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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Series Preview: 4/20-4/22 Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox

All games start at 8:10 EST

4/20 David Price vs John Danks

4/21 Wade Davis vs. Mark Buehrle

4/22 James Shields vs. Jake Peavy

The White Sox are an odd team, with a roster that's a combination of old, declining players and young up-and-coming talent. Carlos Quentin, Gordon Beckham, and Alexei Ramirez form the core of their line-up and should be valuable players for years to come, with Alex Rios pushing his way onto that list by proving that last season's abysmal performance was largely a BABIP fluke. Surrounding this core, though, is a group of aging veterans that really shouldn't be seeing the light of day. Juan Pierre, Mark Teahen, A.J. Pierzynski, and Andruw Jones are all players well past their peaks, while Paul Konerko is far from useless (projected .360 wOBA) but is not the slugger he used to be either.

More after the jump.

Star-divide

Any offense that bats Juan Pierre at lead-off is going to have some trouble scoring runs, but the White Sox have also gotten unlucky so far this season. The White Sox offense has really been struggling with a team wOBA of .308 largely fueled by a BABIP of .228. The White Sox may have a bad offense, but it's not this bad; they will regress at some point, but hopefully it's not this series. The Sox offense continues to be built around the long ball and to no surprise they are second in the American League in home runs with 16. The lone bright spot for the Sox offense has been free agent acquisition Andruw Jones with a wOBA of .463 and three home runs.* It's not much, but the Sox need all the offense they can get right now.

*What's with baseball so far this season? Andruw Jones, Vernon Wells, and Jose Guillen all decided to start hitting home runs again? This feels like something out of 2003.

The real strength for the Sox, though, is their pitching staff. To date, their staff has the second lowest FIP in the American League at 3.49. Leading the charge is John Danks, who is off to a fantastic start (2.10 FIP, 3.0 K/BB), and he's supported by four quality starters: Mark Buehrle (projected 4.12 FIP), Jake Peavy (proj, 3.91 FIP), Gavin Floyd (proj, 4.33 FIP), and Freddy Garcia (proj, 4.57 FIP). This rotation has high upside, but also features some big question mark: Jake Peavy carries a significant injury concern, while Freddy Garcia hasn't pitched over 60 innings in the majors since 2006. Gavin Floyd took a large step forward last season and Buehrle is one of the most underrated above-average pitchers around, so a healthy and effective Peavy would make this rotation an absolute beast one through four. Thankfully Peavy hasn't hit his groove yet (5.92 FIP, 1.5 K/BB), so the Rays might get off easy.

Questions for the Series:

  • How will the Rays fare against the two lefties, Danks and Buehrle? I think 2008 is impressed too strongly in our memories; yes, the Rays were bad against lefties that season, but why should they be that way now? Three of our best hitters are Longoria, Upton, and Zobrist; Bartlett is also much better against lefties than against righties. If the Rays struggle against these two, it's most likely because they're good pitchers, not because the Rays stink against lefties.
  • Will Pat Burrell continue his offensive surge? Pat looked good against Boston and finally got some good results, but he's still got a long way to go before he's out of the woods.
  • How will Zobrist perform? Zorilla has yet to record his first home run and his approach at the plate has gotten sloppier than last season. Sooner or later he's bound to fix things; the question, though, is how soon.
  • Will David Price continue his dominance? In his first two starts, Price has looked ready to crank his performance level up a few notches, which would obviously be a huge boon for the Rays. If Price becomes a 4 WAR pitchers alongside Shields (and/or Garza becomes a 5 WAR pitcher), the Rays...well, that'd be pretty awesome.

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An early morning game feels like a day off.

I’m baseball deprived and now I have to wait till 8:10?! This is bullshit. Who wants to riot?

by kurby on Apr 20, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

The President of the Rockies died today

http://www.purplerow.com/2010/4/20/1432739/colorado-rockies-team-president

Please keep him in your thoughts. He was found dead in a hotel room in Salt Lake City. It appears to have been natural causes.

Now blogging on the OTHER sports in Orlando: http://www.sportcluborlando.com

by Orlando Rays on Apr 20, 2010 2:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Don't feel great about this series.

RIP Andy Hellicksonstine. He died, like so many young men of his generation, he died before his time. In your wisdom, SBN, you took him, as you took so many bright flowering young men at the OTTOTD. These young men gave their lives. And so would Andy. Andy, who loved trannies.

by PlayOnWords on Apr 20, 2010 2:32 PM EDT reply actions  

I feel the same way

I could see our bats struggling vs Danks and Buehrle

by Sveet on Apr 20, 2010 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

8:10 EST

That sucks. Nice preview though Steve, looking forward to seeing how we close out the road trip.

As you can always expect come from behind victory is when you least expect it.

by Buc Wild on Apr 20, 2010 2:33 PM EDT reply actions  

So I take it today's lineup will look like...?

SS Bartlett
LF Crawford
2B Zobrist
3B Longoria
1B Pena
CF Upton
DH Burrell
C Navarro
RF Kapler

by AFBlue82 on Apr 20, 2010 2:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Sox Lineup

Pierre lf
Beckham 2b
Quentin rf
Konerko 1b
Jones dh
Pierzynski c
Rios cf
Teahen 3b
Ramirez ss
Danks p

by jlmccal2 on Apr 20, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm down . . .

. . . for sweeping a few more Sox, for sure! Nice preview.

by Paul Mueller on Apr 20, 2010 2:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Teahan's 28.

He’s 16 days older than Ramirez, and he’s a year younger than Rios. Quintin’s an old 27.

by rglass44 on Apr 20, 2010 2:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Hmm...for some reason he felt older inmy mind.

