Rays Snap Losing Skid, Defeat Angels 7-2
As much as I was thrilled with the trade of Scott Kazmir last fall, it was still strange to see him wearing another team's uniform, pitching against the Rays. As weird as it was, he was still the enemy tonight, and the treated him as such. Even though the offense has been in a mini-slump the past few games of this road trip I was supremely confident they wouldn't struggle against Kazmir. He was his usual self, throwing 108 pitches through five innings, walking three while striking out just two. That is something Rays fans became all too familiar with over the latter half of his tenure with the team. As newly elected Prime Minister of England, Dave Cameron, noted about Kazmir on Twitter during the 4th inning "He's perma-broken. He's never going to be good again." It's getting harder and harder to refute a claim like that.
Kazmir's pitching counterpart, Jeff Niemann, fared much better in his outing. The Big Nyquil went 7.1 IP, allowing six hits, two earned runs, and two walks while striking out four. He didn't even allow a man to reach third base in his time on the mound. The two earned runs are not necessarily all his fault, as Lance Cormier and Randy Choate failed to retire the three batters they faced. A big factor in Niemann's success on the evening was his ever improving curveball. While his fastball still has the highest Pitch Type Value of any of his offerings at 4.6 according to FanGraphs, the curveball is not far behind at 3.4. On the night, Niemann threw 24 curveballs and got a strike on 18 of them. That's 75%. Granted, only two were swining strikes, but he keep hitters off balance enough with his fastball that the curve came as a surprise most of the time, resulting in a lot of called strikes. While Niemann's K/9 isn't where you'd like to see it - just 5.94 coming into the game - he's been a very reliable 4th starter for the team this year. Some regression should be expected, seeing as how his ERA coming into the game was 2.23 while his xFIPwas 4.60, but I'm more than satisfied with his performance thus far.
The biggest situation of the game came in the 8th inning. As I mentioned above, Cormier and Choate failed to record any outs in their appearances, allowing two runs to score and the bases to be loaded. Joe Maddon called upon Grant Balfour, the man who got saddled with the loss last night, to put out any potential fire. Balfour obliged by striking out Howie Kendrick and getting Michael Ryan to ground out to short stop. Had the Angels got an extra base hit, or even a couple of singles, in that situation the outcome of the game may have been very different.
It was nice to see the offense come alive again as well. Every member of the lineup reached base in some fashion, with Crawford picking up three hits and two steals and Longoria crushing a three run homer to deep center that really broke the game open. Some notes on the offense:
-It was funny that Sean Rodriguez picked up the Rays first hit of the night, seeing as how it was off the man he was traded for, Scott Kazmir.
-The top of the order was really strong. I mentioned Crawford and Longoria already, but Bartlett was 1-3 with 2 walks and 2 runs scored, and Zobrist was 1-3 with a walk, double and two runs scored.
-I'm guessing B.J. Upton was pretty tired (insert your 'lazy' joke here) after flying cross country for the second time in 24 hours. So his at bats tonight were excusable. However, the running catch he made early in the game to save a run was a thing of beauty.
-I know the team scored a run on the play, but I still don't like Zobrist squeeze bunting in the third inning.
Today's pitching matchup should be a gem to watch as David Price goes up against Jered Weaver. That is if I can stay awake for the whole thing...
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Do we know what perma-broke Kazmir?
Was it his natural build, his injury in 2008 or not getting prepared correctly by the old staff. Because it’s becoming increasing obvious that they knew he was broken and that’s why they instantly dumped him on LAA last year. 25M saved-thank you Friedman
PIZZA?!?
Do we have any good references on his work ethic?
I mean some guys you know are going to eventually fail. Anyone watching Dontrelle Willis’ mechanics could see that he couldn’t keep it up. If you told me back in 05 or 06 that Kaz would be playing for the Angels and postings these bad numbers and can’t throw a slider anymore I’m not very certain I would believe you.
Work Ethic could be a problem
But to have that kind of drop off, there’s gotta be another problem. He lost what 4mph on average off the fastball?
