Series Preview: 4/20-4/22 Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox
All games start at 8:10 EST
4/20 David Price vs John Danks
4/21 Wade Davis vs. Mark Buehrle
4/22 James Shields vs. Jake Peavy
The White Sox are an odd team, with a roster that's a combination of old, declining players and young up-and-coming talent. Carlos Quentin, Gordon Beckham, and Alexei Ramirez form the core of their line-up and should be valuable players for years to come, with Alex Rios pushing his way onto that list by proving that last season's abysmal performance was largely a BABIP fluke. Surrounding this core, though, is a group of aging veterans that really shouldn't be seeing the light of day. Juan Pierre, Mark Teahen, A.J. Pierzynski, and Andruw Jones are all players well past their peaks, while Paul Konerko is far from useless (projected .360 wOBA) but is not the slugger he used to be either.
More after the jump.
Any offense that bats Juan Pierre at lead-off is going to have some trouble scoring runs, but the White Sox have also gotten unlucky so far this season. The White Sox offense has really been struggling with a team wOBA of .308 largely fueled by a BABIP of .228. The White Sox may have a bad offense, but it's not this bad; they will regress at some point, but hopefully it's not this series. The Sox offense continues to be built around the long ball and to no surprise they are second in the American League in home runs with 16. The lone bright spot for the Sox offense has been free agent acquisition Andruw Jones with a wOBA of .463 and three home runs.* It's not much, but the Sox need all the offense they can get right now.
*What's with baseball so far this season? Andruw Jones, Vernon Wells, and Jose Guillen all decided to start hitting home runs again? This feels like something out of 2003.
The real strength for the Sox, though, is their pitching staff. To date, their staff has the second lowest FIP in the American League at 3.49. Leading the charge is John Danks, who is off to a fantastic start (2.10 FIP, 3.0 K/BB), and he's supported by four quality starters: Mark Buehrle (projected 4.12 FIP), Jake Peavy (proj, 3.91 FIP), Gavin Floyd (proj, 4.33 FIP), and Freddy Garcia (proj, 4.57 FIP). This rotation has high upside, but also features some big question mark: Jake Peavy carries a significant injury concern, while Freddy Garcia hasn't pitched over 60 innings in the majors since 2006. Gavin Floyd took a large step forward last season and Buehrle is one of the most underrated above-average pitchers around, so a healthy and effective Peavy would make this rotation an absolute beast one through four. Thankfully Peavy hasn't hit his groove yet (5.92 FIP, 1.5 K/BB), so the Rays might get off easy.
Questions for the Series:
- How will the Rays fare against the two lefties, Danks and Buehrle? I think 2008 is impressed too strongly in our memories; yes, the Rays were bad against lefties that season, but why should they be that way now? Three of our best hitters are Longoria, Upton, and Zobrist; Bartlett is also much better against lefties than against righties. If the Rays struggle against these two, it's most likely because they're good pitchers, not because the Rays stink against lefties.
- Will Pat Burrell continue his offensive surge? Pat looked good against Boston and finally got some good results, but he's still got a long way to go before he's out of the woods.
- How will Zobrist perform? Zorilla has yet to record his first home run and his approach at the plate has gotten sloppier than last season. Sooner or later he's bound to fix things; the question, though, is how soon.
- Will David Price continue his dominance? In his first two starts, Price has looked ready to crank his performance level up a few notches, which would obviously be a huge boon for the Rays. If Price becomes a 4 WAR pitchers alongside Shields (and/or Garza becomes a 5 WAR pitcher), the Rays...well, that'd be pretty awesome.
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An early morning game feels like a day off.
I’m baseball deprived and now I have to wait till 8:10?! This is bullshit. Who wants to riot?
The President of the Rockies died today
http://www.purplerow.com/2010/4/20/1432739/colorado-rockies-team-president
Please keep him in your thoughts. He was found dead in a hotel room in Salt Lake City. It appears to have been natural causes.
Now blogging on the OTHER sports in Orlando: http://www.sportcluborlando.com
Don't feel great about this series.
RIP Andy Hellicksonstine. He died, like so many young men of his generation, he died before his time. In your wisdom, SBN, you took him, as you took so many bright flowering young men at the OTTOTD. These young men gave their lives. And so would Andy. Andy, who loved trannies.
8:10 EST
That sucks. Nice preview though Steve, looking forward to seeing how we close out the road trip.
As you can always expect come from behind victory is when you least expect it.
So I take it today's lineup will look like...?
SS Bartlett
LF Crawford
2B Zobrist
3B Longoria
1B Pena
CF Upton
DH Burrell
C Navarro
RF Kapler
Sox Lineup
Pierre lf
Beckham 2b
Quentin rf
Konerko 1b
Jones dh
Pierzynski c
Rios cf
Teahen 3b
Ramirez ss
Danks p
Teahan's 28.
He’s 16 days older than Ramirez, and he’s a year younger than Rios. Quintin’s an old 27.
Hmm...for some reason he felt older inmy mind.
I should have just grouped by talent rather than age.
I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.
by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
The Rios comment
“proving that last season’s abysmal performance was largely a BABIP fluke”?
Guh? He also walked less, K’d more, and hit for less power. Also, a .770 OPS after 2 weeks is hardly something to write home about. Buh.
by Lurch's Lobbyists on Apr 20, 2010 2:56 PM EDT reply actions
And all those things are rebounding so far this year.
My theory is that he felt in a slump due to babip un-luckiness, so he pressed and screwed up his approach. I know it’s early, but I like his chances at a nice bounce-back year. But that’s just my opinion.
I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.
by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:51 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
No worries
Will be interesting to see how he turns out. I’m not optimistic…
by Lurch's Lobbyists on Apr 20, 2010 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions
How far is A.J. Pierzynski really past his "peak"?
