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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Series Preview: Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

This is our first two-game series of the week. Both games are scheduled for 7:05 PM starts. 

Tuesday, 4/27: RHP Ben Sheets vs. RHP Wade Davis

Wednesday, 4/28: LHP Dallas Braden vs. RHP James Shields

This Oakland team doesn't scare me on paper, but it's hard to argue with their results so far this season. Projected to be a .500 club (by CHONE, at least), the A's are currently playing much better than that, sporting one of the best run differentials in the majors (+27). How they're managing to do this...well, I really don't know. Their offense has scored only four less runs than the Yankees, yet their team wOBA (Weighted On-base Average) is an anemic .313. They've hit a total of 12 home runs all season and the middle of their line-up consists of Ryan Sweeney (.337 wOBA), Kurt Suzuki (.331 wOBA), and Eric Chavez (.313 wOBA). Not exactly an awe-inspiring combination there.

With a lackluster offense, their team strength has been run prevention. Their pitchers have posted a team 3.60 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), 5th best in the majors, and they've managed to outperform that FIP by .67 runs. Their defense has rated around average so far this season (-1.9 UZR; +6 DRS), and my guess is this improves as the season progresses. In particular, their outfield is going to be tough to beat - Gabe Gross, Ryan Sweeney, and Rajai Davis make for a formidable defensive trio.

More after the jump.

Star-divide

Questions for the Series:

  • Will Dallas Braden lose his mind yet again? It'd be fun to see him throw another tantrum, but at the same time I don't want the Rays to get involved with that mess.
  • How will James Shields pitch in the 1st inning? He started off his last start very slow but managed to buckle down and throw seven innings. I'd love to see him have better control from the beginning, though.
  • Will Lobaton actually get in a game? I'd like to see him get an at-bat for his cup of coffee in the majors, but I don't know if that's likely to happen. 
  • This isn't a question, but it'll be nice to see Gabe Gross again.

Series Projection:

Using Steve Sommer's new series simulator tool, the Rays project as having a 61.9% chance of winning the first game and a 64.7% chance of winning the second. Overall, that gives them an 86% chance of winning at least one game in the series, a 40% chance of sweeping, and a 14% chance of getting swept.

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Do we get BA or Cookie Air Mashal Catcher tonight?

"Hot Tub Time Machine might be the best movie ever!" -Nobody on Earth

by Passionate Apathy on Apr 27, 2010 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Dallas Braden pitching in this series

Word of advice to the Rays: Don’t step on his mound!

by FloridaownsFSU on Apr 27, 2010 3:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Lineup

Has the lineup been announced yet?

by GeauxRays on Apr 27, 2010 3:55 PM EDT reply actions  

.
SPTimesRays
  
#Rays lineup: Bartlett ss, Crawford lf, Zobrist rf, Longoria 3b, Pena 1b, Upton cf, Burrell dh, Jaso c, Brignac 2b, Davis p

by SRQman on Apr 27, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

wooo! Jaso

 and briggy

Lets go Bobcats. 2010 Playoffs!

by raysfan81 on Apr 27, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully with a decent lead Maddon will bring in the defensive replacement at catcher.

Though I guess he has big league ABs, it’s still nice to see the guys up get a shot.

by rglass44 on Apr 27, 2010 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

No matt holiday

Or Joe Nelson.

Jun @TheRayTank

by Jun on Apr 27, 2010 4:45 PM EDT reply actions  

or brett anderson

RIP Andy Hellicksonstine. He died, like so many young men of his generation, he died before his time. In your wisdom, SBN, you took him, as you took so many bright flowering young men at the OTTOTD. These young men gave their lives. And so would Andy. Andy, who loved trannies.

by PlayOnWords on Apr 27, 2010 5:10 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

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