I should have just grouped by talent rather than age.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

The Rios comment

“proving that last season’s abysmal performance was largely a BABIP fluke”?

Guh? He also walked less, K’d more, and hit for less power. Also, a .770 OPS after 2 weeks is hardly something to write home about. Buh.

by Lurch's Lobbyists on Apr 20, 2010 2:56 PM EDT reply actions  

And all those things are rebounding so far this year.

My theory is that he felt in a slump due to babip un-luckiness, so he pressed and screwed up his approach. I know it’s early, but I like his chances at a nice bounce-back year. But that’s just my opinion.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:51 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

No worries

Will be interesting to see how he turns out. I’m not optimistic…

by Lurch's Lobbyists on Apr 20, 2010 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

How far is A.J. Pierzynski really past his "peak"?

His wOBA last year is in line with his career norms.

by kurby on Apr 20, 2010 2:57 PM EDT reply actions  

If you look at his peak wOBA years, though, aj is far removed from them.

His projections this year also aren’t great. He’s not horrible since he’s a catcher, but he’s nothing to get excited about.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:53 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I hope someone knocks Pierzynski past his peak

He doesn’t quite irk me like Papelbon, but it’s pretty close.

I like pie

by ramedy on Apr 20, 2010 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

TV heads up for 4/20!

heads up Tuesday’s game (4/20) will air on FOX Sports Florida in South Florida, not Sun Sports, due to HEAT playoff game. It’ll still air on Sun Sports in N/Cent FL. And on satellite, it’ll be on DirecTV Ch. 654 (FS Fla) and DISH Network Ch. 423 (FS Fla).

by askus on Apr 20, 2010 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

One of the better previews I've seen from the opposition

well done.

"Anywhere white people are poor, I'm afraid to go" Lawrence Holmes 670 the Score

by Tdogg on Apr 20, 2010 3:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Alexei Ramirez

Love watching him play for some reason.

by SRQman on Apr 20, 2010 3:20 PM EDT reply actions  

It could be his terrible defense

How is Beckman doing at 2B? I thought he made a good 3B but he got moved and I believe he still hasn’t played 1 game at the position he was drafted as, SS.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, typo there, my bad.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Uh oh, prepare yourself

Bad hitters like to do well against us sometimes.

Danks has 1 bad quality and we have to exploit it, the guy does not last deep into games usually, he usually goes about 6 innings so I really hope we don’t let him get a CG.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 3:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh, I forgot

Shouldn’t we predict in what way AJ will cheat this series? To make it easy, the question is just on offense or on defense. I say offense, him doing something like interfering on a steal attempt by them and it not being called.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also, this was a tag team effort.

Thanks to freezo for a lot of the research.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:57 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Playa Please

I put together a rough sketch of a preview late last night in for emergency use only and the Professor painted a masterpiece out of my scribble

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Apr 20, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm guessing we see some Aybar in one of these first two games

because of his bat vs LHP

I just hope it’s not in the field. I can’t take watching his terrible D

by Sveet on Apr 20, 2010 4:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I refuse to watch him at 2B

Especially this season when we have Brignac, Rodriguez and Zobrist on the team. I also don’t like his height for 1B. I guess he can play 3B but I will miss Longoria too much. Perhaps they gave Pat a day off and we see him DH?

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Didn't he also say at one point Choate wouldn't face righties?

If so, it better be only because JP is hurt ATM

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, Maddon....

Well I KNOW he said Pat wont play the field

I really hope that’s true.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes.

Hopefully he can get out of this.

by SRQman on Apr 20, 2010 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

He will

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Apr 20, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's nice he isn't being completley useless though

Not sure where his power went but he is still clutch and has had gold glove defense.

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

He will

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Apr 20, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

thus far

BOSSMAN is ISOPing .304 and BABIPing .219 …. <3 <3 <3 . his avg will climb back up, his OBP will climb as a result, and his shoulder is healed. meaning the power is here to stay

by daveh33 on Apr 20, 2010 4:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Does anyone know how I can open a file that is in Microsoft Works format without downloading anything to do so?

I’m at work so I can’t DL on my computer.

Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.

by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Will be at the game tonight, woohoo

Still hoping my friend doesn’t chicken out on a beer bet. And that Price dominates.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Apr 20, 2010 4:40 PM EDT reply actions  

It definitely is

It seems to get a bad rap because it was built before the whole Camden yards retro phase, but I thought it was a great stadium.

by Sveet on Apr 20, 2010 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think ya' got that backward…

Camden Yards opened in 1992, and U.S. Cellular in 2003. Reverse retro perhaps?

by raiseHell on Apr 20, 2010 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

US Cell first opened before Camden

It underwent a major renovation though. Maybe that’s where you got 2003 from.

by Tankas on Apr 20, 2010 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah I like it a lot

Better than stinky ol’ Wrigley…haha

The perspective from the upper deck further along the foul lines seemed pretty weird to me, but I’ll be behind home plate, which is a nice view even from high up. Also sat in the OF before, those were really nice too.

by ChiBurbRaysFan on Apr 20, 2010 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wish we had Shoppach right now

This would be an awesome series for him

PIZZA?!?

by Transplanted on Apr 20, 2010 4:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, it would

But Navarro can actually hit lefties. Jaso better start against Peavy!

Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!

by joeybw on Apr 20, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is probably the most positive outlook on the WSox I've read

but nothing can overcome a sweep by the Indians right now. So…..How bout that Matt Garza?

Good Guys Don't use the reply button

by stanleygoober on Apr 20, 2010 7:09 PM EDT reply actions  

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