His wOBA last year is in line with his career norms.
If you look at his peak wOBA years, though, aj is far removed from them.
His projections this year also aren’t great. He’s not horrible since he’s a catcher, but he’s nothing to get excited about.
I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.
by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:53 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I hope someone knocks Pierzynski past his peak
He doesn’t quite irk me like Papelbon, but it’s pretty close.
I like pie
If S-Rod isn't ever going to start vs LHP, he may as well be in Durham
Setting the guy up for failure.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
If Kapler weren't around
Rodriguez would get the starts against lefties at 2B. The only other scenario that works is if Crawford or Zobrist get a day off versus a lefty and you play both Kapler and Rodriguez.
I'd not be surprised to see Zobrist get a day off soon
Unless his hitting picks up
PIZZA?!?
by Transplanted on Apr 20, 2010 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions
sure, but the implication is that somehow Rodriguez is somehow more valuable than Kapler, which he is not.
Guess I read the original comment differently
I took FreeZo as saying that if Rodriguez weren’t going to get meaningful ABs, espeically where it made sense (against LHP) then he’s better off getting regular ABs in AAA.
I don't care how regularly he plays so much as that he's not fed solely to righties as he mostly has been
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
He probably needss to go back to Durham to bone up on his plate discipline
Or swing, he’s barely swinging
PIZZA?!?
by Transplanted on Apr 20, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions
TV heads up for 4/20!
heads up Tuesday’s game (4/20) will air on FOX Sports Florida in South Florida, not Sun Sports, due to HEAT playoff game. It’ll still air on Sun Sports in N/Cent FL. And on satellite, it’ll be on DirecTV Ch. 654 (FS Fla) and DISH Network Ch. 423 (FS Fla).
One of the better previews I've seen from the opposition
well done.
"Anywhere white people are poor, I'm afraid to go" Lawrence Holmes 670 the Score
It could be his terrible defense
How is Beckman doing at 2B? I thought he made a good 3B but he got moved and I believe he still hasn’t played 1 game at the position he was drafted as, SS.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Yeah, typo there, my bad.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Uh oh, prepare yourself
Bad hitters like to do well against us sometimes.
Danks has 1 bad quality and we have to exploit it, the guy does not last deep into games usually, he usually goes about 6 innings so I really hope we don’t let him get a CG.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Oh, I forgot
Shouldn’t we predict in what way AJ will cheat this series? To make it easy, the question is just on offense or on defense. I say offense, him doing something like interfering on a steal attempt by them and it not being called.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Also, this was a tag team effort.
Thanks to freezo for a lot of the research.
I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.
by Steve Slowinski on Apr 20, 2010 3:57 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Playa Please
I put together a rough sketch of a preview late last night in for emergency use only and the Professor painted a masterpiece out of my scribble
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
I'm guessing we see some Aybar in one of these first two games
because of his bat vs LHP
I just hope it’s not in the field. I can’t take watching his terrible D
I refuse to watch him at 2B
Especially this season when we have Brignac, Rodriguez and Zobrist on the team. I also don’t like his height for 1B. I guess he can play 3B but I will miss Longoria too much. Perhaps they gave Pat a day off and we see him DH?
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Didn't he also say at one point Choate wouldn't face righties?
If so, it better be only because JP is hurt ATM
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Oh, Maddon....
Well I KNOW he said Pat wont play the field
I really hope that’s true.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
Blah, blah the plate discipline has always been there
The power numbers have been there for two season and this Spring. He’s tied for the team lead in 2B/3B at 5 with CC.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
It's nice he isn't being completley useless though
Not sure where his power went but he is still clutch and has had gold glove defense.
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
thus far
BOSSMAN is ISOPing .304 and BABIPing .219 …. <3 <3 <3 . his avg will climb back up, his OBP will climb as a result, and his shoulder is healed. meaning the power is here to stay
Sick nasty! .285/.400/.550 hear we come!
Tools Whore
Does anyone know how I can open a file that is in Microsoft Works format without downloading anything to do so?
I’m at work so I can’t DL on my computer.
Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:18 PM EDT reply actions
it gave me a list of programs to choose from and I clicked on adobe reader now I don't know how to get that list again.
Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions
I did, automatically goes to Adobe.
Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions
it allows me to right click and choose "open" but no choose program.
Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Also, who the hell uses Works anymore?
Who's that peaking through my window? POW. Nobody now.
by PriceMultiCyYoungs on Apr 20, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions
google docs would only work if you had the addon for IE or FF that is called openITonline
Lets go Bobcats. 2010 Playoffs!
Will be at the game tonight, woohoo
Still hoping my friend doesn’t chicken out on a beer bet. And that Price dominates.
It definitely is
It seems to get a bad rap because it was built before the whole Camden yards retro phase, but I thought it was a great stadium.
I think ya' got that backward…
Camden Yards opened in 1992, and U.S. Cellular in 2003. Reverse retro perhaps?
US Cell first opened before Camden
It underwent a major renovation though. Maybe that’s where you got 2003 from.
Yeah I like it a lot
Better than stinky ol’ Wrigley…haha
The perspective from the upper deck further along the foul lines seemed pretty weird to me, but I’ll be behind home plate, which is a nice view even from high up. Also sat in the OF before, those were really nice too.
by ChiBurbRaysFan on Apr 20, 2010 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, it would
But Navarro can actually hit lefties. Jaso better start against Peavy!
Fire and Ice: Rafael Soriano and J.P Howell.......with their side kick Grant the aussie Balfour!
This is probably the most positive outlook on the WSox I've read
but nothing can overcome a sweep by the Indians right now. So…..How bout that Matt Garza?
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