Tropicana True Homerun Distances
In response to some confusing numbers in a thread earlier today about Evan Longoria's moonshot last night I did some research using HitTracker's True Homerun distance calculator.
Today the Times reported this:
Evan Longoria's sixth-inning homer was just the second to land in the upper deck (without hitting a catwalk) in Tropicana Field history. The first was by Vinny Castilla on April 4, 2001, which was estimated at a Trop-record 478 feet.
Longoria's blast was estimated at 473 feet, making it third longest. Jonny Gomes hit one 474 feet on July 9, 2005.
There are several things to note in this section.
First is the fact that Longoria's dinger last night was the second to ever reach the upper deck. This may be true because HitTracker only goes back as far as 2005. I can't disprove that part using HitTracker.
However, the notion that Longoria's homer was estimated at 473 feet seems erroneous. As pointed out in the thread earlier, HitTracker has Longo's bomb at a 420 foot True Distance. Nowhere near the 473 foot mark. The second part of this is according to HitTracker, Gomes' homer only recorded a 467 foot True Distance. Not the reported 474 feet.
Here is a list of the top 50 homers according to HitTracker and arranged by True Distance.
| Juan Miranda | 469 | 2009 |
| Jonny Gomes | 467 | 2005 |
| Gabe Gross | 466 | 2008 |
| Carlos Pena | 466 | 2009 |
| Hideki Matsui | 465 | 2007 |
| Manny Ramirez | 460 | 2006 |
| Carlos Pena | 459 | 2007 |
| Luke Scott | 456 | 2010 |
| Nick Swisher | 455 | 2007 |
| Travis Hafner | 454 | 2006 |
| Travis Hafner | 453 | 2006 |
| Ty Wigginton | 453 | 2007 |
| Carlos Pena | 451 | 2007 |
| Delmon Young | 451 | 2007 |
| Juan Rivera | 451 | 2008 |
| Robinson Cano | 451 | 2009 |
| Evan Longoria | 450 | 2009 |
| David Ortiz | 448 | 2005 |
| Alex Rodrigeuz | 448 | 2005 |
| Jonny Gomes | 447 | 2006 |
| Jonny Gomes | 446 | 2006 |
| Michael Cuddyer | 445 | 2009 |
| Taylor Teagarden | 445 | 2009 |
| David Ortiz | 444 | 2005 |
| Eduardo Perez | 444 | 2005 |
| Jonny Gomes | 444 | 2007 |
| Jim Thome | 444 | 2008 |
| Elijah Dukes | 443 | 2007 |
| Cliff Floyd | 443 | 2008 |
| Matt LeCroy | 442 | 2005 |
| Pat Burrell | 442 | 2009 |
| Carlos Pena | 441 | 2007 |
| Gabe Gross | 441 | 2008 |
| B.J. Upton* | 440 | 2008 |
| Jonny Gomes | 439 | 2007 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 439 | 2008 |
| Robinson Cano | 439 | 2008 |
| Jonny Gomes | 438 | 2007 |
| Justin Morneau | 437 | 2005 |
| Manny Ramirez | 437 | 2006 |
| Craig Monroe | 437 | 2007 |
| Carlos Quentin | 437 | 2009 |
| Matt Joyce | 437 | 2009 |
| Eduardo Perez | 436 | 2005 |
| Travis Hafner | 436 | 2007 |
| Nick Markakis | 436 | 2008 |
| David Ortiz | 436 | 2008 |
| Cliff Floyd | 436 | 2008 |
| Manny Ramirez | 435 | 2005 |
What is most interesting is that if we believe True Distance's estimate on Longoria's homer at 420 feet, Luke Scott's blast last night was a full 36 feet further putting it in the top 10 since 2005. In fact, there are 140 homers that rank above Longoria's homer last night in True Distance, 10 of which belong to Longoria himself.
This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.
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Scott's home run was a bomb too.
That one was like 30 rows deep in center-right. I can definitely see the number matching up there.
I was in that section.
It seemed to be almost to the back wall Thome-style.
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Apr 7, 2010 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions
He had so much grit, it was chaffing between his legs.
He ran to try to loosen some of it up so he’d be more comfortable.
What might have confused
any site that uses video “evidence” is that some fan in the picnic tables at the back of the left-field stands held an arm in the air as if he had caught the ball with a glove. The cameraman briefly zoomed in on him before the shot changed to Longoria circling the bases. Maybe the site calculated distance assuming that fan had caught the ball, which obviously wasn’t the case. An estimate of 420 ft. would be about right for where that fan was standing.
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A-Rod hit a bomb in 2008 that hit the back wall of the party deck.
The fact that it is not in this list calls it into question.
"I have a formula for excitability actually." - RJ Anderson
The fact that they say 140 HRs have been hit farther at the trop since 2005
then Longos HR last night proves that this list is in no way correct.
I’m not saying it went 470, but it definitely was one of the farthest balls I have seen hit there.
Scotts would fall in the same category for me.
Are the balls juiced again this year?
Maybe the "official" total is based on where it lands IRL as opposed to the hypothetical "true" landing.
Sign lady must die.
by EminenceFront on Apr 7, 2010 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions
These numbers are useless then
I mean isn’t the whole point of estimated HR distance to project how far it would have went if it didn’t hit anything
This is an outlier, their system is generally pretty good
I’ll shoot Greg an e-mail to see what kind of input he has.
"It's good to have a little cushion. But it's not going to be easy."
by Andy Hellicksonstine on Apr 7, 2010 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions

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