PIZZA?!?
by Transplanted on May 12, 2010 3:26 AM EDT up reply actions
You know some are saying his appearence at the All Star game tweaked his arm but
I don’t know if I believe that.
Go Rays!
1 inning in an all-star game should not make a difference
At least, that kind of difference
PIZZA?!?
by Transplanted on May 12, 2010 5:08 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, but I think he was talking about
the 90+ warm up pitches that Guillen had him throw before running him out there. I can’t believe how fast Kaz lost his slider, that thing used to be one of the prettiest pitches next to Shields’ change. It could be partly in his head and not being able to deal with having to pitch instead of throw.
agree about the slider
it wasn’t Steve Carlton’s but it certainly was Guidry-like. It seems to me the demise started when they tried moving him to the other side of the rubber. Kaz has been a headcase ever since. I also wonder why different pitching coaches (both Butcher & Hickey) have messed with the grip he uses. I know most pitchers throw a slider off the middle finger, but Kaz’s was so dynamic the way he was throwing it, why would you mess with it?
I think what made it so great is what broke him.
It seemed that as he battled injuries he’d get away from the slider (2008 for instance where he brought it back for the playoffs).
Also, Kaz’s slider, IMO, was the best pitch in the history of the franchise. Better than Shields’ change. That thing was amazing.
It seems to me that it started when a tear developed in his Ulna-Collateral Ligament
KK hates the Rays
That was literally the worst move the Rays FO has made since the new regime
Go Gators!!
by matthan on May 11, 2010 1:26 AM EDT
by Andy Hellicksonstine on May 12, 2010 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Medical Marijuana card
Kaz + Cali = increase in value of Funyons stock.
by staplemaniac on May 12, 2010 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions
I'm pleased that baseball is finally catching on overseas
Wouldn’t have been so if the Lib-Dems had won.
"Sooner or later, you're going to have #69 in your face." -Al Michaels
Hung Parliament, didn't you hear?
"Sooner or later, you're going to have #69 in your face." -Al Michaels
Niemann's strting to make believers out of all of us, even those waiting for his fly ball ratio demise
Nice to see Balfour redeem himself. Worried about BJ
Nice to win again
Let’s win the series
Did you see Jaso apologized to Balfour for the wild pitch?
The pitch was buried by design. So basically all Balfour was guilty of was allowing a single.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
"Today's pitching matchup should be a gem to watch as David Price goes up against Jered Weaver. That is if I can stay awake for the whole thing..."
7PM start today, you normally asleep by 9 or something?
Oh, it starts at 7pm eastern? I thought it was at 10 again?
by Erik Hahmann on May 12, 2010 7:33 AM EDT up reply actions
After all these 9pm starts, 7pm is going to feel like a day game.
I think the Rays have single-handedly obliterated my sleep schedule, which is fine — I guess — because I’m still taking finals.
from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
I'm predicting Burrell will be DFAd soon if the Blalock rumors are true
Since Aybar’s taking the swings v LHP, Blalock might be the better alternative v RH
Though the Rays will explore trade opportunities as well for Blalock
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
I say give Blalock a try
I was all for giving Burrell a shot but he stiill hasn’t done anything. Its about time for him to go
Ubuntu 10.04
Niemann just chugging along. He continues to impress while trudging along.
As you can always expect come from behind victory is when you least expect it.
I think a low BABIP might be more sustainable for a guy like Niemann than most other pitchers
With that extreme downward plane (due to his height) he may be able to get away with fewer strikeouts. The xFIP formula might not apply to him as it would to most pitchers. tRA of 3.18, tRA+ of 130 to this point
by staplemaniac on May 12, 2010 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions
I like that he frustrates the hell out of batters, he's unpredictable, and pitches like a man that's been around a lot longer
Nobody squares him up.
KK hates the Rays
That was literally the worst move the Rays FO has made since the new regime
Go Gators!!
by matthan on May 11, 2010 1:26 AM EDT
by Andy Hellicksonstine on May 12, 2010 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions
I was sure the Big Nyquil was going to be a bust as a draft pick
turns out he is the mark of consistency! I admit that my knowledge of sabermetrics is lacking, but all I see is this guy go out and put up good numbers every time out. I am aware of the dangers of “results based” analysis but the results seem to always be good.
