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Happy Hellickson Day: Now What Should We Expect?

ANAHEIM CA - JULY 11:  U.S. Futures All-Star Jeremy Hellickson #28 of the Tampa Bay Rays throws a pitch during the 2010 XM All-Star Futures Game at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on July 11 2010 in Anaheim California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)

Today is the day many of us have been waiting for all season long: Jeremy Hellickson is making his first start in the majors. Drafted by the Rays in 2005, Hellickson is a 23-year-old righty that has blossomed into one of the best pitching prospects in the majors.  Going into the 2010 season, Baseball America ranked Hellickson the second best prospect in the Rays organization (after Desmond Jennings) and the 18th best prospect in the majors; partway through this season, he's now been ranked the 4th best prospect still in the minors. A small fellow - he's listed at as 6'1" tall, 185 pounds - he's faced doubt about his durability and staying power every step of the way. So far he's proved them wrong.

Since few of us have seen him pitch so far, let's take a minute to review what we know about Hellickson's pitching repertoire. Hellickson works five pitches: a four-seam fastball, two-seam fastball, change-up, curve, and cutter (new this season). At the beginning of the season, here's what Baseball America had to say about his stuff:

"Hellickson rarely gives hitters a chance to gain the upper hand. He works ahead in the count with impeccable command of his low-90s fastball, which touches 94 mph and has nice sink. His changeup has become a plus pitch as he has added late fade over the past two years. He can throw his solid curveball for strikes or get hitters to chase it out of the zone. He throws strikes and creates deception by delivering all of his pitches from the same arm angle."

So basically, Hellickson is built in the James Shields model. He doesn't have an eye-popping fastball or a killer slider, but instead he relies upon mixing and locating his pitches. He'll struggle if he doesn't have his command and he'll probably let up homeruns whenever he misses with his fastball over the plate, but with the addition of a cutter and recent improvements to the life on his two-seam fastball, he now has five weapons to keep major-league hitters off-balance.

And so...get excited. Get very excited. Hellickson has torn the International League to shreds this season (2.71 FIP, 123 K in 120 IP) and he's going to be a big boost for the Rays down the stretch. This outing may only be a cup of coffee, but he'll be back - have no fear. If he gets lit up in this one start, don't get bent out of shape; it's one start and he's facing one of the best all-around teams in the majors (although sans Mauer and Morneua, which is nice). Rookie pitchers take time to acclimate to the majors, so I'm not expecting him to be a demigod immediately. However, I do expect him to be a heck of a lot of fun to watch.

For more on Jeremy Hellickson, check out his bio done by the great writers at Rays Prospects.

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there is a thread about this over by Sickles at minorleagueball as well

I went with a very aggresive line, but he is facing a minnesota line without 3 of its best offensive guys in Punto, Mauer, and Morneau. I also think his stuff similar to Tommy Hanson last year is going to take some time to get used to by major league hitters. I’m going with 7 innings 5 hits 2 runs 1 bb 8 K

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 3:11 PM EDT reply actions  

Punto is in NO WAY one of MN's best offensive guys.

(I’m a Twins fan) Actually, we’d be happy to trade him to you for…nothing if you like him:)

I always loved that one.

by FoulJack on Aug 2, 2010 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

If he doesn't throw a no-hitter, we can all agree that he's a bust, right?

Not my cat. My cat isn't fat like that. I use to have a fat maine coon though.

2010 Trade Deadline Primer --> http://dockoftherays.com/2010/07/03/2010-trade-deadline-primer/

by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 2, 2010 3:14 PM EDT reply actions  

I remember one time we lost to Carl Pavano and it left a bad taste in my mouth for a few days

Can we reverse the fortunes tonight? Can Hellickson prove his worth as a top prospect? Is today a statement game for Jeremy Hellickson?

by Travis Lee on Aug 2, 2010 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

why don't they retro is to his last appeareance

he’d be eligible to come back tomorrow I believe. This is the move I mentioned in the other thread. Basically no one leaves (almost like a minor league send to HV for a Durham guy). Sonny is off the roster for tonight and than comes back tomorrow and Hellickson goes back to Durham.

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just wonder how this looks in the league's eyes

Obviously the league has no way to prove Sonny isn’t hurt, but I just wonder. But props to Sonny taking one of the team; he could have been selfish, claiming he didn’t want to go to the DL to give some kid a start when he thinks he could do well if given a shot.

by Travis Lee on Aug 2, 2010 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

looking at it I would assume that Cormier would go when Sonny comes back

I doubt they would keep Hellickson on the roster just for a couple of day (when he can’t pitch) and than send him back down after Sonny comes back. Unless they bring up Abreu or someone for a couple days after tonight.

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

They can keep Sonnanstine away until September.

He’s due back this weekend, throw a rehab stint, then a demotion to Durham for the extra time and he won’t even use an option to stay away until 9/1.

by R.J. Anderson on Aug 2, 2010 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

kind of on an OT note

with 2 open 40 man spots and the ability to move JP to the 60 day DL. Do you think the Rays will add a couple guys for September? Either one of the Johnson’s or a pitcher?

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would love to see Elliot Johnson get a shot

he could back up Longoria at 3B and can also play everywhere else in the field. OPS of over 800 this year with 24 SB as well and has been on fire lately. 17-38 over his last 10.

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

when do most september call-ups play

If we clinch a playoff spot and Longoria needs a day off he could play 3B. Or if someone gets hurt, or we need a pinch runner.

by Dbullsfan on Aug 2, 2010 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

It just hasn't been the Rays MO to bring guys up just to have them sit

I’m not saying I think its a bad idea. I just don’t think they do it unless they really think they can use him

by Sveet on Aug 2, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Joe Dillon disagrees

Not my cat. My cat isn't fat like that. I use to have a fat maine coon though.

2010 Trade Deadline Primer --> http://dockoftherays.com/2010/07/03/2010-trade-deadline-primer/

by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 3, 2010 8:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Meanwhile, poor Dan Johnson

Where the hell is he? Rodriguez playing 1B again tonight; send him to AAA already and give him regular PT.

by Jason Collette on Aug 2, 2010 4:11 PM EDT reply actions  

There is really no reason DanJo shouldn't be given a chance

I mean what else does he have to do to get up here before Sept?

by Travis Lee on Aug 2, 2010 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

In-depth account of a recent Hellickson outing in Durham

http://www.indyweek.com/triangleoffense/archives/2010/06/26/durham-bulls-edge-lehigh-valley-ironpigs-charlies-angels#more

Buncha other ones on the Triangle Offense site; use tag @ end of piece.

He hasn’t had a really dominant performance in a while. Fastball command has lacked precision, more walks, more flyballs.

BTW, Hellickson hardly threw that 2-seamer in Class AAA. Pretty much all 4-seam stuff.

by Sobsey on Aug 2, 2010 4:16 PM EDT reply actions  

Amen, Get Dan Johnson up here!

by learnedglove on Aug 2, 2010 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

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