb 3, 2010 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

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