Regressing to the mean streets of St. Pete
Well when you spend 4 years in the minors as a #1 draft pick
Then yeah….seems like a bust.
"Doesn't Manny Ramirez look like the monster from Predator??" - Will Farrell as Harry Carey
by Gone Phishing on May 12, 2010 9:01 AM EDT up reply actions
RICE
DRB: There is certainly good content, but other than that the behavior here is pretty poor; They are right, you are wrong. End of story.
This is supposed to be the less technical, more relaxed blog for cool kids.
by Top Gun Numba 1 on May 12, 2010 9:14 AM EDT up reply actions
Coach Graham eats elbows for breakfast. Slathered them all up with peanut butter.
But he gets you paid, so get over it Savery!
Tools Whore
This guy is not so thrilled with Upton lately(fantasy perspective)
B.J. Upton(notes) (OF), Tampa Bay
After enjoying a solid April, fantasy owners wondered if B.J. Upton was returning to his five-category ways. Like I tell my wedding ring-craving girlfriend time and time again: "Don’t hold your breath." Over his last nine games, Upton is hitting .197 with just one extra-base hit, and he hasn’t homered since April 19. As Sticky Fingaz once said, "B-B-B-But Wait It Gets Worse!" His 74.1 contact rate is as low as it has been in three years and his absurd 13.3 swinging strike percentage (SwStr%) is easily the worst mark of his career. With numbers that bad, it’s tough to see him improving much on his woeful .225 average. People talk about Upton’s power potential, but he’s only topped the .200 isolated power benchmark once in pro ball (minors included). The fact is, throughout his career he’s really been more of a 10-12 home run bat. The only constant in Upton’s game is his stolen base prowess, and that, coupled with his superb supporting cast, keeps him roster-worthy in all mixed leagues. Since speed is one of the most treasured commodities in fantasy, Upton’s owners would be wise to test the trade market rather than hold onto a player who has little shot of playing up to his draft day value.
Free Dan Johnson!
Oh my! His batting average over the last nine games is .197! Whelp, DFA time.
/sarcasm
Of course, it is getting hard to believe his power will ever reach our expectations, but I’d like to think that he’ll get on track soon.
from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
Also that guy is misogynist scum
DRB: There is certainly good content, but other than that the behavior here is pretty poor; They are right, you are wrong. End of story.
This is supposed to be the less technical, more relaxed blog for cool kids.
by Top Gun Numba 1 on May 12, 2010 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Every time I see Kazmir in an Angels uniform
I get a strong sense of relief. I just don’t see him ever being more than a 4th or 5th starter (at best) from here on out, and he seems to get worse every year. There is no question that his refusal to use his slider is the main reason he has gone from a potential top of the rotation starter to a guy who could be moved to the bullpen before it’s all said and done. However, it’s not the only reason. Even when he was using his slider effectively, he still had pitch count issues.
I don’t know that he can ever be “fixed”, but if I was the Angels FO I would do three things at this point. First, send him to see a sports psychologist. Second, have him watch tape of himself from high school/the minors and tell him to try to do exactly what he was doing back then. Third, pray A LOT.
Good point.
I had formed an opinion that he was more or less afraid to throw it because he felt it had led to arm trouble. But perhaps his previous injuries make it impossible to throw it or he’s just totally lost his feel for it. Either way, it’s unfortunate for him because he’s not long for the rotation without an effective third pitch.
He might be better suited to relief at some point soon
God, it would be awful for Kaz to end up as a LOOGY.
by staplemaniac on May 12, 2010 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions
I got really hot about Upton getting picked off again at 1B on a first-move throw.
I’m still angry about it. It’s to a point now where pitchers know he’s going on first move. They’re looking for it, and he’s not changing it up. 2 of his 3 CS on the season so far are of the ‘caught throwing him out while running on the first move’ variety, and his one pickoff this year was in the same way. It needs to stop. He is hurting this team on the basepaths when he does this. He doesn’t steal enough bases to make up for it.

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